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Not sure why you guys are trying to respond to trolls. |
Not sure why these dumb trolls keep coming here in the first place. I seriously doubt they've ever convinced a single person on this board. |
More likely a false flag by Pootie Poo. |
Hmm. Wrong. ISIS is often competing for human resources with Al Queda and have different objectives. https://www.wilsoncenter.org/article/jihadis-2021-isis-al-qaeda https://www.saisjournal.eu/article/14-What-Are-the-Major-Differences-between-al-Qaeda-and-the-Islamic-State.cfm |
Ooh! Oooh! (raising my hand) I want to try to convince you of something! Putin will be forever known as "the Russian leader who destroyed Russia." I'm revising my earlier population estimates based upon how badly Russia is doing in the War in Ukraine. In my original calculations, I thought it would be about three generations before Russia would cease to be a country controlled by Russians. My new estimate is it will only take a single generation to do so. I pulled these numbers from Statistika, which I believe are the numbers most favorable to Russia since they rely upon data sourced by the Russian Government. Take the numbers with a grain of salt, since the values added up to 146M (and the population is about 141M now). "The country's overall population was reported at 144.7 million, or 147.2 million if Ukraine's Crimea is included, up from the 142.8 million found in the 2010 census" "42 percent of Russians said they did not take part in the census at all, and that figure reaching a staggering 73 percent in Moscow." "This means that about 56 million-57 million people didn't participate in the census," https://www.rferl.org/a/russia-census-ethnic-minorities-undercounted/32256506.html Family-producing Russian males: Age 15-19 3.94M Age 20-24 3.77M Age 25-29 3.82M Age 30-34 5.48M Age 35-39 6.32M Male children: Age 0-4 3.7M Age 5-9 4.82M Age 10-14 4.61M What does this mean? The age 30-34 and 35-39 range would be the normal number of males producing offspring in Russia. But if you notice, there's an issue where the males aged 15-24 are only about 2/3rds the population of normal years. The War in Ukraine was bad timing, since it cut short the second rebound from the Soviet War in Afghanistan. Instead of a cyclical behavior, the War in Ukraine flatlined the baby boom that was supposed to occur. Russian women tend to give birth to the first child mid-20's, 2nd and/or 3rd late 20's early 30's, with 4+ not as common. After age 35, there is a steep decline in birthrate in general. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1193865/live-births-by-mother-s-age-and-order-russia/ Family-producing Russian females: Age 15-19 3.73M Age 20-24 3.52M Age 25-29 3.73M Age 30-34 5.56M Female children : Age 0-4 3.49M Age 5-9 4.55M Age 10-14 4.36M Notice all the 3's when they should've been 5 or 6M? This means that fewer Russian women are currently capable of bearing children overall. There will likely be a post-war bump in births post-Ukraine War, but doubtful it will be higher than 5'ish million? We'll see. Additionally, given the current birth rate of about 1.5, this means that the population decline in Russia is far, far more serious than I think many people realize. What this means is that Russia's population will likely decline not from the current 141M to 94M in a full generation of 100 years, down to as low as 89M. That's a shrinkage of 1/3 of the population. Although Putin is trying to raise Russia's birthrate, it's unlikely to happen. First, constant war will whittle down the numbers of available Russian males. Second, being pregnant for a decade is not every woman's dream. Third, Russia is full of single moms. "15 to 20 percent of all Russian families are run by a single parent" https://www.nytimes.com/1995/10/21/world/rich-or-poor-more-russian-mothers-go-it-alone.html#:~:text=Demographers%20at%20the%20State%20Institute,widowed%2C%20divorced%20or%20never%20married. To put that into perspective, this means that within a single generation Russia would have about the same population as current day Iran, but spread out amongst 11 Irans. In terms of population density, it would be ranked 16th least populated country in the World; equal to Botswana or Mauritania; beating out Canada, Australia, Iceland, Mongolia, Greenland but not Kazakhstan, Norway, Finland, etc. Now, could Putin do something about it? Immigration? Even if Putin stops the war in Ukraine tomorrow, how many years will it be before foreign investment returns? If a foreigner travels to Russia they have to sign a paper of loyalty and you could also get conscripted. Keeping population within borders (North Korea style)? Putin could try to seal the borders, but if you think the US has a border issue, the Russian land border is 13,923 miles long. That's 9 times the US land border with Mexico (1,954 miles). |
| How did the suspects get from Tajikistan to Russia? Is Russia allowing more immigrants in due to the war? |
Can the anti-Russian side get some higher quality trolls? Or is that hung up in the budget bill too? Where do you find these guys that don't know anything about that part of the world but have strong opinions on it? |
A Tajikistan passport holder can freely travel to Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Kazakhstan and Russia without a visa. |
Ignorant much? |
| Does this have anything to do with us leaving Afghanistan? |
No. |
| "How could they possibly get to Russia from Tajikistan" and "Does this have anything to do with the US leaving Afghanistan" etc - it's kind of funny when the trolls are supposed to try and spin it somehow yet they have nothing. |
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Keep your heads up and your eyes open.
The US is ripe for an attack like this one - or worse. |
Oh honey. For decades now, ethnic Russians have outsourced their birth rates to the ethnics whose women do not mind being constantly pregnant. This will never change. |
Tajiks are Russia’s Mexicans. Someone has to sweep the streets and drive cab’s you know. |