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No I was not and I'm not arguing for Lively, just pointing out that if Slate may have backed Lively for self-interested reasons, then Isabel may have kissed up to Justin for the same reason. Where is the flaw in that logic? |
Agree. Whatever happens, I've found this to be a fascinating look at behind-the-scenes power plays in this industry. I think she expected this to be a slam-dunk slam and it's not working. Maybe I'm completely wrong but it's not looking good for her. |
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I feel kind of overwhelmed by the competing claims here so I've been looking for legal/PR analysis online that might help explain. This piece in Vulture was helpful:
https://www.vulture.com/article/blake-lively-justin-baldoni-lawsuits-explained.html Obviously competing theories here but the takeaway for me is that this isn't a slam dunk for either of them and they both have a lot to lose both in the actual cases and (probably more importantly) in the court of public opinion. But they are both clearly very emotionally committed to the conflict which might result in this going to trial even though the rational thing for both of them is likely to settle out of court. I thought the last scenario was interesting because I hadn't really thought about how Baldoni's case against the New York Times plays into the whole thing. But the implication seems to be that if the NYT wins that case it could be bad for Baldoni in the long run because it weakens his case against Lively. He's alleging she and her team defamed him via the NYT article. But if the NYT wins that lawsuit, he'd be left trying to argue that her complaint on its own was defamatory. Can you do that? Can a lawsuit that alleges things that turn out to not be proven in court be considered defamatory on it's own? |
Vulture is not a trustworthy source on legal matters. As we discussed upthread, The NY Times will almost definitely settle. There is a legitimate fear among media companies of the current state Supreme Court overturning Sullivan, which is a favorable standard for defamation, and media companies want to avoid a situation where a case winds up there. And The NY Times was clearly very sloppy in their reporting, especially with respect to the manipulated texts. |
Adding just read this article and it’s a joke. |
The difference is one is a random text sent prior to litigation and the other is a pr statement after a lawsuit is filed, |
In seriousness: why is it a joke? They talk to reputable people in PR and at law firms. They present a variety of possible scenarios. What about it is a joke? Where should I look for better analysis (by actual professionals who know the law and the industry, not just random anonymous DCUM or reddit posters who can say anything and assert they are experts even if they have no business weighing in)? |
Yes but why would their reasons be different. I would assume a text like the one Isabel sent to Justin is common in the industry because relationships matter so much. I would not assume it was an honest assessment of Isabel's actual opinion of Baldoni. If it were a text from Isabel to a friend or her agent in which she said she had a great experience on the set and Baldoni was a wonderful director, that would very persuasive. But this seems like a standard "you're amazing, thank you for the opportunity [please think of me in the future and say good things about me to others]" message to someone you worked with. It doesn't feel broadly exonerating. |
For the record I also think Slate's comments about Lively are fairly meaningless. There's zero evidence Slate was even present to witness whatever happened on set regarding the stuff in question, or that she knew or interacted with either party that much. And as someone stated upthread, Slate had a book coming out and Lively vocally promoted it so there may be some quid pro quo there. I don't view it as damning for Baldoni, especially because Slate doesn't say "this happened to me too." |
For example, they have five scenarios which include her winning but not him. PR people aren’t lawyers. Not one is doing analysis, they give two sentence conclusions. And the guy saying Baldoni sued the NY Times to deter further reporting missed the boat entirely, i.e., he is providing a quote on media coverage of the very subject. Another opinion is Blake wins because she is famous— wow, deep analysis! |
You are perpetually unable to see anything favorable to him, even when it is obvious, truly amazing. Do you hate all men or just him? |
I never posited that. I said he likely told his friend he could get him in the movie and even in a scene directly with Blake. And probably a wink wink about being the obgyn - a common storyline trope in porn. I never said anything about anyone creating a porn show or the friend getting aroused. You are just making up nonsense and you know that. Given your dozens and dozens of posts in this thread, your trolling is getting old. |
I do? I posted upthread that I found his complaint very damaging to Lively's case. And that I find Lively's retaliation case specifically very weak. But I don't think this one text thread from an actress who was probably just very grateful for the opportunity to be somehow determinative of the whole case. It just sounds like what anyone would tell a director after working with him. I don't understand the comments saying "oh this one text is the key to the whole thing." It sounds fairly irrelevant to me. |
Fanfic about a harassment complaint - that’s a new one! |
They didn't though. That's the funny part! All of the bad press Blake got was 100% her own doing. They may have had a plan to do it, but they didn't have to. |