Iran Explospions - any takes?
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Anonymous
| My money is on Saudi Arabia messing with them after they hit them with drones a year or two ago. |
Anonymous
| Someone also suggested Kurds in Iraq could have done it. |
Anonymous
| Seems like Israel is taking credit for them now. What a surprise. |
Anonymous
| IF it was Israel, it’s a move that got nods of respect from Ukraine. |
Anonymous
Curious that Israel would launch a military strike against Iran to support Ukraine isn't it? |
Anonymous
The one thing Israel and Ukraine have in common is that their countries are currently the only ones with Jews in senior positions of leadership. Israel has repeatedly rebuffed numerous direct requests for help from Ukraine... But they certainly have for many years had many reasons of their own to strike Iran. Taking out Iranian drone and missile manufacturing plants would be in Israel's best interests as well as those could certainly be used against them. But the attacks also seem to be directed at the IRGC. Taking out the IRGC would be one of the key pieces in allowing Iran to have its revolution. Most of Iran's military isn't made up of ideologues, but the IRGC is - and they are who keep the military and police in line. If the IRGC were to evaporate that would open a lot of doors for the military and police to join with the protesters. |
Anonymous
The fastest way to rally support for an oppressive regime is to attack it. Israel did not taking out the IRGC and most likely increased support for it. The attack on Iran is really strange. It did not do much physical damage but will result end retaliation by both Russia and Iran. The best way to suppress descent at home is to start a war. Bibi is hoping for unrest by the Palestinians and attacks from Iran. If this happens, Bibi can push through his court reform and arrest opposition at home. |
Anonymous
No. If it’s drone related, that’s a way of helping Ukraine in a thread the needle kind of way. |
Anonymous
Israel is not helping Ukrainians. The Israel have gone out of their way to not help the Ukrainians. Every chance they had to help they have sat on the side lines or helped Russia. This has nothing to do with the Ukrainians. |
Anonymous
I disagree with a lot of these takes. My understanding is that IRGC does not have that much broad popular support and these attacks do not increase sympathy or support for them. There was a lot of anti-regime chanting across Tehran as the news of the attacks spread. Also, I don't think Russia has much wherewithal to ramp anything up against Israel. They are already spread extremely thin dealing with Ukraine and have growing hostility and tension on a number of other fronts that they are trying to juggle as well, e.g. Azerbaijan Karabakh situation, their position in Syria, Transnistria, Africa and other places pose risk and issues for Russia if another battle front were to open. If spread much thinner it puts their own internal security at risk as well. With regard to Palestine, if the attack increases Palestinian unrest, it only further validates Israel. |
Anonymous
This attack was a coordinated attack against a truck convoy bring supplies through Syria and this munitions plant. Most likely the trucks were tracked and shown to have originated from this plant. This has nothing to do with Ukraine. Israel government is fully supportive of the Russia operations in the Ukraine. Israel want the 63,000 Russians troops in Syria to continue to cooperate. If you do not believe keeping on the Russians good side is a major foreign-policy goal of the Israelis you are crazy. Everyone rallies around the flag when attacked from outside. So called experts have made this mistake over and over again through out history. Hitting targets in Iran will not over throw the government or theocracy. Here is a similar comparison- Iran saw all the protest in Israel and is planing to overthrow Israel current government by striking military targets in Israel. Think that will work? |