+1. Russia seems to be pouring everything it has into the current counter attacks. If anything, it's unclear where Russia will be able to obtain more troops, since they've started cannibalizing the police. "police chiefs are considering reassigning special units of the Russian Federal Drug Control Service to Rosgvardiya, the Russian national guard" https://www.yahoo.com/news/putin-beefing-security-services-because-114821496.html The Rosgvardiya isn't National Guard like it is in the US. "it consolidated the forces of the MVD Internal Troops, SOBR, OMON and other internal military forces outside of the Russian Armed Forces" https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Guard_of_Russia https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_equipment_of_the_National_Guard_of_Russia Remember that OMAN and SOBR were those lovable stormtrooper type guys who cracked heads when the USSR collapsed. A weak analogy might be re-assigning DEA SWAT teams to a Nazi brownshirt version of the FBI SWAT with APC's and Automatic Grenade Launchers..? Kinda hard to describe. There's also the economic factor. Ukraine is cushioned by many countries providing economic / military aid and support. Russia is on it's own, so it's understandable why Russia is coordinating with OPEC to cut oil production, but it may take a few weeks or months before prices help them any. The theory is cutting production will raise oil prices, therefore Russian gas will be more valuable. Yet something else is going on with Russia's economy. Today the Ruble was 90.75 to 1 USD; a far cry from the 25'ish to 1 ratio Russia enjoyed before 2010. A month ago it was 80 to 1. "As of January 1, 2022, retirees in Russia received a gross pension of approximately 16,900 Russian rubles on average (monthly)" https://www.statista.com/statistics/1093950/average-monthly-retirement-benefit-value-russia/ Why is this important? That's about USD $186.23 (in 2009, that would've been $676, and a year ago about $318). It means the average Russian's buying power was just cut in half from last year and a third from 15 years ago. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iNuAR4k09_4 These propaganda videos are meant to show how full the shelves are, but look at the prices. If a single cut of fish (one meal) is 1500 rub, do the math. A pensioner will have about 10 meals and their paycheck is done. She focused on the red-tagged (sale) fish or meatballs (300-400 rub, but we don't know why it's on sale - is it rancid? we don't really know..), but we do know the wine is 500-600 rub (about USD $5.60 to 6.60 a bottle, with a sale that the second bottle is half that price). Cakes are 500 to 700 rub and stacked on the shelves - again, with no one buying them. Take a look at the people shopping. Big store, fully stocked, but only a handful of customers? It might be that she's shopping at 6 am, but look carefully at the video [17:06 / 29:53]. 1300 and 700 rub per kilo for shrimp and the ones on sale were 400. Shrimp doesn't last long unfrozen - two days tops. Just because the US exchange rate is attractive and makes goods look cheap, doesn't mean that the average Russian pensioner with only 16,900 rub a month can afford it. My question is whether Russia in hyperinflation? |
| Total isolation? Yeah. Things must be breaking down at a quick clip internally for them to go this extreme. Putin has conditioned the Kremlin to tighten screws and overreact to the slightest provocation. The problem is that they can't turn back time or undo bad decisions. The North Korean model might have worked if Russia started doing it in the 60's, but now? I know the Russian Government is trying to make it impossible to organize dissent, but anytime the Internet is cut off, it will just cause fear and panic with anyone under 40. However, it's an indicator that they're still on track towards total anarchy within two'ish years. |
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Newsweek make it sound like managing Zelensky and Ukraine has been more difficult than anticipated. Interesting timing with all the threats about ZNPP.
https://www.newsweek.com/2023/07/21/exclusive-cias-blind-spot-about-ukraine-war-1810355.html |
I would not think twice about the environment. Any nation that abducts kids by the 10s of thousands is right there with nazis. Any mass Russian casualty event is a good event; even if it is away from the front lines. |
LOL like the US was in full control of lower Manhattan on 9/11? |
LOL funded by American weapons makers and dealers. No war = no business. |
What? Yeah, history remembers them as invaders, marauders and destroyers of the Arab lands. Go to hell with your white savior nonsense. |
Why would it affect my own children, of all people? Is your heart bleeding over every single armed conflict in the world today? What is with this ridiculous expectation that there should be a premium on Ukrainian pain? They are not the first country being invaded and they certainly won't be the last. |
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Next time you vote boys and girls, Democrats and Republicans that hate Trump, want a war with Russia. Think about that hard and long. And there is not enough people in the military to fight a war with Russia. Guess what boys and girls: you will both be drafted and you will die in Russia.
You bought the garbage that Yahoo/CNN/FACEBOOK/CBS/NBC/ABC etc all have told you about Obama, Hillary, Biden - and these 3 people WANT A WAR WITH RUSSIA and will support the draft. Bet you a dollar Malia doesn't get drafted. Maybe Trump is not the enemy, maybe Yahoo, and the trolls that will come out of the wordwork and attack this little response are your enemies. |
Sorry little Dima, nobody is buying your "western missile strike on ZNPP" crap. |
MIND NUMBINGLY LUDICROUS AND STUPID TAKE. WE didn't somehow force Russia to invade Ukraine. This was entirely Putin's doing. It is a 100% a war of HIS choice. This war would be OVER TOMORROW if Putin stopped his completely unjustified, illegal invasion and left Ukrainian territory. FACTS MATTER. STOP with your BULLSHIT. |
Doesn't matter if it's from ISW, it's still far more credible than RT, and your favorite TV pundits like Simonyan and Solovyov... But if you don't like hearing about it from ISW, you'll also hear from numerous Russian milbloggers about how things are not going well for Russia and that in many parts of the front they are in retreat and out of resources. |