2001, 2008, or 2022

[Anonymous]

Keep dumping baby. This is implosion is real nice.. Full on Japanese 80s style bubble popping..

Where are the mindless buy the dippers? Keep buying even though the fed put is gone. Lol, didn't even take being an investment professional to read these tea leaves. We are screwed and this economy is about to die..

[Anonymous]

I've never been a fan of crypto but I was watching it implode overnight. Question- is a further wipeout of crypto enough to set off a chain reaction to other assets via margin calls, derivatives etc?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:I've never been a fan of crypto but I was watching it implode overnight. Question- is a further wipeout of crypto enough to set off a chain reaction to other assets via margin calls, derivatives etc?

If crypto tanks, you have idiots like the Microstrategy CEO who leveraged his company on crypto. They will get margin called if Bitcoin tanks to about $20-25k. That means layoffs for microstrategy employees because their idiot ceo gambled on a ponzi scheme..

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:I've never been a fan of crypto but I was watching it implode overnight. Question- is a further wipeout of crypto enough to set off a chain reaction to other assets via margin calls, derivatives etc?

If crypto tanks, you have idiots like the Microstrategy CEO who leveraged his company on crypto. They will get margin called if Bitcoin tanks to about $20-25k. That means layoffs for microstrategy employees because their idiot ceo gambled on a ponzi scheme..

Didn’t he do this once before? Once a gambler always a gambler.

[Anonymous]

It is really unknown if BTC imploding can cause contagion. How much do funds own and bet on crypto? If they lose and get margin called, they may have to sell other assets like stocks to cover the losses. We will wait and see. If you're a govt and watching contagion spread from an unregulated wild west of crypto to your actual financial markets, then it doesn't take a genius to figure out that the govt hammer may come in the future to try to kill crypto or significantly regulate it. It could cause even more losses for crypto holders.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:It is really unknown if BTC imploding can cause contagion. How much do funds own and bet on crypto? If they lose and get margin called, they may have to sell other assets like stocks to cover the losses. We will wait and see. If you're a govt and watching contagion spread from an unregulated wild west of crypto to your actual financial markets, then it doesn't take a genius to figure out that the govt hammer may come in the future to try to kill crypto or significantly regulate it. It could cause even more losses for crypto holders.

BTC is not big enough for that yet. 10 years from now, yes. There will be BTC ETFs, derivatives and derivatives on derivatives by then. If you are young enough, plan for that bubble and you'll make a killing.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Keep dumping baby. This is implosion is real nice.. Full on Japanese 80s style bubble popping..

Where are the mindless buy the dippers? Keep buying even though the fed put is gone. Lol, didn't even take being an investment professional to read these tea leaves. We are screwed and this economy is about to die..

Lol! Thanks I needed a boost when invest more in this market.

[Anonymous]

The super rich are rubbing their hands in glee! The last downturn, Trump, Jared and co, picked up over 20K+ low income housing for steady returns. When this RE bubble bursts, they will swoop in and pickup hundreds of thousands of homes for pennies on the $.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:The super rich are rubbing their hands in glee! The last downturn, Trump, Jared and co, picked up over 20K+ low income housing for steady returns. When this RE bubble bursts, they will swoop in and pickup hundreds of thousands of homes for pennies on the $.

Yep! I've actually primed my accounts for this. Some folks panic while others prepare.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Keep dumping baby. This is implosion is real nice.. Full on Japanese 80s style bubble popping..

Where are the mindless buy the dippers? Keep buying even though the fed put is gone. Lol, didn't even take being an investment professional to read these tea leaves. We are screwed and this economy is about to die..

Lol! Thanks I needed a boost when invest more in this market.

Right!

[Anonymous]

1000 pt drops. Now people are allowed to worry.

[Anonymous]

Bought one of my favorite tech stocks Monday thinking we would start some turnaround; sadly too soon.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Bought one of my favorite tech stocks Monday thinking we would start some turnaround; sadly too soon.

The Fed hasn't even actually begun tightening. In general, we're just getting started. That being said, if it's a good company, it should be a good longer term play.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:What do you do with your money in a situation like this.

I’ve been steady investing 15-% of my net paycheck every 2 weeks into my taxable brokerage account. I’m going to just more doing this. It’s worked out well for me

That's fine, just don't expect rebounds like 2008-2021. The era of easy money and the bull market is over. Bear markets can last for very, veryong times. You better lrepr.for holding 10+ years in a worst case scenario. The Fed put is over because inflation is out of control. Bond yields are crawling out of their grave, which means there will be very attractive options in the future besides investing in stocks. Trillions may flow from stocks and into bonds.

I'm the PP who said we're all screwed. It either ends in a deflationary 1929 crash or a hyperinflation event. We have so much debt with a relatively short maturity that really the country cannot afford to service it at the much higher rates needed to tame inflation. So historically, countries in this position have inflated away the debt via currency devaluation. Some people think we're going to get a recession initially and then the Fed will have to step in and lower rates again by late 2022 or 2023 to prevent the 1929 style deflation, sending us into more inflation. Ultimately this sets up a move to the digital dollar, which sounds nuts but there's plenty of articles out there about it. Buckle up!

If you know so much, you should put your money where your mouth is. If you're right, you can make out like a bandit! But I've never seen a doom-and-gloomer actually follow through.

[Anonymous]

From Josh Brown

The truth is, most regular people who are trying to invest right now are not built for this environment. They should not be reacting to headlines or volatility or earnings reports or economic data. This is one of the most treacherous environments I have ever seen, and I traded during the dot com meltdown, 9/11, Enron and Tyco and WorldCom and Lehman and LTCM and Madoff and the debt ceiling downgrade and the Asian currency crisis and the European debt crisis and Gangnam Style and the pandemic lockdowns and Zika and Ebola and SARS and Bird Flu and Hoof and Mouth and all sorts of other shit. Not just traded for myself but answered to others about their money, in real-time, during all of it. Those environments were tough. This one’s impossible.

Charlie Munger recently said, when asked about the economy, “If you’re not confused right now, then you don’t understand what’s going on.” I would add the following coda: If you’re at all certain right now about what happens next, you might be psychotic. Pay attention to the people who seem to be precisely sure about how June, July and the end of the year will go. Those people are escaped lunatics, running around the Walgreens parking lot wearing hospital gowns. Call security.

We’re in a rangebound market. One day the Dow Jones is up 800 points, the next day it’s down 1,000. The world we live in did not suddenly lurch from one condition to another in a 24 hour span. That’s pure emotion. We talked about this, guys. I told you it’s not complicated – of the 50 most volatile up and down days ever, 47 took place while the S&P 500 was below its 200-day moving average, as it is now. If you’re following the right people, you’re taking this well. Doing very little. Tax loss harvesting. Adding to long-term retirement accounts on a regular schedule. Focusing on raising your savings rate, not ratcheting up your investment returns expectations. Biding your time til the next bull market. Exercising outdoors. Reading books, not newspapers.

How many summers do you have left? Good summers? Ten? Twenty five? How much of this summer do you want to give to debates about interest rates where you have absolutely no say whatsoever in the outcome? I have no choice but to spend my summer on this stuff. People are counting on me. Are you in the same boat?

https://thereformedbroker.com/2022/05/18/what-part-of-rangebound-didnt-you-understand/