If VA goes red this year partially due to the changes in Asian voting preferences (and perceived grievances), that would be a huge and note worthy. |
Trump doesn't even need the 3 blue wall states if he wins Virginia. He doesn't even need Nevada if he wins VA. |
I think Asians in VA are excited to vote for the first ever Asian candidate from a major party (Republican) for the US Senate in VA.
Some polls show Cao within 3 pts. |
Oct. 28-30. 520 LV. Chism Strategies Kaine 46% 45% Cao. Kaine +2 Oct. 27-29. 600 LV. Cygnal Kaine 52% 42% Cao Kaine +10 Oct. 25-29 851 LV Roanoke College Institute for Policy and Opinion Research Kaine 51% 40% Cao Kaine +11 Oct. 2-28 400 LV ActiVote Kaine 55% 45% Cao Kaine +9 Oct. 19-23 1,004 RV The Washington Post/George Mason University Schar School of Policy and Government Kaine 54% 40% Cao Kaine +14 |
It’s pretty offensive the way you’re using “Asian” as a monolith. What I was seeing at the Eden Center for lunar new year was a lot of support for Connolly, who is deeply engaged with the community there, and a lot of disdain for Bone Spurs. In no way do I think that reflects the full “Asian” vote of NOVA so it would be interesting to hear what you think does. |
Cao could win with enough support in NOVA. That same vote can push Trump over the top in VA. The election then ends early. |
You are certainly posting this all over these threads with a great deal of certainty. |
Rasmussen, enough said. |
https://www.roanoke.edu/news/rc_poll_politics_election_2024 Roanoke is rated #32 by 538. Final poll for Virginia has Harris up 51-41. |
I assumed he was rallying in Virginia bc when he needs a little army to do his dirty work (and then take the fall while he maintains plausible deniability) like on J6, it will be useful to have people who are as close to the capitol as possible.
But what do I know, I’m only making predictions based on things he actually did in the past, so… |
NOVA is highly educated and politically savvy. Cao is an absolute clown who believes in witchcraft. Why would you possibly think NOVA would break for Cao of all people when it has never leaned republican before? |
Cao is going to get shellacked and Trump is not going to win Virginia. I’ll bet my all my savings on it. |
This, unfortunately, is true. But they never see it, they didn’t even see it when he said he was going to the Capitol with them and just let them take the fall for him. I hope they wouldn’t fall for it twice but obviously he assumes there’s more people ready to ruin their lives for him. |
Numbers, shmumbers. You have to count with your heart. |
Yeah! You can't count with numbers -- you have to count with your heart. |