You keep claiming “cycling is down” while CaBi continues to post record numbers. WMATA’s post-pandemic recovery is almost complete at it remains the 2nd highest use subway system in the US (after NY subway). The idea that DC’s future is cars is absurd. |
Bruh, that's exactly what happens though. How many people had cars before the Interstate Highway System was built vs after? You could suddenly travel far and fast, so people bought cars. Every time we add a lane on a road around here, a new development pops up. You don't notice that housing tends to cluster around major roads? Why does that happen if not "induced-demand?" |
That's not at all what's happened in DC. Driving has only become more popular, despite every effort by the government to dissuade people from driving. All "traffic calming" and all this other stuff does is make people sit in cars longer, which seems like the opposite of what you'd want if you care about the environment. |
| It's very curious that our government thinks it can raises taxes on rich people as much as it wants, and they won't move away (even with low tax Virginia being right there!), but if they make changes to our transportation infrastructure, it will have a profound effect on people's transportation choices. It's an odd circle to try to square. Logically, it seems impossible to reconcile the two. |
I thought "Reducing the results of a complex investigations to a single cause is indeed meaningless crap. No sane person would believe otherwise." Does that mean that you are not sane? |
I agree that cycling isn't down, but Metro ridership is not almost back to where it was pre-pandemic. It's barely 60% of what it was in 2019. Here's a link: https://www.wmata.com/initiatives/ridership-portal/Metrorail-Ridership-Summary.cfm |
You do realize that driving in DC is actually down from 2019 still, right? December of 2019 had 314 million VMT and 2023 was 261 million. When you start with faulty premises, you come to faulty conclusions. |
You are an extremely reliable source of misinformation. First, popularity of cycling in DC is increasing very rapidly. This article runs through the numbers: https://ggwash.org/view/96705/biking-in-the-district-is-for-normiesthats-a-good-thing Second, the fact that people shifted from public transport to driving during the pandemic is an argument in favor of - not against - induced demand. I see a lot of posts in this thread that have sought to educate you. That you persist in ignoring actual science and advancing false claims suggests that you are most probably a troll. |
Those who persist in denying the existence of induced demand, despite the voluminous studies that have demonstrated the existence of the phenomenon, aren’t worth of this level of engagement. |
Citing GGW as the authority:
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Jokers will joke. |
Says the guy who cites, as evidence, a report by a student in Hungary. |
It's not just DC. Biking is down almost everywhere. Bloomberg News: Biking to Work Isn’t Gaining Any Ground in the US Despite growth in New York and a few other big cities, commuting by bicycle is less popular nationwide than it was a decade ago. "After increased investments in bicycle infrastructure, big experiments with urban bike sharing, an explosion in electric-bike sales and an overall pandemic bike-buying boom, the latest news on bike commuting in the US from the Census Bureau’s annual American Community Survey is not impressive. An estimated 731,272 Americans used bicycles as their chief means of transportation to work in 2022, up from 2021 but down almost 75,000 from before the pandemic and 175,000 from the peak year of 2014." |
DP, but it's a good paper. I don't know why you are so contemptuous of Hungarian students. All appearances suggest that they have about 50 IQ points on you. There is also the American Economic Review article and this 2018 study: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0967070X18301720 It's not really a sexy area of research any more though for economists, urban planners, and so forth as the existence of induced demand is a settled question. The only people questioning it are auto-dependent ideologues such as yourself. |
We will all die waiting for a shred of evidence that shows cycling is becoming less popular in DC relative to other modes. |