Deferral is DEFINITELY not the end of the application - detailed analysis

[Anonymous]

https://standoutcollegeprep.com/college-deferral-statistics/
Ivy+ schools: 2–8% of deferred students are eventually admitted
Top 20 privates: 5–15% of deferred students eventually admitted
Top 50 schools: 10–25% of deferred students eventually admitted

Take a few T10 schools as examples:
Northwestern: ~10–15% of deferred Admitted from Deferral Pool
Penn: ~8–12% of deferred Admitted from Deferral Pool
Johns Hopkins: ~10–15% of deferred Admitted from Deferral Pool
Duke: ~8–12% of deferred Admitted from Deferral Pool

These admit rates are much higher (2x) than their RD admit rates.

The highest admit rate from deferral Pool among T20 is Cornell:
~15–20% of deferred Admitted from Deferral Pool

I suspect they admit most deferrals from private high schools where counselors can ensure the admits withdraw from all other application upon acceptance.

[Anonymous]

15% (which is already the upper end) is still not that high and among an already select group of applicants. Also it might mostly include hooked applicants - legacy or from feeder schools.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:15% (which is already the upper end) is still not that high and among an already select group of applicants. Also it might mostly include hooked applicants - legacy or from feeder schools.

Certainly not worth it to forego ED2 for a 90% (or more) chance of rejection at a school that has already had the chance to admit you.

[Anonymous]

The only deferrals admitted to top20s from our top private are legacies.
Not to be a downer but almost all legacies at some Ivies from our school are deferred and then admitted RD. especially true at Princeton and Yale. unhooked kids have no luck.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:https://standoutcollegeprep.com/college-deferral-statistics/
Ivy+ schools: 2–8% of deferred students are eventually admitted
Top 20 privates: 5–15% of deferred students eventually admitted
Top 50 schools: 10–25% of deferred students eventually admitted

Take a few T10 schools as examples:
Northwestern: ~10–15% of deferred Admitted from Deferral Pool
Penn: ~8–12% of deferred Admitted from Deferral Pool
Johns Hopkins: ~10–15% of deferred Admitted from Deferral Pool
Duke: ~8–12% of deferred Admitted from Deferral Pool

These admit rates are much higher (2x) than their RD admit rates.

The highest admit rate from deferral Pool among T20 is Cornell:
~15–20% of deferred Admitted from Deferral Pool

I suspect they admit most deferrals from private high schools where counselors can ensure the admits withdraw from all other application upon acceptance.

The deferral admit rates are really high. See, Cornell.

ED2 doesn't provide any real advantage compared to RD. That's why schools do not disclose ED2 acceptance rate any more. The only one that discloses is Rice, with ED2 acceptance rate ~6%. Most of the T20 schools have similar ED2 admit rate. It's not really worth it to sign up for a binding ED2, particularly in view of the high deferral admit rate. Agree that defrral admit is particularly used to admit private school kids.

[Anonymous]

you need to talk to your own school's college counselors about what has actually happened in recent years AT YOUR SCHOOL.

I get really uncomfortable with all these optimistic deferral posts because I simply didn't see it happen last year. lots of kids who wasted an entire year of emotional energy on an admission that never came. People who are saying that deferrals very rarely turn into acceptances aren't saying it to be jerks but rather to be realists and because their own kids wasted an entire year for an email that never came despite great senior grades, great LOCIs, positive signs from admissions officers, etc.

[Anonymous]

Deferrals admitted to T20 at our private are usually hooked (legacy; donor; URM; faculty) kids or undersubscribed majors who needed 1st semester grades.

[Anonymous]

Last year was an odd year and frankly the landscape is changing yearly right now with so many chaotic factors playing into things. I think it’s really tough to predict anything.

[Anonymous]

Full pay helps a lot

[Anonymous]

I think you need to interpret the numbers in the context.

Deferrals are mostly designed to admit private high school deferred kids. A 15% deferral admit rate in the context of private high school may be 30-50% deferral admit rate.

For our public high school, you might as well consider the deferral admit rate is close to 0%.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:I think you need to interpret the numbers in the context.

Deferrals are mostly designed to admit private high school deferred kids. A 15% deferral admit rate in the context of private high school may be 30-50% deferral admit rate.

For our public high school, you might as well consider the deferral admit rate is close to 0%.

At DMV private and agree with this. Also, UVA only admits deferred ED applicants from our school and never deferred EA applicants.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:https://standoutcollegeprep.com/college-deferral-statistics/
Ivy+ schools: 2–8% of deferred students are eventually admitted
Top 20 privates: 5–15% of deferred students eventually admitted
Top 50 schools: 10–25% of deferred students eventually admitted

Take a few T10 schools as examples:
Northwestern: ~10–15% of deferred Admitted from Deferral Pool
Penn: ~8–12% of deferred Admitted from Deferral Pool
Johns Hopkins: ~10–15% of deferred Admitted from Deferral Pool
Duke: ~8–12% of deferred Admitted from Deferral Pool

These admit rates are much higher (2x) than their RD admit rates.

The highest admit rate from deferral Pool among T20 is Cornell:
~15–20% of deferred Admitted from Deferral Pool

I suspect they admit most deferrals from private high schools where counselors can ensure the admits withdraw from all other application upon acceptance.

You were doing well until you started with baseless speculation.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:I think you need to interpret the numbers in the context.

Deferrals are mostly designed to admit private high school deferred kids. A 15% deferral admit rate in the context of private high school may be 30-50% deferral admit rate.

For our public high school, you might as well consider the deferral admit rate is close to 0%.

Our private has been successful sending deferred kids. Two kids admitted to JHU after deferral last year.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:https://standoutcollegeprep.com/college-deferral-statistics/
Ivy+ schools: 2–8% of deferred students are eventually admitted
Top 20 privates: 5–15% of deferred students eventually admitted
Top 50 schools: 10–25% of deferred students eventually admitted

Take a few T10 schools as examples:
Northwestern: ~10–15% of deferred Admitted from Deferral Pool
Penn: ~8–12% of deferred Admitted from Deferral Pool
Johns Hopkins: ~10–15% of deferred Admitted from Deferral Pool
Duke: ~8–12% of deferred Admitted from Deferral Pool

These admit rates are much higher (2x) than their RD admit rates.

The highest admit rate from deferral Pool among T20 is Cornell:
~15–20% of deferred Admitted from Deferral Pool

I suspect they admit most deferrals from private high schools where counselors can ensure the admits withdraw from all other application upon acceptance.

The deferral admit rates are really high. See, Cornell.

ED2 doesn't provide any real advantage compared to RD. That's why schools do not disclose ED2 acceptance rate any more. The only one that discloses is Rice, with ED2 acceptance rate ~6%. Most of the T20 schools have similar ED2 admit rate. It's not really worth it to sign up for a binding ED2, particularly in view of the high deferral admit rate. Agree that defrral admit is particularly used to admit private school kids.

Most of the top 20 schools do not have ED2. And if you think, say, Chicago, gives no major ED2 advantage, I can only wonder what pipe you are smoking.

[Anonymous]

Mine is emotionally moving on. Chances of getting in deferred or waitlist is slim in general.