Yes, no one should expect the same number of kids to get from 2010 and 2024 when the applications are increasing at these schools. |
The applications have gone up because kids apply to more schools. It is now much easier to apply to many schools. The number of college bound students is forecast to decline, though. There are probably many factors in play with UVA and TJ. With TJ recognized, many more TJ students appear to have started applying and going OOS during this time period. Colleges have even targeted TJ. Colleges need to make a decision on how to evaluate class rank at TJ vs other schools. Do they consider top 30% at TJ equal to top 10% at another NOVA high school. |
UVA has to represent all parts of the state as a state institution.
It might be better if the Wise transfer option wasn’t such a lousy location. Most kids would rather be at a CC for a year. |
VT was 7 in 2022 and 23 in 2023. It has always surprised me as well that so few go to VT. Most years it is lower than W&M, which is 1/5th the size and does not have engineering. |
For many TJ kids, UIUC is considered better than VT and UVA particularly in engineering, CS and premed. |
Not surprised in the least that VT is not popular . The top Stem talent at TJ as well as other magnets and top privates in Virginia go to ivies with Engineering , or Duke or Hopkins, or Georgia Tech, Michigan. My DC is at an ivy and met NOVA kids at admitted days. They don’t want VT. It does not place nearly as well into grad school or med school(for BMEs ), nor into top tech industry leadership roles. |
^forgot CMU , MIT too |
VT and UVA do not offer direct admit to CS. While VT says everyone with a 3.0 gets into CS, other schools offer direct admits - UMD, Michigan, UT Austin, UIUC, and Purdue. |
Yes. I believe 17 TJ students announced last year they were attending Purdue. |
There seems to be swirls of activity around schools, but they change over time -- Pitt, Michigan, UMD, Purdue . . . |
Another difference between 2010 and 2023 is the demographics of TJ. Back in 2010, the Asian population was still only at like 50% So some of the "TJ penalty" at UVA might actually be the Asian penalty at UVA. It's not like you're kids going to be any less Asian at their base school. https://www.washingtonpost.com/local/education/student-population-at-thomas-jefferson-shifts-significantly/2013/04/21/f04446b6-a6d9-11e2-b029-8fb7e977ef71_story.html https://www.washingtonpost.com/local/education/demographics-shift-at-thomas-jefferson-high-as-asians-make-up-66-percent-of-new-class/2014/04/08/78374f7a-bf23-11e3-b574-f8748871856a_story.html |
What "TJ penalty?" These kids have been doing fine for years and will continue to do so. |
The Asian kids at UVA (and other schools) have the highest stats. Thats what they were referring to. |
From our experience, kids in the median at TJ often end up at the tippy-top of their base school if they choose to leave.
TJ is grueling, and it's not necessary for elite college admissions. If anything, having to compete with other TJ kids makes it much harder. |
I actually know a base student kid that got into Harvard, Princeton, Stanford, and Duke recently. The top TJ kids aren't just great academically. They're often in USAMO, INTEL Science Fair, and have other elite extracurricular activities. I'd guess these kids would have similar outcomes if they attended another school. |