We don't seem to be getting anywhere. You seem to be having trouble stringing sentences together coherently, much less responding to others. |
To keep the current military levels you are going to have to increase spending. Most of the equipment needs to be replace or rebuilt, troops need to be train/retrain...big $$$. I don't think any Republican will stand for a reduce military. So you must increase defense spending to maintain the current force level = you can't freeze the budget at current levels. |
The problem is this: a return to growth (i.e. an end to the recession), coupled with ending Bush's interminable and disastrously conceived wars, and the rollback of his ruinous tax cuts would put us on the path to eliminate our debt. Under Bush, we pretty much pruned back our revenues to nothing, spent money we weren't collecting on stupidities like simultaneous Near Eastern quagmires, and failed to respond in any meaningful way to the recession (the severity of which was actually underestimated by the BEA). So of course we started taking on massive debt via the policies pursued under Bush, and perpetuated under Obama. The hilarious thing is, most economists who recommended stimulus all argued that the one passed was about half the size of what would be effective. And like an idiot, Obama hailed it as a victory. This of course undercut any support for a real stimulus because "we already tried that and it didn't work". It was the equivalent of driving your car into a ditch, having a mechanic recommend you pull it out with a tow truck. So you decide a tow-truck's too expensive, you'll just get a couple of your friends and pull it out of the ditch with your bare hands. That stupid fucking mechanic! He said it would work, and it didn't! |
No, fucking morons on the right believe wholeheartedly in Keynesian stimulus on the revenue side--it's just the spending side they choose not to believe in. Yes they're intellectually bankrupt, but what are you going to do? |
You seem to be completely ignorant of even the barest outlines of basic macroeconomics. No, you don't do trillion dollar stimulus packages every year for the next decade. You just need one large enough to make up for a shortfall in private demand. Your side's basic argument is that a defibrillator doesn't work because you already held a 9 volt battery to the patient's chest and it didn't do anything. And before you start blathering about how the government can't create jobs, I'd point you to a little known phenomenon called World War II. Or do armaments magically get an exemption form the iron-clad law that stimulus never works? |
Does basic macroeconomics say countries whose debt/GDP ratio exceeds 100% should keep on spending? How big should the stimulus have been? $1 trillion? $1.5 trillion? $2 trillion? Japan seems to have been stuck in the mire for some while after its debt-induced binge fizzled, an actual case study which should give thoughtful people of all stripes some pause before recommending MOAR SPENDING or MOAR TAX CUTS. The 1930s and 1970s disproved a number of tenets of macroeconomics, such as the gold standard being the best monetary system (damn New York liberals and international bankers) and the Phillips curve ... I suspect this decade, combined with the experience of Japan, will refine our knowledge of macroeconomics. Mainstream liberals were calling for trillion dollar stimulus packages, which you and I know full well would've died a painful death in the Senate. (As an aside, I don't care if eliminating the filibuster would allow President Palin to ram her program down America's throats, if she can get elected along with other Republicans, then let them have the freaking keys to the bus. Ditto if Obama can get re-elected.) So the actual alternatives were, do nothing and see if America cares (hint, they don't. They want jobs. If a deficit this size were paired with 5% unemployment, no one would care.) Or, try a half-measure and see if that fixes things. |
Just to respond, because your post was a bit undirected:
I'm not sure how folks can reconcile the assertions "Obama got everything he wanted" with "What Obama wanted would never have made it through the Senate." You're right, a real stimulus bill to make up for the shortfall in demand couldn't pass the Senate because Republicans filibustered it. That left "moderates" to cut the baby in half--which of course made no sense whatsoever)
No one gives a shit about the deficit. It's merely an excuse to implement the anti-New Deal policies that the GOP was trying to destroy in good times and in bad. Bottom line is, a return to growth, and a return to the tax policies that were so successful under Clinton, and there is not deficit crisis. The government should be printing money hand over fist right now--since borrowing is essentially free--and we should be putting people to work repairing our essential infrastructure. We need to fix it at some point, it will put people to work, and there's a "flight to safety" that makes the money essentially free. You never addressed the stimulative effects of WWII. Is it really true that the stimulative effect only applies to armaments? Maybe we should start another war? |
Also, it's a common misperception (on the right) that Japan's debt caused slow growth over the 90s. That gets the causality wrong. Japan's lost decade was a deflationary spiral resulting in zero growth. That caused the debt. |
Japanese debt/growth from the mid-90s (from IMF WEO):
Perils of inductive reasoning. |
Tea Party, you really REALLY suck.
It is YOUR willingness to take us to the brink on the debt ceiling that has caused us permanent damage. The AA rating is your fault. Dems and Moderate republicans had plenty of reasonable positions but YOU botched this up. Thanks a lot. |
Oops and Oops. It happened, and they said half of the problem was the idiotic drama over the whole affair that created a lack of confidence. |
Would you like to take that back now? |
Obama voted against raising the debt ceiling 3 years ago. The tea party was elected not to raise it at all. At least they handed over the blank check again. The debt celing being a crisis is such a joke. The crisis is 14 trillion in debt + 41 cents of each dollar spent by the government being BORROWED on top of the debt and baseline government increases of 7% every year . If cut cap and balance was passed, we would have a stellar AAAAAA+ rating. Brace for impact. |
Tell that to S&P. They specifically cited the debt ceiling crisis as half of the reason for the downgrade. |
What are your thoughts as to how long that process should continue, if needed, to maintain a "stellar AAAAAA+ rating?" |