Virginia to open up in limited capacity next Friday!

[Anonymous]

If you like your distance, you can keep your distance.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:If you like your distance, you can keep your distance.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Let’s face it. As usual, poor people in America get the shaft. My husband works in big tech. They are estimating only 30% of their global employees will be back in an office by October.
My wealthy SAHM friends all plan to continue to stay at home during the summer. All have cancelled vacation plans. All are either using delivery to get groceries or going at odd hours.
Who is really at risk? Poor people who work in crowded places that can’t be protected and who have crappy or no health care.
There will be people who take dumb risks because they’re either young and unlikely to get really sick (which is fine as long as they don’t pass it on...) or because they don’t believe the risks are real. And we we will see how that plays out.
But most of the wealthy and educated people will sit back in their cushy homes and watch and wait.

Yep. Capital One just announced that 40k of its 50k employees will be WFH until at least Labor Day and when it's time to come back into the office, they'll get 6 weeks notice (I assume this is all of finance/acct/legal/strategy/IT -- NOT the bank tellers who have to be at the branches eventually). There are biglaw whispers that no one is in the office again until after Labor Day (meaning attorneys -- no clue what they'll do with staff, probably lay some more off since the aren't doing much at home); if biglaw is WFH until Labor Day, surely investment banking/Wall Street will be as well. SAHMs can keep SAHM-ing. White collar professionals can either get grocery delivered or calendar themselves an outlook entry to go to the store or Target or Home Depot or wherever they need at 10 am or 1 pm or whenever it's empty in their area bc they don't have the type of job where anyone is getting after them for stepping away for an hour mid day for an errand. These groups can wait it out for months if needed.

It's the "regular" people who will be forced back to work too soon because states are reopening (not so much Va but other places) and then because they're working, their options will be stopping by stores at 5 pm or on weekends -- when they are most crowded.

If this doesn't teach kids to go to college and then get the high end JDs/MBAs/engineering and go higher end white collar, IDK what will.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:You would think the DMV would coordinate opening bc of proximity and how many people commute from one state to the other.

Virginia is a huge state. The southern sections that border Tennessee and Kentucky are likely fine.

They're not. But you have already checked your privilege so you don't know and don't care.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Let’s face it. As usual, poor people in America get the shaft. My husband works in big tech. They are estimating only 30% of their global employees will be back in an office by October.
My wealthy SAHM friends all plan to continue to stay at home during the summer. All have cancelled vacation plans. All are either using delivery to get groceries or going at odd hours.
Who is really at risk? Poor people who work in crowded places that can’t be protected and who have crappy or no health care.
There will be people who take dumb risks because they’re either young and unlikely to get really sick (which is fine as long as they don’t pass it on...) or because they don’t believe the risks are real. And we we will see how that plays out.
But most of the wealthy and educated people will sit back in their cushy homes and watch and wait.

Yep. Capital One just announced that 40k of its 50k employees will be WFH until at least Labor Day and when it's time to come back into the office, they'll get 6 weeks notice (I assume this is all of finance/acct/legal/strategy/IT -- NOT the bank tellers who have to be at the branches eventually). There are biglaw whispers that no one is in the office again until after Labor Day (meaning attorneys -- no clue what they'll do with staff, probably lay some more off since the aren't doing much at home); if biglaw is WFH until Labor Day, surely investment banking/Wall Street will be as well. SAHMs can keep SAHM-ing. White collar professionals can either get grocery delivered or calendar themselves an outlook entry to go to the store or Target or Home Depot or wherever they need at 10 am or 1 pm or whenever it's empty in their area bc they don't have the type of job where anyone is getting after them for stepping away for an hour mid day for an errand. These groups can wait it out for months if needed.

It's the "regular" people who will be forced back to work too soon because states are reopening (not so much Va but other places) and then because they're working, their options will be stopping by stores at 5 pm or on weekends -- when they are most crowded.

If this doesn't teach kids to go to college and then get the high end JDs/MBAs/engineering and go higher end white collar, IDK what will.

I agree this describes almost everyone I know except physicians. However my husband had to take a 20% pay cut as I’ve heard many others have. I know he’s lucky to still have his job. They are venture backed though and will run out of money in September if they can’t raise more capital by then (unlikely.)

[Anonymous]

I work at one of the big four accounting firms and while they haven't announced a date, it's sounding more and more like it will be end of summer or even longer before a substantial amount of people will be back in the office.

[Anonymous]

A friend’s salon is still postponing opening. They want to see what happens the first few weeks.

[Anonymous]

A friend in big law just got informed she was getting a 20% pay cut today.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Let’s face it. As usual, poor people in America get the shaft. My husband works in big tech. They are estimating only 30% of their global employees will be back in an office by October.
My wealthy SAHM friends all plan to continue to stay at home during the summer. All have cancelled vacation plans. All are either using delivery to get groceries or going at odd hours.
Who is really at risk? Poor people who work in crowded places that can’t be protected and who have crappy or no health care.
There will be people who take dumb risks because they’re either young and unlikely to get really sick (which is fine as long as they don’t pass it on...) or because they don’t believe the risks are real. And we we will see how that plays out.
But most of the wealthy and educated people will sit back in their cushy homes and watch and wait.

Yep. Capital One just announced that 40k of its 50k employees will be WFH until at least Labor Day and when it's time to come back into the office, they'll get 6 weeks notice (I assume this is all of finance/acct/legal/strategy/IT -- NOT the bank tellers who have to be at the branches eventually). There are biglaw whispers that no one is in the office again until after Labor Day (meaning attorneys -- no clue what they'll do with staff, probably lay some more off since the aren't doing much at home); if biglaw is WFH until Labor Day, surely investment banking/Wall Street will be as well. SAHMs can keep SAHM-ing. White collar professionals can either get grocery delivered or calendar themselves an outlook entry to go to the store or Target or Home Depot or wherever they need at 10 am or 1 pm or whenever it's empty in their area bc they don't have the type of job where anyone is getting after them for stepping away for an hour mid day for an errand. These groups can wait it out for months if needed.

It's the "regular" people who will be forced back to work too soon because states are reopening (not so much Va but other places) and then because they're working, their options will be stopping by stores at 5 pm or on weekends -- when they are most crowded.

If this doesn't teach kids to go to college and then get the high end JDs/MBAs/engineering and go higher end white collar, IDK what will.

I agree this describes almost everyone I know except physicians. However my husband had to take a 20% pay cut as I’ve heard many others have. I know he’s lucky to still have his job. They are venture backed though and will run out of money in September if they can’t raise more capital by then (unlikely.)

Agreed. I'm not saying high end professionals have to make NO sacrifices-- obviously some % of them have/will be laid off; and this time around there have been a lot more 10-20% paycuts rather than full layoffs since companies are waiting a few months to see if business comes back. But I still think these jobs are physically the "safest" in part because of the flexibility they provide -- WFH, go to the store at 9 am on a day where you don't have calls etc. To some extent you can tell your bosses what you're going to do, instead of feeling like -- oh I've been told I need to come back tomorrow,damn if I don't go I'll get fired.

Obviously drs. are in a totally different position despite being white collar just by virtue of what they do for a living.

[Anonymous]

It will be interesting to see what happens to prices for services. My bet is that expensive haircut and color is going to at least $100 or more expensive than before.

[Anonymous]

I’m thrilled gyms are opening. But will they limit entrants to only 10 folks at a time?

[Anonymous]

Opening up does not equal an economic rebound. Look at the states that have opened. Folks are not flocking to stores.
This isn’t a choice between health & the economy. It’s about health & pedicures

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:I’m thrilled gyms are opening. But will they limit entrants to only 10 folks at a time?

We will be rated by bodies at the door. The most fit get to come in first since they will get the most out of the workout.

[Anonymous]

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Anonymous wrote:Very confused as to why anyone is considering any of these openings when the Trump Admin is predicting 3k deaths a day which will bring us back to where we were in mid-March very quickly.

They predicted 2.2 million deaths in the beginning. People aren’t buying their BS models anymore.

+1. We’re two weeks behind Italy... we’re 8 days behind Italy...

The 2.2 million was a projection based on not taking any mitigation measures-- no shut down, no social distancing, no telework or tele school, no additional hygiene practices.

THIS. It baffles me how people just don’t seem to get this. We shut things down in early March so that we would not get the 2.2 million projected deaths and now that we didn’t, we’re hearing “oh COVID 19 is not that bad, why did we shut down”? This lack of critical thinking baffles me. Is this a reflection of the USVeducation system?

The "Oh Covid 19 is not that bad" is coming from the fact that it kills less than 1% of people who are infected by it. Yes, those of us who are pushing for things to reopen, fully realize that the numbers would be much higher if it weren't for the shutdown, but the % of fatalities would still be very small. You're thinking in terms of numbers, we are thinking in terms of percentages. To us, a virus that kills such a small percentage of people is not worth turning our society into something that falls in the range of a Great Depression or Zombie Apocalypse.

How many people would have been killed this year if we didn’t lock down?

The virus has been in the states since December, people weren’t dropping like flies then up until March.

Where is the proof that social distancing DID work?

The curve flattening?

How many people do you think will die from covid if we open up now and no longer social distance at all?

How bad do you think the economy will get if we continue to keep things shut down?

Very bad. But again how many people do you think will die? If we are weighing options we need to have full picture.

I don't know specifically how many people, but I know it's less than 1% that are infected, and that's not worth the economic cost.

But you need some idea of #s to make an educated decision. Say 3 million (<1% of US population) die. Are they not worth the economic cost?

No you don’t. Less than 1% is less than 1%. Whether that number is 500 or 5 million. You don’t destroy the world for 99% of society to say 1%. Especially when most of that 1% has one foot in the grave.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Opening up does not equal an economic rebound. Look at the states that have opened. Folks are not flocking to stores.
This isn’t a choice between health & the economy. It’s about health & pedicures

Governors know the help isn’t coming from the federal government. People are on unemployment that won’t last forever. No more stimulus bills are going to be passed. Whatever help was given is all that’s going to be given. Governors are looking at this and their tanking state economies knowing it’s not safe to open yet but they don’t have a choice. The safety net to keep people safe wasn’t provided. We all just have to do the best we can and hope and pray we don’t get it from here on out.