Data-driven lottery predictions!

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Can you share a git repo? We can make this into a site.

OP here - ha - I'm not that fancy, this is a combo of back-of-the-napkin and google sheets.

Let brother Claude into your life

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:PK3: (actually live within Powell boundaries)
LAMB
Oyster
Powell
Bancroft (English)
Bruce-Monroe (English)
Marie Reed (English)
Lewis
Barnard
Dorothy Height

OP with some clarifying questions.

So you have IB preference at Powell?

Which schools (if any) would you move for after school starts.

Yes, would have in-bound preference. Could drive/bike and the in-town ones are on the way to work.

[Anonymous]

Oh please. Claude could never. Has OP considered the impact of upcoming renovations and feeder pattern changes? Improvements in middle schools leading to elementary lottery interest? Different patterns for Montessori vs not? DCI feeder allocations?

Personally I would not go back 5 years. This landscape has changed a lot and it would probably be more accurate to use just the last 4 years.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Oh please. Claude could never. Has OP considered the impact of upcoming renovations and feeder pattern changes? Improvements in middle schools leading to elementary lottery interest? Different patterns for Montessori vs not? DCI feeder allocations?

Personally I would not go back 5 years. This landscape has changed a lot and it would probably be more accurate to use just the last 4 years.

Be sure to build in birth rates, housing supply and turnover, and competition from private schools.

[Anonymous]

You could get a lot of data about future offerings of seats out of the school budgets at DCPS data center.

[Anonymous]

By move OP means would you switch schools after the first day of classes. Not would you move where you live.

[Anonymous]

6th

Hardy
Deal

No pref

Move is a possibility

[Anonymous]

5th:

Oyster
Mundo Verde Cook
Basis
Mundo Verde Calle 8

Would probably not move after the school year starts.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Oh please. Claude could never. Has OP considered the impact of upcoming renovations and feeder pattern changes? Improvements in middle schools leading to elementary lottery interest? Different patterns for Montessori vs not? DCI feeder allocations?

Personally I would not go back 5 years. This landscape has changed a lot and it would probably be more accurate to use just the last 4 years.

OP is just trying to have some fun on a Friday and you're over here making feature requests.

But I agree, Claude could never.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Oh please. Claude could never. Has OP considered the impact of upcoming renovations and feeder pattern changes? Improvements in middle schools leading to elementary lottery interest? Different patterns for Montessori vs not? DCI feeder allocations?

Personally I would not go back 5 years. This landscape has changed a lot and it would probably be more accurate to use just the last 4 years.

OP is just trying to have some fun on a Friday and you're over here making feature requests.

But I agree, Claude could never.

Claude code does all the front end I never bothered to learn, it’s pretty good for stuff like this if you know the analyses you want to do.

Not so good at telling you which analyses to perform, I’ll say.

[Anonymous]

Claude could totally.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:PK3: (actually live within Powell boundaries)
LAMB
Oyster
Powell
Bancroft (English)
Bruce-Monroe (English)
Marie Reed (English)
Lewis
Barnard
Dorothy Height

OP with some clarifying questions.

So you have IB preference at Powell?

Which schools (if any) would you move for after school starts.

Yes, would have in-bound preference. Could drive/bike and the in-town ones are on the way to work.

OP here. I went ahead and assumed you'd take a waitlist offer in October. Also - I'm assuming when you say (English) you mean English dominant, and not English track (as it would not make sense for someone with LAMB and Bancroft near the top of the list to put the Marie Reed English Track and not Spanish track). Happy to fix if I'm wrong about any of my assumptions.

Here's where that leaves you:

LAMB - 8%
Oyster - they don't have a PK3, so 0%
Powell (IB) - 65%
Bancroft (English) - 0%
Bruce-Monroe (English) - 0%
Marie Reed (English) - 0%
Lewis - 0%
Barnard - 0%
Dorothy Height - 27%

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:By move OP means would you switch schools after the first day of classes. Not would you move where you live.

OP here - yes! I see how that was confusing! I meant would you be willing to take a waitlist offer in September or October and move schools - not move your actual address.

[Anonymous]

This is like a data driven swami! How fun!🤩

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Oh please. Claude could never. Has OP considered the impact of upcoming renovations and feeder pattern changes? Improvements in middle schools leading to elementary lottery interest? Different patterns for Montessori vs not? DCI feeder allocations?

Personally I would not go back 5 years. This landscape has changed a lot and it would probably be more accurate to use just the last 4 years.

OP is just trying to have some fun on a Friday and you're over here making feature requests.

But I agree, Claude could never.

Claude code does all the front end I never bothered to learn, it’s pretty good for stuff like this if you know the analyses you want to do.

Not so good at telling you which analyses to perform, I’ll say.

If you can't do it without Claude, how are you able to assess if the outputs are actually any good?