Any asset that can’t beat inflation over time isn’t worth much as an asset. |
There are assets that outpace inflation all of the time. In fact, one is…checks notes…housing, which has outpaced inflation in the U.S. since at least the 1960s. They’ll teach you that in Econ 102. We’re glad freshman year went well for you, best of luck as a sophomore. |
Land values can absolutely increase more than the inflation rate basically forever. As long as the economy is growing adjusted for inflation, finite resources can appreciate more than the inflation rate, but less than the real growth rate of the economy indefinitely. It does not mean that this will occur in reality, but it is certainly possible. Eg inflation rate is 3% growth rate of the economy is 5%. Land can appreciate at 4% forever. So land becomes more valuable after adjusting for inflation, but accounts for a smaller share of the economy over time. |
I’m laughing that you don’t understand that nominal housing prices are useless. People buy their payment. We just had 3+ decades of a declining rate environment. Let’s check back in 2 years as the market adjusts to 7% mortgage rates. You keep telling people to go to school but I don’t think you actually ever did or if you did you didn’t learn anything. |
Are you just bitter that you don’t own a home? Why on earth are you even trying to make this argument? |
Nah it’s Frederick that will benefit - and has largely benefited from Moco missteps. |
I’m just curious: How did you decide that the previous poster said SFH owners need faster-than-inflation property value growth to come out ahead? |
It's been the latest side-show to distract from their inability to address the concerns raised about additional densities, now pages back... |
The distractions are endless. By the way, speaking of pages back, did you know that not only are they not going to charge developers (or anyone else) increased impact fees for this mess, they plan to provide: 1. An exemption from the county’s development impact tax for three-bedroom and larger units in multi-family buildings. 2. A 50% discount on the development impact tax for single-family attached and detached dwellings that are 1,500 square feet or smaller (i.e., smaller homes, sometimes referred to as attainable housing)." https://www.bizjournals.com/washington/news/2024/06/01/how-montgomery-county-can-reinforce-the-goals. 3. Increasing exemptions for 3bdrm+ apartments and halving them for attainable size housing (not to mention a bunch of other changes). In addition, a revamping the public points system to minimize “excessive” additional requirements for residential construction. |
Corrected link https://www.bizjournals.com/washington/news/2024/06/01/how-montgomery-county-can-reinforce-the-goals.html?fbclid=IwZXh0bgNhZW0CMTEAAR3p0aQI4pLoe36dJom7zzr9H3KxB5fzpImtEsLuBqd_K6pSBQ18P3DVaMg_aem_ZmFrZWR1bW15MTZieXRlcw |
This is from the growth and infrastructure policy. They’re proposing to cut these fees even though there’s no evidence that smaller houses generate fewer students and there’s no evidence that lower fees benefit consumers. The impact fee program used to be structured very fairly. Fees were based on the number of students a particular type of housing was expected to generate. Since the program started, they’ve layered a number of exemptions and discounts into it, hollowing out one of two dedicated funding sources for the MCPS capital budget. As a result, we’ve seen school construction projects downsized and delayed. |
Hans Riemer was responsible for messing up impact fees. He’s going to have left a lasting legacy of mismanagement in Moco. |
The must PPP think that TIPS are mathematically impossible or some kind of evil trick that must be stopped, which makes me laugh so hard. |
Friedson too. He and Riemer are cut from the same cloth. |
This is all sad. I can understand wanting to upzone SFH areas that are close to metro. It's only a matter of time before greater density comes. But to not charge developers appropriate impact fees just indicates that the MoCo powers that be are in the pocket of developers. And the crowded MCPS schools and crumbling infrastructure are a testament to that. |