Study on DC school lottery and school segregation

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

because otherwise they will end up with an 8th grader who doesn't know the names of the months of the year (true story I learned on DCUM about a HRCS).

Please tell me that was tounge in cheek. Someone criticizing other people's education by quoting a "true story" the learned on DCUM.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:There has been academic work done on the "tipping point" for white people to feel that a neighborhood is "too Black/brown" and it is startlingly low.

The first wave of white people will leave if a neighborhood is just 5% white [do you mean 5% non-white?], and most white people will choose to leave at a tipping point of about 11%.

I would expect that can be extrapolated to schools as well, which means that white tolerance for Black/brown classmates is significantly lower than the share of Black/brown folks in the country.

Source?

Also, how does this claim translate to DC, where hardly any neighborhoods are 90% white? If what you're claiming is true, then DC should be suffering massive white flight. Instead, what we see is white gentrifiers flocking to move into "black" neighborhoods. The facts around us don't seem to square with your claim.

I'm not sure if 11% is the currently identified tipping point. . . I recall that the book American Apartheid (a seminal work from the 1990s, https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/252034.American_Apartheid) cited studies demonstrating that African Americans overwhelmingly prefer to live in neighborhoods that are 20-50% African American, while whites prefer a 10% or less African American presence, and when a neighborhood integrates past 20% black residents, whites actively try to leave. I did a quick google search and it seems like the general premise seems to still be the case: http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4716051/ This explains the white flight DC and so many other cities experienced from 1965 - 1990 or so.

In the last 20 years we've seen young, educated white people moving into once 90%+ black inner city neighborhoods, true. But I think the premise (that whites have a lower threshold for how many neighbors of a difference race is desirable) still holds. Note that gentrified neighborhoods become more desirable to whites in proportion to the number of whites are living there. And some of white people's interest in gentrifying neighborhoods is the based on the hope/belief that the whitening of the neighborhood will continue (and perhaps a fear that they will be unable to afford the neighborhood once is has reached the zenith of whiteness).

The Atlantic article liked earlier showed some really interesting models of how this preference of whites for white neighbors inevitably results in racial segregation. Thanks to whoever posted that link!

[Anonymous]

Here's what the DC Office of planning is tracking / projecting for neighborhood growth, income and diversity trends. Slide 9 seems related to this thread.

http://dme.dc.gov/sites/default/files/dc/sites/dme/publication/attachments/Office%20of%20Planning%20Presentation%20for%20CSCTF%204%2026%2016.pdf