Best Post I’ve Seen in a Month on DL/Hybrid Choice

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Can someone point me to the source where he got .0016? I’m having trouble tracking that down.

That's because he made it up. He said he saw a comment somewhere where someone in Loudon said .0016, but then somehow magically that guy deleted his comment. And then LATER he posts a picture of some very small study from Switzerland that has .0016% of positive children (out of a sample of like 200 people overall) died. Basically, he made it up.

[Anonymous]

If you're a member of Linked In, sign in and search his name and it still says NEA.

[Anonymous]

I've been seeing more and more reports of daycares and camps having outbreaks, both kids and adults. We also don't have much data on groups of kids together in indoor settings, because we shut down when this started. And while other countries seem to be doing ok (with some outbreaks), their rates are much, much lower than ours.

So the bottom line is that there are a lot of unknowns. If we were doing better, more like rates in Europe (Maryland is not there), I say go for it. But, since we are not, coupled with the out of control problem across the country, I think extra caution is warranted to get this under control once and for all. Even though we're doing better than other parts of the country, people are traveling like crazy (e.g. the 80 or so teens in Loudon who went to Myrtle Beech and tested positive), so we cannot say it won't impact us as well.

Anyway, caution is my vote. Frankly, I wish everyone had stayed super cautious through the summer, then maybe we wouldn't be in this predicament.

[Anonymous]

Has Joe Morice's facebook post been removed? A PP said that a journalist had reported the post as false and misleading.

Any action taken?

[Anonymous]

Babe. Please calm down. I am a PhD in statistics.
Okay 302 kids won’t die... but how many kid deaths you would be willing to accept?

203? 103? 03? Yeah just tell me the number y’all...

[Anonymous]

If 3 kids have to die so my post-OrangeTheory Chardonnay Club can meet in peace, that’s a sacrifice I’m willing to make.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote: Babe. Please calm down. I am a PhD in statistics.
Okay 302 kids won’t die... but how many kid deaths you would be willing to accept?

203? 103? 03? Yeah just tell me the number y’all...

I think she is willing to accept a lot of kid deaths as long as they aren't her kid. You think she's screeching now? Wait 'til it is her kid in PICU.

[Anonymous]

No one’s really arguing with this guy about most of what he’s written, but we’ve got pages of mathematical geniuses arguing over the risk of kids dying. This much is certain, the decision to send or stay is really much more complex than that. Oh well. Good luck everybody.

-working parents, choosing DL for safety, convenience, education, socialization and mental health reasons. We exist. This is not a binary choice between having these things in one scenario and not in the other.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:No one’s really arguing with this guy about most of what he’s written, but we’ve got pages of mathematical geniuses arguing over the risk of kids dying. This much is certain, the decision to send or stay is really much more complex than that. Oh well. Good luck everybody.

-working parents, choosing DL for safety, convenience, education, socialization and mental health reasons. We exist. This is not a binary choice between having these things in one scenario and not in the other.

Most of the rest of his points have nothing to do with our family. He can argue to himself about whatever he wants. I disagree with his risk assessment and the value of in-person interaction. Beyond that, he's just talking to himself.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:No one’s really arguing with this guy about most of what he’s written, but we’ve got pages of mathematical geniuses arguing over the risk of kids dying. This much is certain, the decision to send or stay is really much more complex than that. Oh well. Good luck everybody.

-working parents, choosing DL for safety, convenience, education, socialization and mental health reasons. We exist. This is not a binary choice between having these things in one scenario and not in the other.

LOL. Which thread have you been reading?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:No one’s really arguing with this guy about most of what he’s written, but we’ve got pages of mathematical geniuses arguing over the risk of kids dying. This much is certain, the decision to send or stay is really much more complex than that. Oh well. Good luck everybody.

-working parents, choosing DL for safety, convenience, education, socialization and mental health reasons. We exist. This is not a binary choice between having these things in one scenario and not in the other.

Most of the rest of his points have nothing to do with our family. He can argue to himself about whatever he wants. I disagree with his risk assessment and the value of in-person interaction. Beyond that, he's just talking to himself.

+1

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:No one’s really arguing with this guy about most of what he’s written, but we’ve got pages of mathematical geniuses arguing over the risk of kids dying. This much is certain, the decision to send or stay is really much more complex than that. Oh well. Good luck everybody.

-working parents, choosing DL for safety, convenience, education, socialization and mental health reasons. We exist. This is not a binary choice between having these things in one scenario and not in the other.

Most of the rest of his points have nothing to do with our family. He can argue to himself about whatever he wants. I disagree with his risk assessment and the value of in-person interaction. Beyond that, he's just talking to himself.

Looks like he was talking to his friends online and someone posted what he said here, so he was never talking to you. Good luck this year, I mean it in the real sense, not the snarky one. Tough choices for everyone.

I find myself talking to myself everyday for the record. This is a crazy making time.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:No one’s really arguing with this guy about most of what he’s written, but we’ve got pages of mathematical geniuses arguing over the risk of kids dying. This much is certain, the decision to send or stay is really much more complex than that. Oh well. Good luck everybody.

-working parents, choosing DL for safety, convenience, education, socialization and mental health reasons. We exist. This is not a binary choice between having these things in one scenario and not in the other.

Most of the rest of his points have nothing to do with our family. He can argue to himself about whatever he wants. I disagree with his risk assessment and the value of in-person interaction. Beyond that, he's just talking to himself.

Looks like he was talking to his friends online and someone posted what he said here, so he was never talking to you. Good luck this year, I mean it in the real sense, not the snarky one. Tough choices for everyone.

I find myself talking to myself everyday for the record. This is a crazy making time.

It’s been shared nearly 18,000 times on Facebook, not to mention I’ve seen it copied here and on Reddit. He’s talking to a lot of people, and he’s doubled down on his bad math. It’s incredibly annoying that something so inaccurate has become so widespread. No one cares about truth or facts anymore.

[Anonymous]

Perhaps it’s been shared so widely because a lot of what he has written is resonating with a lot of people, aside of from the inaccurate math *shrug*

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:No one’s really arguing with this guy about most of what he’s written, but we’ve got pages of mathematical geniuses arguing over the risk of kids dying. This much is certain, the decision to send or stay is really much more complex than that. Oh well. Good luck everybody.

-working parents, choosing DL for safety, convenience, education, socialization and mental health reasons. We exist. This is not a binary choice between having these things in one scenario and not in the other.

Most of the rest of his points have nothing to do with our family. He can argue to himself about whatever he wants. I disagree with his risk assessment and the value of in-person interaction. Beyond that, he's just talking to himself.

Looks like he was talking to his friends online and someone posted what he said here, so he was never talking to you. Good luck this year, I mean it in the real sense, not the snarky one. Tough choices for everyone.

I find myself talking to myself everyday for the record. This is a crazy making time.

It’s been shared nearly 18,000 times on Facebook, not to mention I’ve seen it copied here and on Reddit. He’s talking to a lot of people, and he’s doubled down on his bad math. It’s incredibly annoying that something so inaccurate has become so widespread. No one cares about truth or facts anymore.

This is what really upsets me. He mad some ok points, but he also chose to focus on the 302 number making it front and center with a big graphic. Maybe he initially miscalculated, whatever, i am honestly shocked he published the number in the first place because the second I read that number I knew there was no way it was correct. But then when it was pointed out to him numerous times he didn't change it. Instead he defends his crappy calculation and why he used it. Meanwhile it keeps getting shared by morons who don't have the sense to question that number and a bunch of idiots are freaking out that 302 kids will die. His unwillingness to change his post along with the idiots who take it at face value is disturbing.

This Joe dude is a complete moron who should send his kids to school, they will certain fare better in a classroom than being schooled by their incompetent father.