APS: Fall 2022 Boundary Changes will be Limited due to low enrollment

[Anonymous]

With Arlington’s student enrollment now projected to be considerably lower in coming years than once anticipated, School Board members this week are likely to call off a planned elementary-school-redistricting process that had been slated for the fall.

“Small boundary adjustments” may still be needed, but a countywide look at elementary-school-boundary switcheroos would be off the table, under a proposal from Superintendent Franciso Durán.

https://sungazette.news/school-system-likely-to-nix-boundary-adjustment-effort/

[Anonymous]

Thanks OP! This had been looming over me and we are thrilled to know we won't have to move schools.

[Anonymous]

FFS they are predicting and counting on a decline AGAIN. That's what got us into our current pickle.

"Not that long ago, Arlington school leaders were projecting an almost never-ending arc of student growth for the system. In 2017, the reported student body of just under 27,000 had surpassed the previous high, set at the apex of the Baby Boom in 1963.

Sponsored
But pre-pandemic prognostications that enrollment would surmount 32,000 by 2026 have now been scaled back, with the student population now expected to peak at just under 28,000 in 2025 and then begin to decline."

How are demographics changing to have less children in the system?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:FFS they are predicting and counting on a decline AGAIN. That's what got us into our current pickle.

"Not that long ago, Arlington school leaders were projecting an almost never-ending arc of student growth for the system. In 2017, the reported student body of just under 27,000 had surpassed the previous high, set at the apex of the Baby Boom in 1963.

Sponsored
But pre-pandemic prognostications that enrollment would surmount 32,000 by 2026 have now been scaled back, with the student population now expected to peak at just under 28,000 in 2025 and then begin to decline."

How are demographics changing to have less children in the system?

Are you joking? The pandemic happened.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:FFS they are predicting and counting on a decline AGAIN. That's what got us into our current pickle.

"Not that long ago, Arlington school leaders were projecting an almost never-ending arc of student growth for the system. In 2017, the reported student body of just under 27,000 had surpassed the previous high, set at the apex of the Baby Boom in 1963.

Sponsored
But pre-pandemic prognostications that enrollment would surmount 32,000 by 2026 have now been scaled back, with the student population now expected to peak at just under 28,000 in 2025 and then begin to decline."

How are demographics changing to have less children in the system?

We lost 100+ kids last year at our elementary to private, moves, etc.

[Anonymous]

Let Duran continue to run the school system into the ground...population problem solved. Leaving APS for private next year. Grateful i have the funds to make that an option for my family. Some individual teachers have been great, but I have no faith in the future of this school district with this administration and school board.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:FFS they are predicting and counting on a decline AGAIN. That's what got us into our current pickle.

"Not that long ago, Arlington school leaders were projecting an almost never-ending arc of student growth for the system. In 2017, the reported student body of just under 27,000 had surpassed the previous high, set at the apex of the Baby Boom in 1963.

Sponsored
But pre-pandemic prognostications that enrollment would surmount 32,000 by 2026 have now been scaled back, with the student population now expected to peak at just under 28,000 in 2025 and then begin to decline."

How are demographics changing to have less children in the system?

Are you joking? The pandemic happened.

Yet housing is exploding in value under high demand, and new apartment are coming online.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:FFS they are predicting and counting on a decline AGAIN. That's what got us into our current pickle.

"Not that long ago, Arlington school leaders were projecting an almost never-ending arc of student growth for the system. In 2017, the reported student body of just under 27,000 had surpassed the previous high, set at the apex of the Baby Boom in 1963.

Sponsored
But pre-pandemic prognostications that enrollment would surmount 32,000 by 2026 have now been scaled back, with the student population now expected to peak at just under 28,000 in 2025 and then begin to decline."

How are demographics changing to have less children in the system?

We lost 100+ kids last year at our elementary to private, moves, etc.

That was a one time blip, private are NOT expanding enrollment, people are returning to office so some may move back. Why do they think it will grow for the next 2 years, then drop again?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:FFS they are predicting and counting on a decline AGAIN. That's what got us into our current pickle.

"Not that long ago, Arlington school leaders were projecting an almost never-ending arc of student growth for the system. In 2017, the reported student body of just under 27,000 had surpassed the previous high, set at the apex of the Baby Boom in 1963.

Sponsored
But pre-pandemic prognostications that enrollment would surmount 32,000 by 2026 have now been scaled back, with the student population now expected to peak at just under 28,000 in 2025 and then begin to decline."

How are demographics changing to have less children in the system?

We lost 100+ kids last year at our elementary to private, moves, etc.

Jamestown?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:FFS they are predicting and counting on a decline AGAIN. That's what got us into our current pickle.

"Not that long ago, Arlington school leaders were projecting an almost never-ending arc of student growth for the system. In 2017, the reported student body of just under 27,000 had surpassed the previous high, set at the apex of the Baby Boom in 1963.

Sponsored
But pre-pandemic prognostications that enrollment would surmount 32,000 by 2026 have now been scaled back, with the student population now expected to peak at just under 28,000 in 2025 and then begin to decline."

How are demographics changing to have less children in the system?

Are you joking? The pandemic happened.

Yet housing is exploding in value under high demand, and new apartment are coming online.

+1. This decision is completely divorced from the reality of the housing market and the approved construction. Not to mention the missing middle study and Plan Langston Blvd or whatever we are calling the upzoning efforts these days. They have a ton of Affordable Housing coming online in 5 years and they are going to be caught with their pants down. As usual.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:FFS they are predicting and counting on a decline AGAIN. That's what got us into our current pickle.

"Not that long ago, Arlington school leaders were projecting an almost never-ending arc of student growth for the system. In 2017, the reported student body of just under 27,000 had surpassed the previous high, set at the apex of the Baby Boom in 1963.

Sponsored
But pre-pandemic prognostications that enrollment would surmount 32,000 by 2026 have now been scaled back, with the student population now expected to peak at just under 28,000 in 2025 and then begin to decline."

How are demographics changing to have less children in the system?

Are you joking? The pandemic happened.

Yet housing is exploding in value under high demand, and new apartment are coming online.

+1. This decision is completely divorced from the reality of the housing market and the approved construction. Not to mention the missing middle study and Plan Langston Blvd or whatever we are calling the upzoning efforts these days. They have a ton of Affordable Housing coming online in 5 years and they are going to be caught with their pants down. As usual.

[Anonymous]

People. They're just not doing the boundary adjustment next near They're not saying they'll never need to do it. They're making the decision based on the information they have right now. Which why disrupt kids and families when the schools aren't full????

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:FFS they are predicting and counting on a decline AGAIN. That's what got us into our current pickle.

"Not that long ago, Arlington school leaders were projecting an almost never-ending arc of student growth for the system. In 2017, the reported student body of just under 27,000 had surpassed the previous high, set at the apex of the Baby Boom in 1963.

Sponsored
But pre-pandemic prognostications that enrollment would surmount 32,000 by 2026 have now been scaled back, with the student population now expected to peak at just under 28,000 in 2025 and then begin to decline."

How are demographics changing to have less children in the system?

We lost 100+ kids last year at our elementary to private, moves, etc.

Jamestown?

Discovery

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:FFS they are predicting and counting on a decline AGAIN. That's what got us into our current pickle.

"Not that long ago, Arlington school leaders were projecting an almost never-ending arc of student growth for the system. In 2017, the reported student body of just under 27,000 had surpassed the previous high, set at the apex of the Baby Boom in 1963.

Sponsored
But pre-pandemic prognostications that enrollment would surmount 32,000 by 2026 have now been scaled back, with the student population now expected to peak at just under 28,000 in 2025 and then begin to decline."

How are demographics changing to have less children in the system?

We lost 100+ kids last year at our elementary to private, moves, etc.

Jamestown?

Discovery

Same difference. Not representative of the county.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:People. They're just not doing the boundary adjustment next near They're not saying they'll never need to do it. They're making the decision based on the information they have right now. Which why disrupt kids and families when the schools aren't full????

Are you saying none of the schools are over capacity? That’s not true.