pleasepleasepleasepleaseplease be accurate, polls
on RCP today:
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We're 12 months away. It's possible that Trump will lose by 5 million votes and still carry the EC. It's fine to feel hopeful. Anything more than that is foolish. |
312 - 29 = More than 270 |
+1 Pick a state (esp Penna, Florida, Wisco, Michigan, Texas, North Carolina etc) and adopt the local Democratic Party and a candidate or two. Give heavily. |
https://twitter.com/daveweigel/status/1192448006139891712
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New Quinnipiac New Hampshire poll has Biden ahead over Warren and Sanders.
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/469924-new-quinnipiac-poll-finds-biden-leading-in-new-hampshire?amp&__twitter_impression=true |
New Monmouth poll of Iowa, trend since August:
Buttigieg: 22% (+14) Biden: 19% (-7) Warren: 18% (-2) Sanders: 13% (+5) Klobuchar: 5% (+2) Harris: 3% (-9) Steyer: 3% (-) Yang: 3% (+2) Booker: 2% (+1) Gabbard: 2% (+1) Bullock: 1% (-) Castro: 1% (+1) Klobuchar closer to December debate |
Holy shit, Pete. I guess as Iowans get to know him, they like what they see. |
Interesting. Wasn't expecting to see Buttigieg ahead of Warren... |
Georgia appears to be competitive:
https://www.ajc.com/news/state--regional-govt--politics/ajc-poll-trump-faces-tough-election-fight-georgia/gqTRms8eLIL1TEFW2r8pKN/ |
Caveat: Election Twitter hates this poll because it oversampled college graduates. |
My ILs -- extended family (lots and lots of them) all live across Iowa. They are all-in for Pete. Two of them are even knocking on doors for him. Listen to him talk. He's inspiring. |
I'm from Indiana. I've liked him since he ran for Treasurer in 2010. That run was doomed from the start for a number of reasons, but young as he is, he was impressive even at 28. |
NEW FOX NEWS POLL - Nevada
Biden 24% Sanders 18% Warren 18% Buttigieg 8% Steyer 5% Harris 4% Yang 3% |
New Muhlenberg College poll of Pennsylvania voters finds Trump trailing...
Biden 52% Trump 43% Sanders 50% Trump 45% Warren 50% Trump 45% Trump job approval/disapproval: 40/56% Support/oppose inquiry: 51/47% Support/oppose removal: 49/48% |