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It's a false sense of power.
The Germans learned that lesson in Russia at Stalingrad (air superirority but lost). The Russians learned this lesson in Aghanistan We supposedly learned this lesson in Iraq and Vietnam Israel supposedly learned that lesson in Gaza (0 control on the ground, to this day Israel cannot control Gaza which borders it) To effectuate regime change you cannot do it from the sky. Iran's Nuclear program is buried deep in mountains and the program is very popular amongst all Iranians. There was a diplomatic solution torn up and changing hearts and minds through incentives made more sense. 1. Iran is the size of Europe. 2. It has 90 million people (3x the popularion of Iraq). 3. It's mountainous. 4. It's far away from Israel and U.S. logistics. Unless there is an appetite to put boots on the ground, which there is none by the U.S. public. Changing Iran through the sky is near impossible. "Conquering the world on horseback is easy; it is dismounting and governing that is hard." -Genghis Khan |
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Trump doesn't want regime change.
He wants bribes from the leaders of the country who control its resources. That's all. |
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I don’t think the US public matters anymore.
The ruling elite decides. |
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OP, LY.
As I explained to a colleague in the early years of the US war in Iraq, “if you do not control the road to the airport, you do not control a country.” Taking out the Iranian leaders =/= toppling a government when the path of succession for nearly every major position has been engineered down at least four levels. |
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Trump wants the headlines and the distractions. He has never cared about doing high quality work. His six bankrupticies illustrate that.
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They don’t want to control the country. They have no plan for the future of Iran. They don’t particularly care what happens to the Iranian people or the region.
They want to distract from Epstein. That tells you how huge the Epstein revelations actually are. And everything else makes sense when you look at it from that lens. |
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History will provide the answer as to whether or not the current conflict leaves the region and the world better off than it was. My bet is that it can't help but be better; it could hardly be worse.
if nothing else, the Iranian appetite and capacity to prop up Palestinian terror proxies will be essentially eliminated, a huge win. |
Why do you think this? To me, it will only make it worse. |
| You should call up the pentagon and let them know. I’m sure they didn’t think of any of this while having a plan they’ve constantly updated over the last couple of decades. |
You think there’s a plan in place?? 🤣😂🤣😂🤣. That’s adorable |
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The straight if Hormuz is this wide
|---‐------| IT BOTTLENECKS You dont need an army of 90M but just 1 bad actor to stop entire shipping lanes. We have a false illusion of control. We have to learn to live with other people and work with them not attack them, especially for other countries. |
You think Iran will have resources left after this? They're expending everything they have, and their capacity to rebuild and resupply is being eliminated. They'll have no financial resources left with which to purchase weapons from others. They're done for militarily, industrially, and economically, and consequently their patronage of regional terrorists is at an end. Those groups - Hamas, Hezbollah, and the Houthis, have no other patrons waiting in the wings to prop them up. Iranian patronage of those groups is no small factor in what is happening now, along with the need to eliminate the potential of a future nuclear-armed Iran. |
The bad actor has to have both the intent and the capability. Iran may have the intent, but their capacity is rapidly declining to zero. |
It doesn't matter what Trump does or does not want. It has been clearly established that he is compromised and controlled by Israeli supporters that do want regime change and have been gunning for it for over 30 years. |
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***To this day Israel has yet been able to effectuate regime change in Gaza, a small region it borders that it starved and Genocided.***
Whats the chance it is sucessful at regime change on a country with 90M, full of mountain, a half a continent away, with a population that has a will to fight, and some tech. superiority. Our leaders are insane and have a false sense of superiority and power. |