Harris beating Trump in Iowa

[Anonymous]

She's a major lefty wing person, look at her Twitter feed, she's a Harris plant

https://x.com/jaselzer?t=NR5rGU_T2eunxSIZob6L6A&s=09

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:She's a major lefty wing person, look at her Twitter feed, she's a Harris plant

https://x.com/jaselzer?t=NR5rGU_T2eunxSIZob6L6A&s=09

She talks over an hour about how to win against trump , do you think his is bias ?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:She's a major lefty wing person, look at her Twitter feed, she's a Harris plant

https://x.com/jaselzer?t=NR5rGU_T2eunxSIZob6L6A&s=09

She talks over an hour about how to win against trump , do you think his is bias ?

You got 2-3 more days believing that Trump actually has a chance of winning this thing. You should probably get off the computer and go enjoy them.

[Anonymous]

TO: Trump Campaign Senior Leadership Team
FROM: Tony Fabrizio, Fabrizio Lee & Associates – Chief Pollster, DJTFP / RNC
Tim Saler, Grassroots Targeting – Chief Data Consultant, DJTFP / RNC
SUBJ: Des Moines Register outlier poll versus stable Emerson College survey of Iowa
DATE: November 2, 2024
BLUF: Des Moines Register is a clear outlier poll. Emerson College, released today, far more closely reflects the
state of the actual Iowa electorate and does so with far more transparency in their methodology.
Facts about voter registration & early voting:
Voter registration on Election Day 2020: R+0.5% (+10,547 voters)
Voter registration as of today: R+6.4% (+143,490 voters)
These figures include inactive voters; the margins are improved if reviewing only active voters.
Absentee & early voting as of this point in 2020: D+13 (-121,602 voters)
Absentee & early voting as of today: even (-20 voters)
To their credit, the Emerson College poll has an R+4 party split (below 2020 exit polls at R+10), and a Trump +8
recalled 2020 vote margin that aligns with reported returns. Emerson shows Trump ahead of Harris 53-43 in their
survey.
In the outlier Des Moines Register poll, they claim Harris leads with seniors (age 65+) by 19 points (55-36). In 2020,
President Trump carried seniors 54-45 over Biden according to CNN exit polls.
The Emerson College poll released today concurs with the CNN exits from 2020, with President Trump solidly
ahead 54-45 among voters aged 60-69, and 54-44 among voters aged 70+.
The Des Moines Register also claims Harris leads by 20 points among women (56-36). In 2020, President Trump
tied Biden 49-49 among women according to CNN exits.
Once again, Emerson College's poll today is more similar to the exits, showing instead a lead for President Trump of
5 points - 52-47.
Des Moines Register claims President Trump leads 51-39 among voters without a college degree. In 2020,
President Trump won non-college voters by 17 points (58-41).
Yet again, Emerson College's poll from today agrees, with President Trump leading strongly among voters who have
less than a 4-year degree.
Unlike Emerson which transparently reports its share of partisans and the 2020 vote recall, Des Moines Register
does NOT disclose the distribution of this information, even though they asked it in their survey.
Emerson College reports President Trump leading strongly 93-7 among Republicans, while getting 8% of
Democrats to Harris's 92%. President Trump solidly leads among independents 55-42.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:She's a major lefty wing person, look at her Twitter feed, she's a Harris plant

https://x.com/jaselzer?t=NR5rGU_T2eunxSIZob6L6A&s=09

And yet, her polling in Iowa has been on the nose, including the 2016 elections

[Anonymous]

Some people in here *really* can’t imagine that people don’t like their guy.

I have no idea what will happen. But I know:

- Reality will do her thing (she always does)

- if Reality doesn’t favor Trump he will challenge the results in court, and also through extrajudicial means, likely violent, bc he does not actually give af what the people want

- he will ask people with less power than he has to commit any acts of violence, and they will bear the consequences while he sh*ts on a gold toilet

- pre-election, casting doubt on any data that supports a Harris win is part of Team Trump’s strategy, so folks should be very wary of all the hE Is wINniNG bs

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:She's a major lefty wing person, look at her Twitter feed, she's a Harris plant

https://x.com/jaselzer?t=NR5rGU_T2eunxSIZob6L6A&s=09

Ask yourself why a Harris plant would manipulate data to show Harris +3.

Think about it.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:She's a major lefty wing person, look at her Twitter feed, she's a Harris plant

https://x.com/jaselzer?t=NR5rGU_T2eunxSIZob6L6A&s=09

Ask yourself why a Harris plant would manipulate data to show Harris +3.

Think about it.

More importantly, her polling to date has been accurate, so why would she tarnish her reputation with a poll that’s 13 points away from reality?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:She's a major lefty wing person, look at her Twitter feed, she's a Harris plant

https://x.com/jaselzer?t=NR5rGU_T2eunxSIZob6L6A&s=09

Ask yourself why a Harris plant would manipulate data to show Harris +3.

Think about it.

Oh please Harris is not manipulating data. This pollster is highly accurate every presidential cycle including in 2016. Not everything is some insane conspiracy theory.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:She's a major lefty wing person, look at her Twitter feed, she's a Harris plant

https://x.com/jaselzer?t=NR5rGU_T2eunxSIZob6L6A&s=09

Ask yourself why a Harris plant would manipulate data to show Harris +3.

Think about it.

More importantly, her polling to date has been accurate, so why would she tarnish her reputation with a poll that’s 13 points away from reality?

She is retiring after this cycle

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:She's a major lefty wing person, look at her Twitter feed, she's a Harris plant

https://x.com/jaselzer?t=NR5rGU_T2eunxSIZob6L6A&s=09

Ask yourself why a Harris plant would manipulate data to show Harris +3.

Think about it.

More importantly, her polling to date has been accurate, so why would she tarnish her reputation with a poll that’s 13 points away from reality?

She is retiring after this cycle

According to redditers on copium. But let's say she is retiring, that would be a reason not to tank her reputation.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:She's a major lefty wing person, look at her Twitter feed, she's a Harris plant

https://x.com/jaselzer?t=NR5rGU_T2eunxSIZob6L6A&s=09

Ask yourself why a Harris plant would manipulate data to show Harris +3.

Think about it.

Oh please Harris is not manipulating data. This pollster is highly accurate every presidential cycle including in 2016. Not everything is some insane conspiracy theory.

+1 MAGAs are freaking out lol

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Some people in here *really* can’t imagine that people don’t like their guy.

I have no idea what will happen. But I know:

- Reality will do her thing (she always does)

- if Reality doesn’t favor Trump he will challenge the results in court, and also through extrajudicial means, likely violent, bc he does not actually give af what the people want

- he will ask people with less power than he has to commit any acts of violence, and they will bear the consequences while he sh*ts on a gold toilet

- pre-election, casting doubt on any data that supports a Harris win is part of Team Trump’s strategy, so folks should be very wary of all the hE Is wINniNG bs

Definitely, you see it here. A few posters having a temper tantrum over her poll.

[Anonymous]

It's going to be hard for Trump to steal the election and thereby avoid prison if Iowa is even close..thank God.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:It's going to be hard for Trump to steal the election and thereby avoid prison if Iowa is even close..thank God.

Actually if you look at the recent electoral polls trump will still win if he loses iowa