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Political Discussion
Football coach is one of the leading categories of rapist of males, along with Christian preacher and Republican politician.... Hmmm, see a pattern? |
PP here. A special election is almost never a proxy for a presidential election. It is very risky to over-index on those. Personally, I don’t consider the VA and NJ elections particularly relevant for the 2028 presidential election. I expect Democrats to do well in the midterms, in fact, but I don’t consider them good signal for a presidential race either. The only race that I do think is interesting with respect to the 2028 election is Mamdani’s election. He isn’t a 2028 presidential contender, but his election had some voting trends that gave me hope for the first time in a long time. It’s too early to tell now, though. |
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It's a lot easier for a privileged person to be pro rights for others before those people actually get their rights. When the check comes due, many lose their appetite
It's like how Warren Buffett "supports" raising taxes on himself, which he knows will never happen. |
If you don't pander to losers, then you don't get the loser vote. And most people are losers. |
+1 1 million people - men and women - became unemployed in the past year thanks to Trump's economy and the assumption is that the women left by choice?? Hahaha that is a stretch. Again, I do not begrudge any woman her choice, but I will always think women should have freedom of choice! Unlike Republicans. |
And democrats like JustinTrudeau, Kier Starmer and Emanuel Macron as they are harassing and persecuting their electorate in the name of multiculturalism. So wtf is your point? |
^^Liar alert^^ I don't see that and neither do my young, straight, white sons, but then again they weren't constantly listening to "the right" telling them lies about what "the left" was saying. |
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Has anyone mentioned the phenomenon of replacing White men with basically anything else in media?
That’s something that really turned a lot of people against the left. |
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The funniest political analysis on here is the triumphal, "the Dems are looking good for 2026 and 2028!"
Trump, Trumpism, and Republican populism are the biggest threats Democrats have faced to their hegemony since Reagan. George W Bush barely "won" in a squeaker against Gore, then got re-elected on war on terror momentum. But other than W's 2nd election, Dems have been somewhat dominant in Presidential politics since Reagan. (Clinton 2 terms, Gore winning the popular vote, Obama 2 terms, Hillary Clinton winning the popular vote.) Until recently. Trump, for all his faults, has driven a massive ballot box resurgence for both parties. Voter turnout in the last two Trump elections has been massively higher than in any other elections for more than 50 years. Trump has transformed Republicans from the stingy country club party with losing candidates like George H W Bush, John McCain, and Mitt Romney into the party of the working man, the party of blue collar workers, the party of flyover states He has repeatedly set the all time records for most votes and highest turnout among Republicans. He just beat us again even after multiple impeachments, multiple indictments, demonization by every reputable news organization, etc. He's been a pretty formidable opponent. But for a full decade, we've failed to grapple with his successes or our failures. We refuse to wonder why he was able to get so many people to vote for him, why he was able to dramatically increase Republican success with minorities, or why people keep voting for him in spite of establishment denouncements. If we intend to win elections in the future, we have to ask ourselves what we've done wrong. Not just DNC types, but dcurbanmom types too. It's very, very hard for us to do. Voting Democratic and subscribing to the Democratic Party platform has become, in our minds, an important signal of intelligence, education, morality, and class. If we're better people because we're Democrats, then how can we "grapple with failure"? "We've done nothing wrong! The voters are the ones who have done wrong! By falling for a charlatan/fascist!" But we have done things wrong, according to the voters. Covid Karenism, Open Borders, Lawfare, Censorship, LGBTQIA+ education for elementary school children, etc. Are we willing to moderate on any of those policies? Are we willing to roll back the clock even 10 years and align our policy platform with Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama? Or are we going to stubbornly insist that our policy platform (and our governing performance) is beyong reproach and the voters are just stupid and racist? People who don't know why they lost recent battles are less likely to win future battles. Rahm Emanuel is running for President, and he's about to bring the tough love. He's going to tell our party, particular the upper middle class dcurbanmom types, that we have to STOP pushing unpopular policies and STOP sneering at all the voters. He's going to tell us that we have to ADMIT that we've been wrong on immigration, covid, trans, and more. He's going to tell us that we have to admit that WE, the education party, FAILED at teaching minimal literacy, and got CORRUPTED by our Party's alliance with the teachers' union. We are going to hate Rahm's medicine. But if we don't take it, we are less likely to win elections over the next decade. Maybe Trump's unpopularity will let us win again without admitting any faults. It's certainly possible. But trying to run and win without admitting any faults introduces a major "degree of difficulty." Some primary candidates will flatter us that we've been right about everything all along. Some candidates (like Buttigieg) will remind us of ourselves, and that will be flattering too. "Former McKinsey consultants would make great Presidents." Some candidates will double down on our least popular positions and demand "amnesty and a path to citizenship" for illegal immigrants. But a few candidates, like Rahm, are going to tell us exactly why we've been losing and exactly what unpopular policies we're going to drop from our platform (at least for now.) Rahm is very tough, very persuasive, and very disciplined. He might get us to take our medicine and approach the next election with humility and discipline. Or we might reject him for saying things we don't want to hear. It will be interesting to see what happens. |
This is so condescending. The Left is completely wrong about the Right living in a bubble or being brainwashed. The Left avoids Fox News and most conservative news and opinion *like the plague.* For most Democrats I know, it's a point of pride to avoid conservative media. It's trashy, it's trumpy, it's "beneath us." For Republicans, it's the opposite. They CAN'T avoid liberal media. It's the air we breathe. No-one on the right is unaware of the Democratic Establishment narratives. They KNOW what the New York Times thinks, what CNN thinks, what academia thinks, what CEOs think, what affluent white liberal women think. AND they read conservative media too, without fear of catching cooties from it. Sure, the average redneck reads less than the average dcurbanmom. But for any given level of media consumption, the conservative at that level is getting a broader perspective of opinions than the liberal. Because liberals CAN and DO deliberately shut out, willfully misunderstand, demonize, and oversimplify Republican opinion. Liberals CAN and DO manage to live in an information bubble. Whereas conservatives CAN'T live in an information bubble even if they wanted to. Similarly, most Trump voters are NOT in a Trump cult. Trump voters understand Trump better than his opponents do, and with more nuance. Very few people go around believing things just because Trump says them. Heck, there are Trump quotes on both sides of almost every issue! Young men who think the Democratic Establishment is against them did NOT get that idea from right wing media! They feel it in their bones. It's obvious. The Democratic Establishment has been literally SCREAMING for a decade that voting against Democrats proves racism or Nazism. The Democratic Establishment screamed during Covid that freedom-loving conservatives should be put in internment camps if they didn't want experimental medications forced on them. The Democratic Establishment created conditions in which the hiring of young white men collapsed in recent years due to preferences for other Demographics. Young men are turning away from the Democratic Establishment because they sense, correctly, the disdain the establishment has for them. And because they have felt, practically, the results of governance by the Democratic Establishment. Fewer jobs for young white men, increased income inequality, a world designed to maximize home prices for affluent blue city baby boomers while making them unaffordable to the next generations, etc etc etc. It is condescending, incorrect, and self-destructive to tell young men they are WRONG to think something that they have personally experienced in an intense way. |
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This condescension toward young men builds on itself.
The more sure liberals are that they are right about everything, the quicker they are to assume racism and stupidity in the people who don't agree with them. And hating Trump has intensified this dynamic. Of course Trump's opponents are right about everything, Trump is the worst! But when we go around believing that the only possible reasons roughly half the voters chose Trump over Democrats in 2016, 2020, and 2024 are: - racism - stupidity - cult membership - brainwashed by conservative media - etc., it is we who are being dumb. |
I’m the PP who was begging Democrats here to change their approach in the springs of 2016 and 2024 because I knew Trump would win and I agree with nearly all of this. However, I have less faith in Rahm Emmanuel than you do. I think, unfortunately, he will get quickly booted due to the money from the teachers unions and various NGOs that will see his candidacy as an existential threat to their benefits and ongoing revenue streams. He doesn’t have the war chest to compete. I currently don’t see a winnable candidate on the horizon for 2028, for what it’s worth. |
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Tw no Thanks
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"PP here. A special election is almost never a proxy for a presidential election. It is very risky to over-index on those. Personally, I don’t consider the VA and NJ elections particularly relevant for the 2028 presidential election. I expect Democrats to do well in the midterms, in fact, but I don’t consider them good signal for a presidential race either."
This is right on. And it's very telling that Democrats are so quick to jump on these special elections as "proof" that we can win in 2028 without making any concessions to the voters. There are good and bad signs out there for Democrats. Good signs: one off special election results, historical midterm patterns Bad signs: collapsing poll numbers for Congressional Democrats (lower than Republicans), our inability to come up with any names of Democratic Presidential candidates who seem likely to win, the Republican victory in 2024, and our doubling down on our least popular policies: We lost partly because of Biden's open borders; this year we've started protesting deportations of criminals We lost partly because of trans athletes; this year 100% of Democratic Senators voted to block a bill limiting biological male access to girls' locker rooms. We lost partly because of perceptions of government fraud and waste; we FREAKED OUT about "Doge" audits and spending cuts. Yes, Doge stinks, Musk stinks, they were jokers harvesting data and breaking protocols and cutting some good programs. But...to many swing voters it sure looked like we were staunchly defending every single dollar of federal spending as sacrosanct. Not a great look. As a betting person, I would be quite surprised if we won the Presidency in 2028. We're too full of ourselves. We refuse to take onboard any voter feedback. Hillary Clinton used to catch flack for being too manufactured and poll driven. But now we think we're so smart and so moral that we shouldn't "have to" consider voter preferences. If the voters don't want illegal immigrants and biological males in the girls' locker room, then the voters are bad and we'll force them to accept even MORE of what they don't like! We've been postponing our "listening tour," our "how the heck did we lose to Trump" since 2016. We're going to have to go through that process at some point if we hope to have our team selected to lead the country again. |
This. |