Reply to Iran Explospions

Forum Index » Political Discussion

Reply to "Iran Explospions - any takes?"

Subject:

Emoticons





More smilies

Text Color: Font: Close Marks

[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]IF it was Israel, it’s a move that got nods of respect from Ukraine.[/quote]

Curious that Israel would launch a military strike against Iran to support Ukraine isn't it?[/quote]

The one thing Israel and Ukraine have in common is that their countries are currently the only ones with Jews in senior positions of leadership.
Israel has repeatedly rebuffed numerous direct requests for help from Ukraine...  But they certainly have for many years had many reasons of their own to strike Iran.  Taking out Iranian drone and missile manufacturing plants would be in Israel's best interests as well as those could certainly be used against them.  But the attacks also seem to be directed at the IRGC.  Taking out the IRGC would be one of the key pieces in allowing Iran to have its revolution.  Most of Iran's military isn't made up of ideologues, but the IRGC is - and they are who keep the military and police in line.  If the IRGC were to evaporate that would open a lot of doors for the military and police to join with the protesters.[/quote]

The fastest way to rally support for an oppressive regime is to attack it. Israel did not taking out the IRGC and most likely increased support for it. The attack on Iran is really strange. It did not do much physical damage but will result end retaliation by both Russia and Iran.

The best way to suppress descent at home is to start a war. Bibi is hoping for unrest by the Palestinians and attacks from Iran. If this happens, Bibi can push through his court reform and arrest opposition at home.[/quote]

I disagree with a lot of these takes.  My understanding is that IRGC does not have that much broad popular support and these attacks do not increase sympathy or support for them.  There was a lot of anti-regime chanting across Tehran as the news of the attacks spread.  Also, I don't think Russia has much wherewithal to ramp anything up against Israel.  They are already spread extremely thin dealing with Ukraine and have growing hostility and tension on a number of other fronts that they are trying to juggle as well, e.g. Azerbaijan Karabakh situation, their position in Syria, Transnistria, Africa and other places pose risk and issues for Russia if another battle front were to open.  If spread much thinner it puts their own internal security at risk as well.  With regard to Palestine, if the attack increases Palestinian unrest, it only further validates Israel.  [/quote]

Options

	Disable HTML in this message
	Disable BB Code in this message
	Disable smilies in this message

Review message

Search Recent Topics Hottest Topics