2020 Senate Map

Anonymous
Iowa maybe. NC has a lot of the same voter suppression problems as Georgia but maybe the scandal over the House seat and the absentee ballots will inspire them to clean up their act. TX is still very red and Cornyn is more popular than Ted Cruz was (hard not to be), so I see that as a less likely pick-up.


I don't disagree on TX except I don't think the extreme dislike of Trump has lessened. Beto came damn close to beating Cruz, and while Cornyn has historically been more popular (see poll in article below) he has the disadvantage of being on the ticket when urban Texans (the population centers) will likely turn out in droves to vote against Trump. If the Dems nominate an MJ Hegar and Beto campaigns for her, Cornyn could find himself in big trouble:

https://www.texasmonthly.com/politics/could-john-cornyn-lose-senate-seat-2020/
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Iowa maybe. NC has a lot of the same voter suppression problems as Georgia but maybe the scandal over the House seat and the absentee ballots will inspire them to clean up their act. TX is still very red and Cornyn is more popular than Ted Cruz was (hard not to be), so I see that as a less likely pick-up.


I don't disagree on TX except I don't think the extreme dislike of Trump has lessened. Beto came damn close to beating Cruz, and while Cornyn has historically been more popular (see poll in article below) he has the disadvantage of being on the ticket when urban Texans (the population centers) will likely turn out in droves to vote against Trump. If the Dems nominate an MJ Hegar and Beto campaigns for her, Cornyn could find himself in big trouble:

https://www.texasmonthly.com/politics/could-john-cornyn-lose-senate-seat-2020/


I don't think you understand how eminent domain by the federal government to take the land of Texans plays in Texas.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:Just donated to Bollier and again to McGrath. Can't wait to flip at least some seats


Kansan, back again. Thank you, PP. These donations go a long way to helping Dr. Bollier win this critical US Senate seat. It IS absolutely winnable. Scores of Kansans are lining up to canvas for Barbara Bollier and otherwise campaign for her, but media buys and campaign lit cost money.

To give everyone an idea of what's going on here, and as I posted on another thread, Kansas is not "turning Blue" - but it does have the potential to send a centrist candidate (Bollier) to the US Senate. There is a strong push in Kansas against extremism, but remember that we are pushing back against the Kochs. This is their home turf. They literally pour money into our state legislative races, because Kansas is their lab rat. The Kochs pile up money behind a candidate, the candidate wins, the candidate votes against the interests of Kansans, grassroots groups mobilize, voters respond by rejecting the extreme office-holder, voters return to regular life and forget, Kochs pick a different candidate and bolster that candidate with tons of money...and the cycle begins again. But since Brownback, voters are (somewhat) more clued-in. There is a local state senate race where the KS GOP incumbent (Mary Pilcher-Cook) is not running in 2020. The only reason Pilcher-Cook (terrible state senator, awful human being) would not seek re-election is if her campaign polling showed she could not win. She is a zealot on a religious mission and her district is Red. But since Trump, she has been losing ground. If you weren't here, you could not fully understand the significance of Pilcher-Cook stepping away. In state legislative races, and in the Congressional Senate race, I believe we will see Democrats winning seats that were unwinnable before. Not many areas, but some key areas.

It will be very close, but Bollier is absolutely within striking distance of this seat. THAT is the reason Pompeo is not running (assuming he does not change his mind). The polling is not favorable. The writing is on the wall.
Anonymous
Thank you for this update. I think it is important to heed the "not turning blue" message. We could use 100 moderates in the Senate right now. That is how it was supposed to be. Some might be pro life others pro choice etc, but the extremes are what are killing this country right now.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:Thank you for this update. I think it is important to heed the "not turning blue" message. We could use 100 moderates in the Senate right now. That is how it was supposed to be. Some might be pro life others pro choice etc, but the extremes are what are killing this country right now.

Seriously take your both sides and shove it somewhere. There is no both sides extremism here, just the GOP having gone bonkers.

Thought I agree thank you to the Kansan pp for the update.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Iowa maybe. NC has a lot of the same voter suppression problems as Georgia but maybe the scandal over the House seat and the absentee ballots will inspire them to clean up their act. TX is still very red and Cornyn is more popular than Ted Cruz was (hard not to be), so I see that as a less likely pick-up.


I don't disagree on TX except I don't think the extreme dislike of Trump has lessened. Beto came damn close to beating Cruz, and while Cornyn has historically been more popular (see poll in article below) he has the disadvantage of being on the ticket when urban Texans (the population centers) will likely turn out in droves to vote against Trump. If the Dems nominate an MJ Hegar and Beto campaigns for her, Cornyn could find himself in big trouble:

https://www.texasmonthly.com/politics/could-john-cornyn-lose-senate-seat-2020/


I don't think you understand how eminent domain by the federal government to take the land of Texans plays in Texas.


Please enlighten us. Are you saying that the (threat of) exercise of eminent domain actually HAS reduced the dislike of Trump in Texas?
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Iowa maybe. NC has a lot of the same voter suppression problems as Georgia but maybe the scandal over the House seat and the absentee ballots will inspire them to clean up their act. TX is still very red and Cornyn is more popular than Ted Cruz was (hard not to be), so I see that as a less likely pick-up.


I don't disagree on TX except I don't think the extreme dislike of Trump has lessened. Beto came damn close to beating Cruz, and while Cornyn has historically been more popular (see poll in article below) he has the disadvantage of being on the ticket when urban Texans (the population centers) will likely turn out in droves to vote against Trump. If the Dems nominate an MJ Hegar and Beto campaigns for her, Cornyn could find himself in big trouble:

https://www.texasmonthly.com/politics/could-john-cornyn-lose-senate-seat-2020/


I don't think you understand how eminent domain by the federal government to take the land of Texans plays in Texas.


Please enlighten us. Are you saying that the (threat of) exercise of eminent domain actually HAS reduced the dislike of Trump in Texas?


Quite the opposite.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Iowa maybe. NC has a lot of the same voter suppression problems as Georgia but maybe the scandal over the House seat and the absentee ballots will inspire them to clean up their act. TX is still very red and Cornyn is more popular than Ted Cruz was (hard not to be), so I see that as a less likely pick-up.


I don't disagree on TX except I don't think the extreme dislike of Trump has lessened. Beto came damn close to beating Cruz, and while Cornyn has historically been more popular (see poll in article below) he has the disadvantage of being on the ticket when urban Texans (the population centers) will likely turn out in droves to vote against Trump. If the Dems nominate an MJ Hegar and Beto campaigns for her, Cornyn could find himself in big trouble:

https://www.texasmonthly.com/politics/could-john-cornyn-lose-senate-seat-2020/


I don't think you understand how eminent domain by the federal government to take the land of Texans plays in Texas.


Please enlighten us. Are you saying that the (threat of) exercise of eminent domain actually HAS reduced the dislike of Trump in Texas?


Quite the opposite.


OK! https://www.star-telegram.com/news/state/texas/article152402734.html
Anonymous
The Reply-All podcast has a three-part episode on what a shit show the Alabama Democratic Party is. (Episode one here: https://gimletmedia.com/shows/reply-all/llhd33/152-the-real-enemy-part-1).

One group, mostly black, is led by old time Dixiecrat fighter and civil rights activist, Joe Reed. He has been very loyal to Nancy Worley as Democratic Party chair. The way Reply All tells it, she has been utterly asleep at the switch, not organizing at all. Another group is, the way the podcast tells it, less cohesive but led by current Alabama Senator Doug Jones and mostly white. Worley's inaction led to a stripping of credentials by the DNC. In November, Worley was replaced by a Doug Jones choice.

Jones' re-election in Alabama is going to be an uphill climb under any circumstance. If the Alabama Democratic Party is disorganized and split along racial lines, that's not going to help anything.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Thank you for this update. I think it is important to heed the "not turning blue" message. We could use 100 moderates in the Senate right now. That is how it was supposed to be. Some might be pro life others pro choice etc, but the extremes are what are killing this country right now.

Seriously take your both sides and shove it somewhere. There is no both sides extremism here, just the GOP having gone bonkers.

Thought I agree thank you to the Kansan pp for the update.


Hey poster f u signed the other 90% of the country


DP - while I do think the above poster delivered the message a little harshly, they are NOT wrong on the bolded

The GOP has become the party of anti-everything and NO. They can't govern for crap. They don't actually want to fix anything - just dismantle programs they don't like paying for.

I would like moderate senators, too, but there ARE no moderates in the GOP. Not anymore. They are the party of Trump. That's it. There are actually more moderate Dems in Congress.

This change pretty much began in the 90s. I had friend who considered themselves moderate Rs who have left the party because they are upset with the BSC stances the party has taken.

I think the Ds have to swing a little more left to counter the insanity.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Thank you for this update. I think it is important to heed the "not turning blue" message. We could use 100 moderates in the Senate right now. That is how it was supposed to be. Some might be pro life others pro choice etc, but the extremes are what are killing this country right now.

Seriously take your both sides and shove it somewhere. There is no both sides extremism here, just the GOP having gone bonkers.

Thought I agree thank you to the Kansan pp for the update.


ok, a reply to this looks to have been deleted and I didn't want to lose and I didn't want to lose what I just typed up (sorry if this gets double posted?)

DP - while I do think the above poster delivered the message a little harshly, they are NOT wrong on the bolded

The GOP has become the party of anti-everything and NO. They can't govern for crap. They don't actually want to fix anything - just dismantle programs they don't like paying for.

I would like moderate senators, too, but there ARE no moderates in the GOP. Not anymore. They are the party of Trump. That's it. There are actually more moderate Dems in Congress.

This change pretty much began in the 90s. I had friend who considered themselves moderate Rs who have left the party because they are upset with the BSC stances the party has taken.

I think the Ds have to swing a little more left to counter the insanity.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Iowa maybe. NC has a lot of the same voter suppression problems as Georgia but maybe the scandal over the House seat and the absentee ballots will inspire them to clean up their act. TX is still very red and Cornyn is more popular than Ted Cruz was (hard not to be), so I see that as a less likely pick-up.


I don't disagree on TX except I don't think the extreme dislike of Trump has lessened. Beto came damn close to beating Cruz, and while Cornyn has historically been more popular (see poll in article below) he has the disadvantage of being on the ticket when urban Texans (the population centers) will likely turn out in droves to vote against Trump. If the Dems nominate an MJ Hegar and Beto campaigns for her, Cornyn could find himself in big trouble:

https://www.texasmonthly.com/politics/could-john-cornyn-lose-senate-seat-2020/


I don't think you understand how eminent domain by the federal government to take the land of Texans plays in Texas.


NP. I don’t. I’m ignorant about this point you’re making. Can you expound?
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:Thank you for this update. I think it is important to heed the "not turning blue" message. We could use 100 moderates in the Senate right now. That is how it was supposed to be. Some might be pro life others pro choice etc, but the extremes are what are killing this country right now.

Seriously take your both sides and shove it somewhere. There is no both sides extremism here, just the GOP having gone bonkers.

Thought I agree thank you to the Kansan pp for the update.


Hey poster f u signed the other 90% of the country


DP - while I do think the above poster delivered the message a little harshly, they are NOT wrong on the bolded

The GOP has become the party of anti-everything and NO. They can't govern for crap. They don't actually want to fix anything - just dismantle programs they don't like paying for.

I would like moderate senators, too, but there ARE no moderates in the GOP. Not anymore. They are the party of Trump. That's it. There are actually more moderate Dems in Congress.

This change pretty much began in the 90s. I had friend who considered themselves moderate Rs who have left the party because they are upset with the BSC stances the party has taken.

I think the Ds have to swing a little more left to counter the insanity.


+1 to all above. Independent.
Anonymous
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Iowa maybe. NC has a lot of the same voter suppression problems as Georgia but maybe the scandal over the House seat and the absentee ballots will inspire them to clean up their act. TX is still very red and Cornyn is more popular than Ted Cruz was (hard not to be), so I see that as a less likely pick-up.


I don't disagree on TX except I don't think the extreme dislike of Trump has lessened. Beto came damn close to beating Cruz, and while Cornyn has historically been more popular (see poll in article below) he has the disadvantage of being on the ticket when urban Texans (the population centers) will likely turn out in droves to vote against Trump. If the Dems nominate an MJ Hegar and Beto campaigns for her, Cornyn could find himself in big trouble:

https://www.texasmonthly.com/politics/could-john-cornyn-lose-senate-seat-2020/


I don't think you understand how eminent domain by the federal government to take the land of Texans plays in Texas.


NP. I don’t. I’m ignorant about this point you’re making. Can you expound?


NP. I think the PP was saying that Texans are, more than citizens of other states, protective of their real estate rights. Trump will have to take land away from Texans to build the wall. PP was suggesting that Texans will be mad about this.
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