VA house of delegates

[Anonymous]

Looking deeper at the 538 results ... all of these are Republican held seats, btw.

Going in: 66 R, 34 D
Dems have surely won 13 seats: 53 R, 47 D
6 seats are close: 47 R, 47 D

94 - R winning by 12 (!!) votes. All votes in but provos.

28 - R + 104. All votes in but provos. I can't see that changing things.

40 - D + 185. Waiting on PWC absentee ballots. Assuming 750 absentees (15% of election day total) and that they break down by the same %'s as election day voters ... absentees break down 423-327. I think this goes Blue and this is the House MAJORITY LEADER.

27 - R + 138. Waiting on Chesterfield absentee ballots. This may flip but I think it stays R just barely.

68 - D + 463. We're waiting on Chesterfield absentees. Assuming absentees are 15% of election day total ... that's 2,639 ballots. The R won the Chesterfield part of this district 55-44, so that'd break the absentees down 1452-1187. Not enough to make up. I think the D wins here.

85 - D + 447. Waiting on absentee ballots from VA Beach. Gut feeling says the margin is too big to overcome.

I think the House is tied or 51-49 D.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Virginia, NJ, Philly, the PA Supreme Court, Fayeteville, NC, Maine referednums, it has been pretty much a clean sweep and repudiation of this GOP.

Even Manchester NH went with a Democrat for Mayor! Next stop Alabama Senate-good Democratic candidate vs. bigoted corrupt Republican. It's just a few weeks away.

Alabama? Get real. They'll elect the R.

+1
Won't matter if the Dem is Jesus himself.

They said that about the governor of Louisiana who ran against a well-known Republican. And the Democrat one. It's time for Democrats to start contesting the South again.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Virginia, NJ, Philly, the PA Supreme Court, Fayeteville, NC, Maine referednums, it has been pretty much a clean sweep and repudiation of this GOP.

Even Manchester NH went with a Democrat for Mayor! Next stop Alabama Senate-good Democratic candidate vs. bigoted corrupt Republican. It's just a few weeks away.

Alabama? Get real. They'll elect the R.

+1
Won't matter if the Dem is Jesus himself.

They said that about the governor of Louisiana who ran against a well-known Republican. And the Democrat one. It's time for Democrats to start contesting the South again.

Ah, yes - "Vote for the crook. It's important." Worth a Google if you don't know what I'm talking about.

[Anonymous]

Just imagine if the Dems had contested every seat...

For the life of me I can't see why they don't.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Just imagine if the Dems had contested every seat...

For the life of me I can't see why they don't.

It is hard to run a local race, you will have to get a candidate first.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Looking deeper at the 538 results ... all of these are Republican held seats, btw.

Going in: 66 R, 34 D
Dems have surely won 13 seats: 53 R, 47 D
6 seats are close: 47 R, 47 D

94 - R winning by 12 (!!) votes. All votes in but provos.

28 - R + 104. All votes in but provos. I can't see that changing things.

40 - D + 185. Waiting on PWC absentee ballots. Assuming 750 absentees (15% of election day total) and that they break down by the same %'s as election day voters ... absentees break down 423-327. I think this goes Blue and this is the House MAJORITY LEADER.

27 - R + 138. Waiting on Chesterfield absentee ballots. This may flip but I think it stays R just barely.

68 - D + 463. We're waiting on Chesterfield absentees. Assuming absentees are 15% of election day total ... that's 2,639 ballots. The R won the Chesterfield part of this district 55-44, so that'd break the absentees down 1452-1187. Not enough to make up. I think the D wins here.

85 - D + 447. Waiting on absentee ballots from VA Beach. Gut feeling says the margin is too big to overcome.

I think the House is tied or 51-49 D.

And Dems won big despite all that Republican gerrymandering. Imagine how well they will do once districts are redrawn fairly!

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:47-46 Dems. It’s gonna come down to provisional votes.

We can come up with as many of those as we need. This is a lock!

[Anonymous]

From Ned Oliver, Richmond Times-Dispatch:

One year after Trump's victory, Virginia elected:

First transgender delegate in the country
First out-lesbian delegate in the state
First Asian American woman delegate in the state
First two Latina delegates in the state
First Democratic Socialist candidate in the state

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:From Ned Oliver, Richmond Times-Dispatch:

One year after Trump's victory, Virginia elected:

First transgender delegate in the country
First out-lesbian delegate in the state
First Asian American woman delegate in the state
First two Latina delegates in the state
First Democratic Socialist candidate in the state

good - now let's hope they do a good job at governing.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:From Ned Oliver, Richmond Times-Dispatch:

One year after Trump's victory, Virginia elected:

First transgender delegate in the country
First out-lesbian delegate in the state
First Asian American woman delegate in the state
First two Latina delegates in the state
First Democratic Socialist candidate in the state

[Anonymous]

Time for Medicaid expansion for VA.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Could be as many as 16 flip. 50/50 is within reach.

This is EXACTLY what Democrats need to do -- flip state houses and then redraw the districts in 2021.

We need to do it 2019 for it to affect the drawing of the districts.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Time for Medicaid expansion for VA.

Maine did it.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Time for Medicaid expansion for VA.

Maine did it.

Yup - via ballot referendum.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Looking deeper at the 538 results ... all of these are Republican held seats, btw.

Going in: 66 R, 34 D
Dems have surely won 13 seats: 53 R, 47 D
6 seats are close: 47 R, 47 D

94 - R winning by 12 (!!) votes. All votes in but provos.

28 - R + 104. All votes in but provos. I can't see that changing things.

40 - D + 185. Waiting on PWC absentee ballots. Assuming 750 absentees (15% of election day total) and that they break down by the same %'s as election day voters ... absentees break down 423-327. I think this goes Blue and this is the House MAJORITY LEADER.

27 - R + 138. Waiting on Chesterfield absentee ballots. This may flip but I think it stays R just barely.

68 - D + 463. We're waiting on Chesterfield absentees. Assuming absentees are 15% of election day total ... that's 2,639 ballots. The R won the Chesterfield part of this district 55-44, so that'd break the absentees down 1452-1187. Not enough to make up. I think the D wins here.

85 - D + 447. Waiting on absentee ballots from VA Beach. Gut feeling says the margin is too big to overcome.

I think the House is tied or 51-49 D.

And Dems won big despite all that Republican gerrymandering. Imagine how well they will do once districts are redrawn fairly!

Fed congressional districts look odd. 10th and 11th. But these things are drawn for population. I don't see Barbara Comstock's signature [11th] on Gerry Connelly's [10th] letter about SALT. https://connolly.house.gov/uploadedfiles/salt_tax_reform_2017.pdf

States with low or no income tax export taxes-energy producers get $ and FL gets tourists/renters. FL is unique but TX, Alaska, WY . DE has low prop taxes because of the strategic corporate stuff.

Who would ever vote for the NRA gun guy V the guy whose significant other was shot on live TV? Especially after TX church and Vegas just happening.
Except in CA who if anyone is left enough to not want MS 13ers locked up and deported?