We won't have abetter grasp on this until weeks later and even then it's a small sampling of the actual numbers which have to be much higher. |
This doesn't mean 25% have COVID. It means 25% of people testing for COVID have COVID. Which is bad bad bad. But not as bad as a lot of people assume. Im any case, yeah, going virtual for this surge makes sense either way, especially since unlike March 2020 this is relatively short-lived and therefore unlikely to have the massive learning-loss and social impacts that a 18 month closure did. |
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https://www.baltimoresun.com/coronavirus/bs-md-coronavirus-update-jan-2-2022-20220102-ynymmnjqmfcrxaxgt3selkf2ci-story.html
Covid positivity Maryland 26% Moco has had some data problems so has not reported positivity. |
Exactly why they didn't, but I think you know that. |
If by impacted you mean the schools are shut down ok. But if you look at the map of school ages positivity it's the wealthier areas that have the concentration of cases, possibly because they have more time and resources to get tested, or maybe because of travel. You can make up any guesses you want but right now we really don't know. |
No way. I feel like I shouldn't have posted the map because this kind of cognitively biased response was inevitable. I live in downtown Silver Spring and we have at least as many families as you describe, as does Wheaton, and there's only one school anywhere near us that is currently red. And we have a much higher population. Like I said, we can't read too much into it. (Especially as I assume it will quadruple in size by the end of the week.) At most there could be a more severe outbreak in the Seneca Valley area specifically due to some superspreader, but more likely it reflects good communication or nothing at all. |
| I think they should shut down schools based on a combination of positivity rate in the surrounding communities among school age plus the school cases. |
Completely agree with this poster. |
The state has been reporting MoCo positivity and it’s just a hair under the state’s. Yesterday the state was at 27% and MoCo was at 26%. There used to be a bigger gap between the state and MoCo but it has been narrowing since thanksgiving. With positivity that high, I’m not sure 1% difference is meaningful. |
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I agree that they are working with bad data on the student side-- how many parents are actually reporting cases? (Particularly given they haven't had to call in an absence yet).
When students go back, data will be a bit better because parents are used to sending in absence explanations. But it still won't be great. I really wish they were doing the rapid tests IN SCHOOL rather than sending them home. Tons of parents won't bother to administer the test to asymptomatic kids-- part laziness, and partly possibly to hoard the test given the proliferation of complaints that they aren't readily available. |
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Rock Terrace
Cannon Road North Chevy Chase elementary Hallie Wells Monocacy Roberto Clemente Forest Knolls Waters Landing Rosemont Seneca Valley Sherwood elementary Monocacy has 8 cases on the spreadsheet from another thread, Cannon Road has 13, d Diamond has more than the oth er elem schools at 18. This shutdown list makes NO sense. And, my kid goes to PHS and I KNOW they have more cases than that. I got a letter everyday with a lot of cases of covid and it added up to more than just 31!! I smell a scandal. Check for yourself: https://www.montgomeryschoolsmd.org/uploadedFiles/Coronavirus/Winter%20Break%20COVID%20Cases%20Reported%20Through%2010%20pm%20January%201%202022.pdf |
OMG get off the conspiracy theory nonsense. They are looking at percentages not raw numbers. Also, you can't use the numbers in that PDF because it includes positive cases from early in winter break, and those people are now out of quarantine and able to return to school. |
| Nice, they deleted it now |
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Its also just a little silly when the feeder schools are not on the list, but their older siblings are on the list.
It may also have to do when kids got vaccinated. The elem kids got vaccinated recently and presumably their symptoms (if they got covid) were so low they didn't notice. Whereas the older kids got their vaccines earlier and most of the 12-15 year olds haven't been boostered yet so may notice their symptoms and report. We need to switch to 5 day isolation for asymptomatic cases immediately though. |
Do you know what a tiny school Monocacy is? In the 2020-2021 school year, they had 136 students and less than 20 staff members. Do the math; 8 with Covid would be above the 5% threshold. Stop with the conspiracy theories! |