Predicted Enrollment Decline in FCPS Materializes

Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:My guess is that this is from layoffs as well as immigration enforcement activities in Northern Virginia. The area is getting hit hard from multiple angles.


I was at my family’s house in OH recently and there was a news report on declining enrollment numbers in Columbus by 11%, they linked it to several reasons including reduced birth rates.



Of course they did. MAGAs don’t want to own up to the fact that throwing immigrants out will have an impact. Easier to blame it on something else.


And the left marketing having children as ruining the planet. Easier to blame it on something else but the real issue is the declining birth rate, which has nothing to do with maga
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:My guess is that this is from layoffs as well as immigration enforcement activities in Northern Virginia. The area is getting hit hard from multiple angles.


I was at my family’s house in OH recently and there was a news report on declining enrollment numbers in Columbus by 11%, they linked it to several reasons including reduced birth rates.



Of course they did. MAGAs don’t want to own up to the fact that throwing immigrants out will have an impact. Easier to blame it on something else.


And the left marketing having children as ruining the planet. Easier to blame it on something else but the real issue is the declining birth rate, which has nothing to do with maga


To be fair, declining birth rates among citizens has largely been blunted by generally higher birth rates among immigrant populations.

So both things can be true at once. It's amazing how that works.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:My guess is that this is from layoffs as well as immigration enforcement activities in Northern Virginia. The area is getting hit hard from multiple angles.


I was at my family’s house in OH recently and there was a news report on declining enrollment numbers in Columbus by 11%, they linked it to several reasons including reduced birth rates.



Of course they did. MAGAs don’t want to own up to the fact that throwing immigrants out will have an impact. Easier to blame it on something else.


And the left marketing having children as ruining the planet. Easier to blame it on something else but the real issue is the declining birth rate, which has nothing to do with maga


To be fair, declining birth rates among citizens has largely been blunted by generally higher birth rates among immigrant populations.

So both things can be true at once. It's amazing how that works.


Except the data includes the biggest growth of immigrant populations in this country since the Eliis Island era.

None of trump's policies are part of the declining birth rate stats.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:My guess is that this is from layoffs as well as immigration enforcement activities in Northern Virginia. The area is getting hit hard from multiple angles.


I was at my family’s house in OH recently and there was a news report on declining enrollment numbers in Columbus by 11%, they linked it to several reasons including reduced birth rates.



Of course they did. MAGAs don’t want to own up to the fact that throwing immigrants out will have an impact. Easier to blame it on something else.


And the left marketing having children as ruining the planet. Easier to blame it on something else but the real issue is the declining birth rate, which has nothing to do with maga


To be fair, declining birth rates among citizens has largely been blunted by generally higher birth rates among immigrant populations.

So both things can be true at once. It's amazing how that works.


Except the data includes the biggest growth of immigrant populations in this country since the Eliis Island era.

None of trump's policies are part of the declining birth rate stats.

It is amazing how statistics work.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:My guess is that this is from layoffs as well as immigration enforcement activities in Northern Virginia. The area is getting hit hard from multiple angles.


I was at my family’s house in OH recently and there was a news report on declining enrollment numbers in Columbus by 11%, they linked it to several reasons including reduced birth rates.



Of course they did. MAGAs don’t want to own up to the fact that throwing immigrants out will have an impact. Easier to blame it on something else.


So you are upset we won't have to educate children from other countries with our taxes?


Exactly. They are illegal immigrants not paying taxes to fund our schools. These students increase class size, often don’t speak English, and take resources from students with parents paying taxes.

Yes, they do pay taxes. Stop watching Fox News.


What taxes are illegal immigrants paying? They pancakes tax. If they ish a home (most don’t) they pay property tax How do you know they pay? They can’t get a social security number. They can apply for a different tax number and pay federal taxes (and FCPS is giving up federal funds bc they want to support transgender).

https://www.reuters.com/fact-check/undocumented-immigrants-can-do-pay-taxes-2025-02-26/

https://www.thecommonwealthinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/01/Tax-Contributions-of-Undocumented-Immigrants-2015_V1.pdf

Illegal immigrants also don’t usually have health insurance or Medicaid, which taxpayers must cover. I’m all for immigration and diversity, but immigration should be legal.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:My guess is that this is from layoffs as well as immigration enforcement activities in Northern Virginia. The area is getting hit hard from multiple angles.


I was at my family’s house in OH recently and there was a news report on declining enrollment numbers in Columbus by 11%, they linked it to several reasons including reduced birth rates.



Of course they did. MAGAs don’t want to own up to the fact that throwing immigrants out will have an impact. Easier to blame it on something else.


And the left marketing having children as ruining the planet. Easier to blame it on something else but the real issue is the declining birth rate, which has nothing to do with maga


To be fair, declining birth rates among citizens has largely been blunted by generally higher birth rates among immigrant populations.

So both things can be true at once. It's amazing how that works.


Except the data includes the biggest growth of immigrant populations in this country since the Eliis Island era.

None of trump's policies are part of the declining birth rate stats.


Not currently - but if you take the immigrant populations out then the dive will get worse. That was my point.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:My guess is that this is from layoffs as well as immigration enforcement activities in Northern Virginia. The area is getting hit hard from multiple angles.


I was at my family’s house in OH recently and there was a news report on declining enrollment numbers in Columbus by 11%, they linked it to several reasons including reduced birth rates.



Of course they did. MAGAs don’t want to own up to the fact that throwing immigrants out will have an impact. Easier to blame it on something else.


So you are upset we won't have to educate children from other countries with our taxes?


Exactly. They are illegal immigrants not paying taxes to fund our schools. These students increase class size, often don’t speak English, and take resources from students with parents paying taxes.

Yes, they do pay taxes. Stop watching Fox News.


What taxes are illegal immigrants paying? They pancakes tax. If they ish a home (most don’t) they pay property tax How do you know they pay? They can’t get a social security number. They can apply for a different tax number and pay federal taxes (and FCPS is giving up federal funds bc they want to support transgender).

https://www.reuters.com/fact-check/undocumented-immigrants-can-do-pay-taxes-2025-02-26/

https://www.thecommonwealthinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/01/Tax-Contributions-of-Undocumented-Immigrants-2015_V1.pdf

Illegal immigrants also don’t usually have health insurance or Medicaid, which taxpayers must cover. I’m all for immigration and diversity, but immigration should be legal.


Sales tax, which is normally far more then what people will pay in Federal, State, or property taxes. Everyone pays sales tax when they make a purchase in the DMV.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:My guess is that this is from layoffs as well as immigration enforcement activities in Northern Virginia. The area is getting hit hard from multiple angles.


I was at my family’s house in OH recently and there was a news report on declining enrollment numbers in Columbus by 11%, they linked it to several reasons including reduced birth rates.



Of course they did. MAGAs don’t want to own up to the fact that throwing immigrants out will have an impact. Easier to blame it on something else.


So you are upset we won't have to educate children from other countries with our taxes?


Exactly. They are illegal immigrants not paying taxes to fund our schools. These students increase class size, often don’t speak English, and take resources from students with parents paying taxes.


I get upset at this. I was told by 2 different elementary school teachers that they could help my child with reading and speech because they were too overwhelmed with kids that year who didn’t speak English. My kid had an IEP and I still had to go for outside help for them. The school’s resources were tapped out for non-english speaking kids. It was a higher priority for them. 😢


I had an IEP in the 1980's, my parents still needed tutors to help me succeed in school because the school was not able to meet all of my needs. This was true for my younger brother as well. Services at public schools are to help children be on grade level and that is it, that is what is offered to all students. If you want your child to do more then be on grade level and they are not getting there are school, you need to supplement. It has always been that way. It is getting worse now because so many more kids need services, so the threshold for help is getting higher and higher.

Kids with diagnosed learning issues. speech issues, and the like are regularly denied an IEP because they are on grade level at school, even if they could be an A student with services. You have to be years behind before schools will even consider an IEP and not a 504.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:My guess is that this is from layoffs as well as immigration enforcement activities in Northern Virginia. The area is getting hit hard from multiple angles.


I was at my family’s house in OH recently and there was a news report on declining enrollment numbers in Columbus by 11%, they linked it to several reasons including reduced birth rates.



Of course they did. MAGAs don’t want to own up to the fact that throwing immigrants out will have an impact. Easier to blame it on something else.


And the left marketing having children as ruining the planet. Easier to blame it on something else but the real issue is the declining birth rate, which has nothing to do with maga


To be fair, declining birth rates among citizens has largely been blunted by generally higher birth rates among immigrant populations.

So both things can be true at once. It's amazing how that works.


Except the data includes the biggest growth of immigrant populations in this country since the Eliis Island era.

None of trump's policies are part of the declining birth rate stats.

It is amazing how statistics work.


Republicans are directly responsible for policies that discourage parenthood and add to the declining birthrate. Limiting social safety nets, limiting regulations that protect workers, supporting the upward movement of wealth, gutting women's healthcare, etc etc, etc. All of these contribute to declining birthrates.
Anonymous
I can’t believe it, but we are leaving NOVA because we’re tired of the FCPS school board. We have watched the quality of education go down and the board acts totally oblivious to it.

They squabble over new magnet programs, the most convoluted boundary review, non stop surveys with silly start time options.

All while they haven’t adequately addressed learning loss, they raise the caps on class sizes, get rid of class monitors, push early algebra when our math scores are already abysmal so there’s no indication these kids are ready for it.

I don’t doubt it’s all in best intention, but this school board and superintendent have absolutely lost the plot. I’m done waiting for them to get it together.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:So will our taxes go down?That might help the area recover.


No. They are going up. They will continue to go up unless the spending goes down.

The dollars are being spent in the wrong places.


They need to go down if the country wants more children. The main issue with children is affordability
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:I can’t believe it, but we are leaving NOVA because we’re tired of the FCPS school board. We have watched the quality of education go down and the board acts totally oblivious to it.

They squabble over new magnet programs, the most convoluted boundary review, non stop surveys with silly start time options.

All while they haven’t adequately addressed learning loss, they raise the caps on class sizes, get rid of class monitors, push early algebra when our math scores are already abysmal so there’s no indication these kids are ready for it.

I don’t doubt it’s all in best intention, but this school board and superintendent have absolutely lost the plot. I’m done waiting for them to get it together.


There are only a few places in the country you can move to and have a better public school experience, hope your heading to one of those. Search for the West Virginia thread from a few years ago. A person posted about a friend moving to West Virginia for cheaper housing and a not woke school district. How great it was going to be and how jealous they were of that friend. Six months into the school year the person was back posting about how bad the education was and how behind the schools were. My friends who moved in from other states have all commented that their kids were behind when they got to FCPS.

Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:I can’t believe it, but we are leaving NOVA because we’re tired of the FCPS school board. We have watched the quality of education go down and the board acts totally oblivious to it.

They squabble over new magnet programs, the most convoluted boundary review, non stop surveys with silly start time options.

All while they haven’t adequately addressed learning loss, they raise the caps on class sizes, get rid of class monitors, push early algebra when our math scores are already abysmal so there’s no indication these kids are ready for it.

I don’t doubt it’s all in best intention, but this school board and superintendent have absolutely lost the plot. I’m done waiting for them to get it together.


There are only a few places in the country you can move to and have a better public school experience, hope your heading to one of those. Search for the West Virginia thread from a few years ago. A person posted about a friend moving to West Virginia for cheaper housing and a not woke school district. How great it was going to be and how jealous they were of that friend. Six months into the school year the person was back posting about how bad the education was and how behind the schools were. My friends who moved in from other states have all commented that their kids were behind when they got to FCPS.



There are a lot of other places besides West-by-God-Virginia.

It’s amazing how many suburbs of mid-tier cities in the South and Midwest have nicer schools than FCPS, and the academics in FCPS are grossly overrated. They just take credit for the extra efforts that parents make.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:I can’t believe it, but we are leaving NOVA because we’re tired of the FCPS school board. We have watched the quality of education go down and the board acts totally oblivious to it.

They squabble over new magnet programs, the most convoluted boundary review, non stop surveys with silly start time options.

All while they haven’t adequately addressed learning loss, they raise the caps on class sizes, get rid of class monitors, push early algebra when our math scores are already abysmal so there’s no indication these kids are ready for it.

I don’t doubt it’s all in best intention, but this school board and superintendent have absolutely lost the plot. I’m done waiting for them to get it together.


There are only a few places in the country you can move to and have a better public school experience, hope your heading to one of those. Search for the West Virginia thread from a few years ago. A person posted about a friend moving to West Virginia for cheaper housing and a not woke school district. How great it was going to be and how jealous they were of that friend. Six months into the school year the person was back posting about how bad the education was and how behind the schools were. My friends who moved in from other states have all commented that their kids were behind when they got to FCPS.



Why the heck will I move to West Virginia?
I didn’t say I was moving to find somewhere cheaper. I don’t mind paying for quality.

FCPS is no longer a top district.. it certainly used to be. Even among VA schools, FCPS wasn’t in the top 10 for any SOL metric in any grade.

Combine the fact that we’re not top performing even within Virginia, and that Harvard’s pandemic education recovery scores rank VA as 41/51 (States plus DC) for math recovery and 51/51 in reading recovery.. you’re a bit off base thinking there are only “a few” places better than FCPS.

I will agree that West VA isn’t one. Didn’t think I’d need to say that thought 😆
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:I can’t believe it, but we are leaving NOVA because we’re tired of the FCPS school board. We have watched the quality of education go down and the board acts totally oblivious to it.

They squabble over new magnet programs, the most convoluted boundary review, non stop surveys with silly start time options.

All while they haven’t adequately addressed learning loss, they raise the caps on class sizes, get rid of class monitors, push early algebra when our math scores are already abysmal so there’s no indication these kids are ready for it.

I don’t doubt it’s all in best intention, but this school board and superintendent have absolutely lost the plot. I’m done waiting for them to get it together.


There are only a few places in the country you can move to and have a better public school experience, hope your heading to one of those. Search for the West Virginia thread from a few years ago. A person posted about a friend moving to West Virginia for cheaper housing and a not woke school district. How great it was going to be and how jealous they were of that friend. Six months into the school year the person was back posting about how bad the education was and how behind the schools were. My friends who moved in from other states have all commented that their kids were behind when they got to FCPS.



There are a lot of other places besides West-by-God-Virginia.

It’s amazing how many suburbs of mid-tier cities in the South and Midwest have nicer schools than FCPS, and the academics in FCPS are grossly overrated. They just take credit for the extra efforts that parents make.


Good luck, my neighbor moved to the Midwest for work, 5 miles outside of a major city. The school district just dropped all electives in elementary because of budget cuts. No PE, art, music - nothing.
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