When is the Delta variant supposed to hit?

[Anonymous]

I figured it would have hit by now but cases are still low. Cases continue to steadily fall in my state and Delta cases really aren't growing. Does anyone have ideas when it is supposed to hit? I guess I'm just tired of the waiting for things to go South and was hoping people had some general guesses.

[Anonymous]

Honestly I am not worried. Hospitalizations and deaths are extremely low in the Uk. It is not going to be bad here.

But to answer your question, it is already hitting Missouri and Colorado. Case numbers will go up everywhere in the next month.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Honestly I am not worried. Hospitalizations and deaths are extremely low in the Uk. It is not going to be bad here.

But to answer your question, it is already hitting Missouri and Colorado. Case numbers will go up everywhere in the next month.

Interesting. I wonder why those two states. You would have figured it was states with more trvalers coming into it from India... Or at least states with a busy international Airport.

[Anonymous]

2 months from now, if it follows previous spread patterns

[Anonymous]

Probably the fall/winter. It’s rising in California slowly. If only more people got vaccinated...

[Anonymous]

It will probably eventually be the main variant, as Alpha (UK) became in the US, due to increased transmissibility. Fortunately it does not have increased virulence and does not evade vaccine immunity.

May see some localized spikes in areas with low vaccination and low natural immunity. But nothing like we saw previously.

[Anonymous]

Delta cases are definitely growing, I don’t know where you got that idea.

Whether our vaccination rates will let us out pace it is unclear. Scotland and Israel are worrisome.

Chances are that if it does spread widely we’ll see a lower IFR because the unvaccinated will make up a high percentage and they are, on average, less vulnerable. But the more is spreads, the more chances for another variant that might have a worse profile.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Honestly I am not worried. Hospitalizations and deaths are extremely low in the Uk. It is not going to be bad here.

But to answer your question, it is already hitting Missouri and Colorado. Case numbers will go up everywhere in the next month.

Wrong

Those RED states are going to be filled with the variant. HAHAHAHAHA zero empathy. Yep that's right zero.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Honestly I am not worried. Hospitalizations and deaths are extremely low in the Uk. It is not going to be bad here.

But to answer your question, it is already hitting Missouri and Colorado. Case numbers will go up everywhere in the next month.

Wrong

Those RED states are going to be filled with the variant. HAHAHAHAHA zero empathy. Yep that's right zero.

Yep. Red and dead.

[Anonymous]

It’s spreading rapidly in NYC already, so I would assume it’s here. Your friend that has a cold...they should get tested.

[Anonymous]

The funny thing is that we will never know how many people actually get the new variant since the CDC is only counting positives for vaccinated individuals if they die or are hospitalized, also a “positive” for a vaccinated individual is recorded after 28 cycles of the PCR test, according to the CDC direction which is quite low. The CDC is purposely trying to limit the data before we even get it. Why?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Delta cases are definitely growing, I don’t know where you got that idea.

Whether our vaccination rates will let us out pace it is unclear. Scotland and Israel are worrisome.

Chances are that if it does spread widely we’ll see a lower IFR because the unvaccinated will make up a high percentage and they are, on average, less vulnerable. But the more is spreads, the more chances for another variant that might have a worse profile.

The variant development problem is not the US, but the rapid spread in other countries. That’s where variants are coming from. Not Missouri.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:The funny thing is that we will never know how many people actually get the new variant since the CDC is only counting positives for vaccinated individuals if they die or are hospitalized, also a “positive” for a vaccinated individual is recorded after 28 cycles of the PCR test, according to the CDC direction which is quite low. The CDC is purposely trying to limit the data before we even get it. Why?

Because the tests can pick up dead virus in vaccinated individuals, that has absolutely no effect on them, nor is enough to be transmissible.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:The funny thing is that we will never know how many people actually get the new variant since the CDC is only counting positives for vaccinated individuals if they die or are hospitalized, also a “positive” for a vaccinated individual is recorded after 28 cycles of the PCR test, according to the CDC direction which is quite low. The CDC is purposely trying to limit the data before we even get it. Why?

Because the tests can pick up dead virus in vaccinated individuals, that has absolutely no effect on them, nor is enough to be transmissible.

But what about people who are sick, but just not sick enough to be hospitalized? We know from the past 18 months, that you can be really sick with Covid and not be deemed worthy of a hospital bed. I know at least 12 previously healthy people who were sick enough that they could not walk from bed to sofa but were sent home from the hospital.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:The funny thing is that we will never know how many people actually get the new variant since the CDC is only counting positives for vaccinated individuals if they die or are hospitalized, also a “positive” for a vaccinated individual is recorded after 28 cycles of the PCR test, according to the CDC direction which is quite low. The CDC is purposely trying to limit the data before we even get it. Why?

Because the tests can pick up dead virus in vaccinated individuals, that has absolutely no effect on them, nor is enough to be transmissible.

Dead virus? What the hell is this nonsense.
Leave this to the experts.