Biden’s latest Poll numbers
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Anonymous
| /\/\ I can believe all those polls except the one showing Biden ahead in GA. |
Anonymous
| PA, MI, and WI are the most important and Biden is strong there. If he gets all the safe or leaning D states (VA, NH, NM, MN) + PA, MI, WI and the EV from that one district in NE, that’s 270 and that’s the ball game. He wouldn’t have to win NV/AZ or GA at all. |
Anonymous
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Let’s see more polls in the next few days.
Most polls were showing Biden losing ground to Trump after that horrible debate and the party fracturing about having him step down. These are interesting and show strength in Michigan and other battlegrounds, but are opposed to every other poll we are seeing. I can’t imaging the debate and fallout after has helped Biden in any way unless people really hate Harris and don’t want her to run on the Dem side? Let’s see other polls and see if this is an actual trend or an outlier. |
Anonymous
There’s a delta that show a good chunk of Dems and Independents that want Biden to drop out, but in a head to head they still vote for Biden. Basically they don’t change their vote because of real politick. |
Anonymous
| Vote for Biden!! Let’s stamp out his opponent like a bug |
Anonymous
+1 Like me. I’d much prefer another Dem replace Biden on the ballot but I’m not stupid enough to vote for Trump if that doesn’t happen. |
Anonymous
Que? |
Anonymous
Yesterday's polls: Arizona: Trump vs. Biden Bloomberg/MrnConsult Trump 48, Biden 45 Trump +3 Nevada: Trump vs. Biden Bloomberg/MrnConsult Trump 48, Biden 43 Trump +5 Wisconsin: Trump vs. Biden Bloomberg/MrnConsult Trump 44, Biden 47 Biden +3 Michigan: Trump vs. Biden Bloomberg/MrnConsult Trump 43, Biden 48 Biden +5 Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Biden Bloomberg/MrnConsult Trump 51, Biden 44 Trump +7 North Carolina: Trump vs. Biden Bloomberg/MrnConsult Trump 46, Biden 43 Trump +3 Georgia: Trump vs. Biden Bloomberg/MrnConsult Trump 47, Biden 46 Trump +1 This doesn't look strong. |
Anonymous
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/wisconsin/ has Trump up +.04 https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/michigan/ has Trump up by +.06 |
Anonymous
This is from https://www.realclearpolling.com/latest-polls |
Anonymous
It also doesn't look credible. How is Biden up in Michigan but down by 7 (!) in Pennsylvania? It doesn't make sense. Error can go in either direction. But this is off. |
Anonymous
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When Real Clear averages the polls (the link above was only for the single latest ones), Trump leads in WI and MI and gains their projected electoral college votes.
For example here is Michigan: https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/michigan/trump-vs-biden |
Anonymous
I have been playing around with an interactive electoral vote map and I can’t find a path for Biden with current trends. A lot can change, and elections cannot be predicted with great accuracy when all factors are considered. But the electoral map looks grim for Biden. Biden needs both MI and WI and either PA or GA to win. |
Anonymous
And not lose New Jersey and Virginia and Minnesota and New Hampshire and all the other states that are now in play after that disastrous debate. There is no possible path for Biden to win in November. None. It's over. Democrats need a reality check and stop living in la la land. |