Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread
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Anonymous
More because I’ve seen how bad trump is, I can’t imagine 4 more years of this. |
Anonymous
More, less and the same. |
Anonymous
Less. The things that worried me last time are mostly not an issue this time. Doesn't mean I am not worried at all though. |
Anonymous
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UPDATED 538 poll data for 11/01/20: - Updates since 10/29/20 in burgundy color
Alaska: B-43.4%, T- 51.2%; T+7.8 Iowa: B-45.8%, T- 47.4%; B+1.6 Shifts from Biden to Trump Missouri: B-44.1%, T- 50.8%; T+6.7 Montana: B-45.3%, T- 50.2%; T+4.9 Ohio: B-47.1%, T- 47.4%; B+0.3 South Carolina: B-43.5%, T- 51.4%; T+7.9 Texas: B-47.3%, T- 48.4%; T+1.1 Arizona: B-48.7%, T- 45.7%; B+3.0 Florida: B-48.7%, T- 46.5%; B+2.2 Georgia: B-48.3%, T- 47.1%; B+1.2 Michigan: B-51.2%, T- 43.0%; B+8.2 Nevada: B-49.4%, T- 44.5%; B+4.9 North Carolina: B-48.7%, T- 46.8%; B+1.9 Pennsylvania: B-50.0%, T- 45.2%; B+4.8 Wisconsin: B-51.9%, T- 44.0%; B+8.4 |
Anonymous
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UPDATED 538 poll data for 11/01/20: - Updates since 10/29/20 in burgundy color
Alaska: B-43.4%, T- 51.2%; T+7.8 Iowa: B-45.8%, T- 47.4%; T+1.6 Shifts from Biden to Trump Missouri: B-44.1%, T- 50.8%; T+6.7 Montana: B-45.3%, T- 50.2%; T+4.9 Ohio: B-47.1%, T- 47.4%; T+0.3 South Carolina: B-43.5%, T- 51.4%; T+7.9 Texas: B-47.3%, T- 48.4%; T+1.1 Arizona: B-48.7%, T- 45.7%; B+3.0 Florida: B-48.7%, T- 46.5%; B+2.2 Georgia: B-48.3%, T- 47.1%; B+1.2 Michigan: B-51.2%, T- 43.0%; B+8.2 Nevada: B-49.4%, T- 44.5%; B+4.9 North Carolina: B-48.7%, T- 46.8%; B+1.9 Pennsylvania: B-50.0%, T- 45.2%; B+4.8 Wisconsin: B-51.9%, T- 44.0%; B+8.4 |
Anonymous
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Some fresh Data Progress polls (including some in under-polled states).
PRES (Biden margin): National +10 TX +1 NC +2 CO +12 AZ +3 VA +11 AL -20 SENATE (D margin): TX -3 NC +5 CO +9 AZ +8 VA +15 AL -12 |
Anonymous
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Cook Political swingometer:
https://cookpolitical.com/swingometer |
Anonymous
Anonymous
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Monmouth also tweeted that 700 THOUSAND absentee ballots in PA have yet to be returned, and if they don’t arrive by Tuesday, could cost Biden 3-4 points. Absentee ballots could be the death of this election. |
Anonymous
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Meanwhile GOP pollsters are all over the news saying the opposite. See the Pennsylvania thread. It’s like some people are being paid to start a civil war. |
Anonymous
Anonymous
| I think the combination of the WisconsinDem ground game, along with COVID raging, along with FoxConn and other GOP tricks, has the state crushing it. The actions of the GOP state house, particularly Leader Vos, have been egregious. |
Anonymous
I think a lot of people are hanging onto their absentee ballots and choosing to vote in person on Election Day due to all the fearmongering about mail-in ballots. Also, some of those ballots are Trump voters. The current breakdown of absentee ballots by party registration is 52% Dem, 34% GOP and 14% independent. |