2020 Senate Map

Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Updates:

So far, Lamar Alexander of Tennessee (weeks ago) and Pat Roberts of Kansas (today) have already said they won’t run again in 2020.

Susan Collins (ME) is running for re-election.
Cory Gardner (CO) is running for re-election.
Newly appointed Martha McSally (AZ) will run to keep her seat in the 2020 special election.

Here’s the map:


Correction: Apparently Collins hasn’t decided to run yet. She said on Meet the Press today "I'm very proud of the service that I've given to the people of Maine, and I'm getting ready to run...but it's too early to make that kind of decision." Adds that she'll make a final decision "towards the end of this year.”

And the map above doesn’t include Arizona.


Between gerrymandering, voter suppression, and misconduct in administering elections, the Republicans will win all of those seats and more.


Way to keep that positive attitude. The arc of the universe is long but it tends towards justice.
Anonymous
Key questions:

1. Whether Fox and Limbaugh still have the hold over the GOP base that they do today. The Fox audience is cracking. Limbaugh, sadly, doesn't seem to be noticed by the left though he has a much larger audience.

2. Whether the GOP can successfully cook up a substance-free identity politics issue to fire up the base like they did with the "caravan" in 2016. GOP avoided losing the Senate because of the false caravan identity story. Question for Dems: what will the rightwing media try to pimp out to fire up the base in 2020, and how do you stop it?
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:If I were McConnell my #1 priority would be to get trump off the ticket as fast as possible.


He needs another year to get more unqualified rightwing hack judges confirmed. Then the GOP will move to booting Trump.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:If I were McConnell my #1 priority would be to get trump off the ticket as fast as possible.


He needs another year to get more unqualified rightwing hack judges confirmed. Then the GOP will move to booting Trump.


Mitch McConnell is up for election in 2020 and he’s not that popular at home. Wouldn’t it be great if the Democrats found someone good to take him on.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Updates:

So far, Lamar Alexander of Tennessee (weeks ago) and Pat Roberts of Kansas (today) have already said they won’t run again in 2020.

Susan Collins (ME) is running for re-election.
Cory Gardner (CO) is running for re-election.
Newly appointed Martha McSally (AZ) will run to keep her seat in the 2020 special election.

Here’s the map:


This is a favorable map for the Dems. ME, CO and AZ are all good pick up opportunities with the right candidate. TN and Kansas (which just elected a Democratic governor after years of GOP disaster) too.


There's also a Georgia Senate seat open that Stacey Abrams could be competitive for if Georgia would stop with the voter suppression.


NC, TX and IA


Iowa maybe. NC has a lot of the same voter suppression problems as Georgia but maybe the scandal over the House seat and the absentee ballots will inspire them to clean up their act. TX is still very red and Cornyn is more popular than Ted Cruz was (hard not to be), so I see that as a less likely pick-up.

SCOTUS just agreed to look at NC’s gerrymander along with MD’s, plus they have a D Governor and D state Supreme Court.


SCOTUS won't be much of a help to reform gerrymandering. Kennedy was the swing vote on gerrymandering. Kavanaugh doesn't see a problem with it.


BREAKING: Supreme Court denies last ditch effort of Virginia GOP to stop court from putting in pLace a remedial map to cure their racial gerrymander. #fairmaps
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Updates:

So far, Lamar Alexander of Tennessee (weeks ago) and Pat Roberts of Kansas (today) have already said they won’t run again in 2020.

Susan Collins (ME) is running for re-election.
Cory Gardner (CO) is running for re-election.
Newly appointed Martha McSally (AZ) will run to keep her seat in the 2020 special election.

Here’s the map:


This is a favorable map for the Dems. ME, CO and AZ are all good pick up opportunities with the right candidate. TN and Kansas (which just elected a Democratic governor after years of GOP disaster) too.


There's also a Georgia Senate seat open that Stacey Abrams could be competitive for if Georgia would stop with the voter suppression.


NC, TX and IA


Iowa maybe. NC has a lot of the same voter suppression problems as Georgia but maybe the scandal over the House seat and the absentee ballots will inspire them to clean up their act. TX is still very red and Cornyn is more popular than Ted Cruz was (hard not to be), so I see that as a less likely pick-up.

SCOTUS just agreed to look at NC’s gerrymander along with MD’s, plus they have a D Governor and D state Supreme Court.


SCOTUS won't be much of a help to reform gerrymandering. Kennedy was the swing vote on gerrymandering. Kavanaugh doesn't see a problem with it.


BREAKING: Supreme Court denies last ditch effort of Virginia GOP to stop court from putting in pLace a remedial map to cure their racial gerrymander. #fairmaps


That is fabulous news!
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:If I were McConnell my #1 priority would be to get trump off the ticket as fast as possible.


He needs another year to get more unqualified rightwing hack judges confirmed. Then the GOP will move to booting Trump.


Mitch McConnell is up for election in 2020 and he’s not that popular at home. Wouldn’t it be great if the Democrats found someone good to take him on.


Yes. Please let them make it happen
Anonymous
The Iowa race just got a lot more interesting.

“Iowa Senator Joni Ernst's estranged husband has claimed in bombshell divorce papers she had an affair with one of her own soldiers and displayed 'bizarre behavior' after he filed for divorce, DailyMail.com can disclose.

The Republican's husband Gail Ernst filed for divorce from the 48-year-old last summer and in newly unsealed court papers that were filed in October 2018, both Joni and Gail list allegations against the other as they fight over access to property, temporary alimony and attorney fees.”
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-6619997/amp/Husband-Iowa-Senator-Joni-Ernst-claims-affair-soldier.html?__twitter_impression=true
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:The Iowa race just got a lot more interesting.

“Iowa Senator Joni Ernst's estranged husband has claimed in bombshell divorce papers she had an affair with one of her own soldiers and displayed 'bizarre behavior' after he filed for divorce, DailyMail.com can disclose.

The Republican's husband Gail Ernst filed for divorce from the 48-year-old last summer and in newly unsealed court papers that were filed in October 2018, both Joni and Gail list allegations against the other as they fight over access to property, temporary alimony and attorney fees.”
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-6619997/amp/Husband-Iowa-Senator-Joni-Ernst-claims-affair-soldier.html?__twitter_impression=true

LOL at the family values party.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:The Iowa race just got a lot more interesting.

“Iowa Senator Joni Ernst's estranged husband has claimed in bombshell divorce papers she had an affair with one of her own soldiers and displayed 'bizarre behavior' after he filed for divorce, DailyMail.com can disclose.

The Republican's husband Gail Ernst filed for divorce from the 48-year-old last summer and in newly unsealed court papers that were filed in October 2018, both Joni and Gail list allegations against the other as they fight over access to property, temporary alimony and attorney fees.”
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-6619997/amp/Husband-Iowa-Senator-Joni-Ernst-claims-affair-soldier.html?__twitter_impression=true

LOL at the family values party.

Funny how the politicians who are the most intolerant of others are usually the ones with the most skeletons in their closets.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:The Iowa race just got a lot more interesting.

“Iowa Senator Joni Ernst's estranged husband has claimed in bombshell divorce papers she had an affair with one of her own soldiers and displayed 'bizarre behavior' after he filed for divorce, DailyMail.com can disclose.

The Republican's husband Gail Ernst filed for divorce from the 48-year-old last summer and in newly unsealed court papers that were filed in October 2018, both Joni and Gail list allegations against the other as they fight over access to property, temporary alimony and attorney fees.”
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-6619997/amp/Husband-Iowa-Senator-Joni-Ernst-claims-affair-soldier.html?__twitter_impression=true

LOL at the family values party.

Funny how the politicians who are the most intolerant of others are usually the ones with the most skeletons in their closets.

Well it is Iowa, where Steve king got re-elected despite telling everyone under the sun that he’s a white nationalist.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:The Iowa race just got a lot more interesting.

“Iowa Senator Joni Ernst's estranged husband has claimed in bombshell divorce papers she had an affair with one of her own soldiers and displayed 'bizarre behavior' after he filed for divorce, DailyMail.com can disclose.

The Republican's husband Gail Ernst filed for divorce from the 48-year-old last summer and in newly unsealed court papers that were filed in October 2018, both Joni and Gail list allegations against the other as they fight over access to property, temporary alimony and attorney fees.”
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-6619997/amp/Husband-Iowa-Senator-Joni-Ernst-claims-affair-soldier.html?__twitter_impression=true

LOL at the family values party.

Funny how the politicians who are the most intolerant of others are usually the ones with the most skeletons in their closets.


No wonder she was so quick to insist on Kavanaugh’s innocence. She’s got plenty of bad behavior of her own.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Updates:

So far, Lamar Alexander of Tennessee (weeks ago) and Pat Roberts of Kansas (today) have already said they won’t run again in 2020.

Susan Collins (ME) is running for re-election.
Cory Gardner (CO) is running for re-election.
Newly appointed Martha McSally (AZ) will run to keep her seat in the 2020 special election.

Here’s the map:


This is a favorable map for the Dems. ME, CO and AZ are all good pick up opportunities with the right candidate. TN and Kansas (which just elected a Democratic governor after years of GOP disaster) too.


Running for the Democratic nomination to run against McSally in Arizona:

Mark Kelly, husband of Gabby Giffords, former Navy captain, former astronaut.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:

Running for the Democratic nomination to run against McSally in Arizona:

Mark Kelly, husband of Gabby Giffords, former Navy captain, former astronaut.


I love them. This made my day.
Anonymous
Sadly, I don’t think a Dem can win in Kansas and I’m on the ground here. The only possibility would be Kathleen Sebelius coming back. There have been rumblings of that, but I don’t even know if she can win. The populated areas, sure. But the rural areas are another story. After all, we have white babies to save because their evil mothers are trying to abort them right before birth.

Now the variable here is Kris Kobach. If for some reason Kobach would win the Republican Senate primary, then yes a strong Democrat could win against him.
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