It’s no more of an IOU than an index fund or ETF is an IOU for shares of stock but no one goes around saying you have to own stocks directly and funds can’t be trusted. |
Should people sell RE and buy Bitcoin, would he do this if he had RE? I want to find an example of someone holding RE for investment and selling it to buy Bitcoin |
You are ultra HNW and sweating about 100k and a "reputable dealer"? Cool story, bro
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Ooof, ok then. I was getting rather stressed out as most of my investment is RE, and I was considering getting BTC to make up 2% of our total NW, but buying at the height now feels like jumping into a bandwagon that is fueled by the incoming administration fluffing up crypto.. When something is getting so hyped up I am generally cautious. |
It is precisely why I am apprehensive about it. What exactly made it go from 0 to 2 trillion? What was it other than hype and mutual decision of some people that it represents monetary value? All that is needed is for the token to be mutually agreed on as holding "value" and then those holding or "mining" it would become richer and richer as bottom feeders are feeling FOMO (which is like MLM scheme). It's a weird asset class if you think of it. It was conceived as "currency" and touted as digital gold. But it behaves as a volatile stock. What is its future? If it becomes currency then there needs to be liquidity, holding it and not having enough sales volume will hamper it from becoming currency. Another token will be needed to use as "money" backed up by Bitcoin, just like USD was once backed up by Gold. If it continues being a speculative asset at some point it will reach the limit of its growth and its growth is propelled by nothing but belief that it's new "digital" Gold. |
The value of this reserve now is diddly squat compared to our other reserves and especially compared to our enormous debt measured in tens of trillions. US government routinely throws billions away, it's not a huge commitment to get this proportion of Bitcoin for a major world government. they still own less than other companies and mysterious Satoshi Nakamoto or whatever that made up name is. Which brings another uncomfortable thought. Will it be allowed to be a reserve "currency" given who now owns most of it and who will stand to own most of it?
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It’s a final form of money just like any other - like the dollar or gold. It has the advantage of being continuously liquid and supply constrained and ultimately beyond the reach of any single government or actor - it’s an amazing technological innovation- you don’t grow to 2 trillion over 16 years based on pure speculation- as you said there can be other digital tokens- but this is the winner - the digital monetary network everyone uses that works and now has massive liquidity and depth - the question is does it now grow to 20 trillion? |
A small allocation still makes sense in the event it goes way up due to a real shift in the financial architecture of the world. |
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Interesting meta fact: BTC is up 7% in the 7 days that this thread has existed. (~$98,700 to ~$106000) |
OP here. Good observation. I bought more today. Like many people on this board, I used to be very skeptical. I’m still cautious- I take calculated risks but also play it safe and very diversified. So I’ve been struggling with how much to own. I think it’s totally plausible that it becomes a 20 trillion asset class in time and I simply don’t want to miss out. |
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I don't like trying to convince people on the merits of bitcoin. Rather than tell people to "buy bitcoin" I prefer to tell them to "learn about bitcoin" -- that usually results in people who take the time to do so ending up buying some.
The best reference I can think of is the book "The Bitcoin Standard". If you're open-minded and want to understand how something has gone from zero to a 2 Trillion USD asset over the course of about 15 years, that's the place to start. |
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We have a total of about $2.5 million invested in various accounts, taxable and non-taxable, non in Bitcoin. I bought about $100 in BTC in 2017 but sold it later that year because I didn't want to be even a tiny bit responsible for the ludicrous energy consumption involved at the time. I guess now I've given up about $900 in gains as a result, but I'm OK with that.
I did open a crypto wallet in 2010 and for a minute a few years ago thought I had obtained about $10 worth of BTC back then, which would be worth a decent amount now. But when I was able to find the password for the wallet, it was empty. I guess either I never got any bitcoin back then or it got stolen in the interim. |
100% |
Grant Cardone sold his Miami mansion. He has a whole video about it on youtube. I sold two properties and family sold one. I'm renting and not planning to buy any time soon. If any, borrow against Bitcoin. I was going to sell them anyway actually, but Bitcoin sped it up. I should have never even bought them. I'd still be paying for the properties, but my mstr and bitcoin did 8x vs 3x right after I bought them. Got some Tesla too and that did 10x. |
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I have given up. It is amazing how people hold on to their fiat. You cannot get them to part with any of it. Not even with $100 for a chance for it to be a million 10 years from now.
I have given up and simply collect excuses now. The main claim is that they have no money (yet just came back from the mall) and #2 is that have to do the research, which they never do. Bitcoin for me is like savings account. I put in $29k in August 2023 and that has collected $77k in interest. How do I tell my kids 10-15 years from now that I had millions, but half a Bitcoin was too much so here are some government bonds. |