2020 Senate Map

[Anonymous]

In addition to this map, I think the dems/IND will be successful for the Senate in MT, AK, NC and one of the GA.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

This is more accurate.
https://twitter.com/pryanhussey/status/1318577254981685250?s=21

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

This is more accurate.
https://twitter.com/pryanhussey/status/1318577254981685250?s=21

Ha, when I clicked on the twitter link at first I thought the original map had KS in the wrong place since it was handwritten in

[Anonymous]

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.nytimes.com/2020/10/20/upshot/poll-georgia-biden-trump.amp.html

In the regularly scheduled Senate election, Mr. Ossoff is now tied with Mr. Perdue at 43 percent. Mr. Perdue led Mr. Ossoff by four percentage points a month ago, 41 percent to 37 percent.

The survey was conducted from Oct. 13 to 19, and it found no immediate evidence of a shift in Mr. Ossoff’s favor after Mr. Perdue made national headlines by mocking the first name of the Democratic vice-presidential nominee, Kamala Harris, on Oct. 16.

Nonetheless, Mr. Perdue’s favorability ratings declined significantly since the last Times/Siena poll in September, when 47 percent of voters had a favorable view of him and 34 percent had an unfavorable one. Now, Mr. Perdue’s ratings stand at 44 percent favorable and 42 percent unfavorable.

Mr. Ossoff’s ratings have remained largely unchanged, with 44 percent holding a favorable view of him and 39 percent an unfavorable one.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.nytimes.com/2020/10/20/upshot/poll-georgia-biden-trump.amp.html

In the regularly scheduled Senate election, Mr. Ossoff is now tied with Mr. Perdue at 43 percent. Mr. Perdue led Mr. Ossoff by four percentage points a month ago, 41 percent to 37 percent.

The survey was conducted from Oct. 13 to 19, and it found no immediate evidence of a shift in Mr. Ossoff’s favor after Mr. Perdue made national headlines by mocking the first name of the Democratic vice-presidential nominee, Kamala Harris, on Oct. 16.

Nonetheless, Mr. Perdue’s favorability ratings declined significantly since the last Times/Siena poll in September, when 47 percent of voters had a favorable view of him and 34 percent had an unfavorable one. Now, Mr. Perdue’s ratings stand at 44 percent favorable and 42 percent unfavorable.

Mr. Ossoff’s ratings have remained largely unchanged, with 44 percent holding a favorable view of him and 39 percent an unfavorable one.

14% undecided. Those will likely break for Perdue.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.nytimes.com/2020/10/20/upshot/poll-georgia-biden-trump.amp.html

In the regularly scheduled Senate election, Mr. Ossoff is now tied with Mr. Perdue at 43 percent. Mr. Perdue led Mr. Ossoff by four percentage points a month ago, 41 percent to 37 percent.

The survey was conducted from Oct. 13 to 19, and it found no immediate evidence of a shift in Mr. Ossoff’s favor after Mr. Perdue made national headlines by mocking the first name of the Democratic vice-presidential nominee, Kamala Harris, on Oct. 16.

Nonetheless, Mr. Perdue’s favorability ratings declined significantly since the last Times/Siena poll in September, when 47 percent of voters had a favorable view of him and 34 percent had an unfavorable one. Now, Mr. Perdue’s ratings stand at 44 percent favorable and 42 percent unfavorable.

Mr. Ossoff’s ratings have remained largely unchanged, with 44 percent holding a favorable view of him and 39 percent an unfavorable one.

14% undecided. Those will likely break for Perdue.

Why do you assume that?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.nytimes.com/2020/10/20/upshot/poll-georgia-biden-trump.amp.html

In the regularly scheduled Senate election, Mr. Ossoff is now tied with Mr. Perdue at 43 percent. Mr. Perdue led Mr. Ossoff by four percentage points a month ago, 41 percent to 37 percent.

The survey was conducted from Oct. 13 to 19, and it found no immediate evidence of a shift in Mr. Ossoff’s favor after Mr. Perdue made national headlines by mocking the first name of the Democratic vice-presidential nominee, Kamala Harris, on Oct. 16.

Nonetheless, Mr. Perdue’s favorability ratings declined significantly since the last Times/Siena poll in September, when 47 percent of voters had a favorable view of him and 34 percent had an unfavorable one. Now, Mr. Perdue’s ratings stand at 44 percent favorable and 42 percent unfavorable.

Mr. Ossoff’s ratings have remained largely unchanged, with 44 percent holding a favorable view of him and 39 percent an unfavorable one.

14% undecided. Those will likely break for Perdue.

Why do you assume that?

Oh, nothing solid. Just my guess that anyone undecided at this point don’t want to share that they’re going to vote to continue the current dumpster fire.

[Anonymous]

KS-03-related, I know...but it speaks broadly for the state, too. And it’s why Bollier will flip that seat!

“Even in Kansas, private polling also tells the story of Trump’s demise. In Kansas’s Third Congressional District, a suburban district on the Kansas side of Kansas City that was a toss-up House seat in 2018, Biden is currently leading Trump by a 55-40 margin, according to internal polling provided to Vanity Fair by a Democratic strategist working on the race. Clinton won the district by a single point in 2016. The same internal poll showed Biden’s net “Favorable” rating at 55%, with his “Very Favorable” rating growing 10 points between June and October, from 27% to 37%. Trump’s “Very Favorable” rating has been stalled at between 28-32% over the same time period. In other words, Biden is kicking the shit out of Trump in eastern Kansas. If that’s happening in Olathe, it’s unlikely Trump is faring much better outside Atlanta, Des Moines, Charlotte, or Houston.”

https://www.vanityfair.com/news/2020/10/how-trumps-self-destructive-candidacy-could-blow-up-the-electoral-map

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:KS-03-related, I know...but it speaks broadly for the state, too. And it’s why Bollier will flip that seat!

“Even in Kansas, private polling also tells the story of Trump’s demise. In Kansas’s Third Congressional District, a suburban district on the Kansas side of Kansas City that was a toss-up House seat in 2018, Biden is currently leading Trump by a 55-40 margin, according to internal polling provided to Vanity Fair by a Democratic strategist working on the race. Clinton won the district by a single point in 2016. The same internal poll showed Biden’s net “Favorable” rating at 55%, with his “Very Favorable” rating growing 10 points between June and October, from 27% to 37%. Trump’s “Very Favorable” rating has been stalled at between 28-32% over the same time period. In other words, Biden is kicking the shit out of Trump in eastern Kansas. If that’s happening in Olathe, it’s unlikely Trump is faring much better outside Atlanta, Des Moines, Charlotte, or Houston.”

https://www.vanityfair.com/news/2020/10/how-trumps-self-destructive-candidacy-could-blow-up-the-electoral-map

Yup, it’s happening in Omaha, too where the Ds are likely to pick up the suburban House seat there, too.

Back to the Senate - 👀 in Georgia. FWIW, I hate them both, but I don’t understand how Loeffler is running ahead of Collins.

[Anonymous]

[Anonymous]

It appears John James’s chances in Michigan May have been greatly exaggerated?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Awwwww! They're so sad now that there's money in politics.

“It’s not a fair fight right now,” said a state Republican operative who spoke on the condition of anonymity to be frank about the race. The operative said Bollier was benefiting from “the environment and the passion of the other side and the tremendous amount of money that’s flowed to it.”

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Awwwww! They're so sad now that there's money in politics.

“It’s not a fair fight right now,” said a state Republican operative who spoke on the condition of anonymity to be frank about the race. The operative said Bollier was benefiting from “the environment and the passion of the other side and the tremendous amount of money that’s flowed to it.”

Does the GOP ever do anything but whine?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.nytimes.com/2020/10/20/upshot/poll-georgia-biden-trump.amp.html

In the regularly scheduled Senate election, Mr. Ossoff is now tied with Mr. Perdue at 43 percent. Mr. Perdue led Mr. Ossoff by four percentage points a month ago, 41 percent to 37 percent.

The survey was conducted from Oct. 13 to 19, and it found no immediate evidence of a shift in Mr. Ossoff’s favor after Mr. Perdue made national headlines by mocking the first name of the Democratic vice-presidential nominee, Kamala Harris, on Oct. 16.

Nonetheless, Mr. Perdue’s favorability ratings declined significantly since the last Times/Siena poll in September, when 47 percent of voters had a favorable view of him and 34 percent had an unfavorable one. Now, Mr. Perdue’s ratings stand at 44 percent favorable and 42 percent unfavorable.

Mr. Ossoff’s ratings have remained largely unchanged, with 44 percent holding a favorable view of him and 39 percent an unfavorable one.

14% undecided. Those will likely break for Perdue.

Why do you assume that?

Oh, nothing solid. Just my guess that anyone undecided at this point don’t want to share that they’re going to vote to continue the current dumpster fire.

Undecideds typically break against incumbents.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Awwwww! They're so sad now that there's money in politics.

“It’s not a fair fight right now,” said a state Republican operative who spoke on the condition of anonymity to be frank about the race. The operative said Bollier was benefiting from “the environment and the passion of the other side and the tremendous amount of money that’s flowed to it.”

Does the GOP ever do anything but whine?

Well they do a damn good job of lying and cheating, so there's that.