How much will Biden lose by?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:
Trump has more minority support than any R in history.

Dems are in severe panic mode. #WalkAway

Are you trying that again? That panned out about as well as the imaginary red wave did. No one walked away.

NP. I’m pretty sure this is a correct. Dems have long taken minorities for granted. Lots of minorities are quite conservative or traditional and have attitudes more in line with The GOP. As overt racism has been in steady decline, it’s increasingly common to see GOP-aligned nonwhites.

And the Gaza thing will depress minority turnout for Biden.

[Anonymous]

I don't think Biden will lose because people aren't voting "for Biden." They are voting "against Trump."

All Biden has to do is sit in his basement and minimize the self owns. It really is that bizarre.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:
Trump has more minority support than any R in history.

Dems are in severe panic mode. #WalkAway

You have a link to that?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:
Trump has more minority support than any R in history.

Dems are in severe panic mode. #WalkAway

You have a link to that?

DP
https://www.cnn.com/2024/03/27/politics/minority-voters-biden-trump-analysis/index.html

Democrats have been growing increasingly anxious about public polls showing former President Donald Trump making unprecedented inroads among Black and Hispanic voters.

Both national and battleground state public polls consistently show Trump, at this point, drawing more support from Black and Hispanic voters than any Republican nominee since at least 1960. When The New York Times/Siena College, NBC News, Wall Street Journal and CBS News/YouGov all released national polls a few days apart earlier this month, each of them found Trump winning from 20% to 28% of Black voters and 45% to 48% of Hispanic voters. That’s far more than the 12% of Black, and 32% of Hispanic, voters he won in 2020, according to the Edison Research exit polls conducted for a consortium of news organizations including CNN. (The Pew Validated Voters study found Trump winning slightly fewer Black, and slightly more Hispanic, voters in the 2020 election.) A CNBC poll released Tuesday showed Biden drawing just 57% of all voters of color, compared to 71% in the 2020 exit poll.

Polls in the key swing states are returning similar results. The CNN/SSRS polls released last week showed Biden drawing only 55% of all non-White voters in Michigan and 69% in Pennsylvania – down in each case from about 80% in 2020. Marist College polls released last week showed Biden winning three-fourths of Black voters in Georgia and about four-fifths in North Carolina, well below the roughly 9-in-10 exit polls showed him winning in each state last time. A recent Fox News Poll in Arizona showed Biden winning only about half of Hispanics there, down from over 3-in-5 in the 2020 exit poll. Biden won over 9-in-10 Black voters in Wisconsin according to the 2020 exit poll, but a compilation of the two most recent Marquette Law School polls in the state showed him holding only a little more than 6-in-10 of them.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:I don't think Biden will lose because people aren't voting "for Biden." They are voting "against Trump."

All Biden has to do is sit in his basement and minimize the self owns. It really is that bizarre.

That horse left the barn months ago…

[Anonymous]

Biden says he will debate Trump.

Trump says let’s do it tonight on live TV.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:
Trump has more minority support than any R in history.

Dems are in severe panic mode. #WalkAway

Are you trying that again? That panned out about as well as the imaginary red wave did. No one walked away.

NP. I’m pretty sure this is a correct. Dems have long taken minorities for granted. Lots of minorities are quite conservative or traditional and have attitudes more in line with The GOP. As overt racism has been in steady decline, it’s increasingly common to see GOP-aligned nonwhites.

And the Gaza thing will depress minority turnout for Biden.

This is such an idiotic take. Who are the Democrats that are supposedly taking “minorities” for granted? The leadership of the Democratic Party has many minorities at all levels. The VP, the House leader, the DNC Chairman, dozens of Members of Congress, state and local government leaders, party officials and activists all over the country, etc. Minorities are not voting for your white nationalist party.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:
Trump has more minority support than any R in history.

Dems are in severe panic mode. #WalkAway

Are you trying that again? That panned out about as well as the imaginary red wave did. No one walked away.

NP. I’m pretty sure this is a correct. Dems have long taken minorities for granted. Lots of minorities are quite conservative or traditional and have attitudes more in line with The GOP. As overt racism has been in steady decline, it’s increasingly common to see GOP-aligned nonwhites.

And the Gaza thing will depress minority turnout for Biden.

This is such an idiotic take. Who are the Democrats that are supposedly taking “minorities” for granted? The leadership of the Democratic Party has many minorities at all levels. The VP, the House leader, the DNC Chairman, dozens of Members of Congress, state and local government leaders, party officials and activists all over the country, etc. Minorities are not voting for your white nationalist party.

From that CNN article posted above a lot of it seems to relate to inflation and the fact that centrist minorities are feeling left out of the conversation. Well, and the obvious fact that they don’t relate to an old white guy, but that doesn’t help Trump, either.

“Inflation, analysts in both parties agree, has also disproportionately hurt Biden with Black and Hispanic voters, many of whom live paycheck to paycheck. And conservative analysts believe Biden is also being hurt because many non-White voters view Democrats as too liberal on cultural issues including LGBTQ rights, crime and even control of the border – although polls make clear a majority of non-White voters side with Democrats on other marquee social issues, particularly abortion and gun control.“

[Anonymous]

To OPs question, how much will Biden lose by?

I think by a very wide margin, but not as big as Reagan v Carter.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:To OPs question, how much will Biden lose by?

I think by a very wide margin, but not as big as Reagan v Carter.

Post your electoral count.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:To OPs question, how much will Biden lose by?

I think by a very wide margin, but not as big as Reagan v Carter.

-5%

[Anonymous]

The professional protestor class is firing up students across the country. They will be out in force at the Democratic convention. How Biden handles that distraction will go a long way in deterring if he wins or loses in November.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:To OPs question, how much will Biden lose by?

I think by a very wide margin, but not as big as Reagan v Carter.

-5%

Of the popular vote? Hilarious.

[Anonymous]

Today’s history lesson: After the 1968 DNC protests, Democrats held the White House for only 4 of the next 24 years.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:My guess is Trump will win 283-255.

All I know is that it is very likely that Biden loses Virginia. It will be well deserved.

Only if Northern Virginia falls into the ocean. To win VA, you gotta win N. VA. And Trump ain't gonna win N. VA.

Trump doesn’t have to win NOVA to take VA. He just can’t lose by a big margin.

I think you’re going to be surprised by results from NOVA in November PP. He’s going to take VA using the Youngkin strategy.