A thread of optimism: why do you think Trump will win in 2020?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:^^^^ New poster. It’s understood that a minority 42% of Americans would vote for their dear leader even if he shot some one in the middle of 5th avenue. But therein lies his problem, a minority isn’t gonna be enough to make ANY lasting changes like Obamacare or make gay marriage legal.

He isn’t gonna win again with a narrow slavery era EC margin with just a minority vote to become president again. Hillary isn’t on the ballet, Comey isn’t gonna restart the email case 10 days before election, Trump is no longer new to get the benefit of the doubt.

Exactly

But please keep touting his all time high 42 percent approval rating as if it proves that Trump is doing a great job

That's a different argument. The point is, most people who voted for Trump are satisfied with his work, as shown and proven. You guys don't have to be happy with this fact, and can feel free to distract others from this fact. You may even attempt to change the subject as you have, but it doesn't change that this is a fact.

+1.

But try discussing facts and logic with fundamentalist Dems...I've personally given up.

I just trust independents to realize what's going on and to vote accordingly in 2020.

My guesstimate as of today is, Trump has >70% chances of winning again.

Not if approval is at 42% and TX is on the verge of becoming a purple state. Thats delusional.

You don't get it.

I truly doubt that any Dem candidate, after going through the primaries and the general election, will get to a 42% approval rate.

They will pander to the Dem base, and end with 35-40% approval of the general electorate.

So, who do you think is more likely to win, the incumbent with 42% approval rate or some unproven candidate 5-40% approval?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:The great Republican Ronald Reagan explains why Trump will win in 2020. He simply asked “are you better off than you were 4 years ago?” And the answer for most is “yes!” 70% of Americans feel optimistic about their personal finances. Just like James Carville once said “it’s the economy, stupid.” This is why the dems are in big big trouble. Their only strategy right now is to double down on this Russian collusion nonsense.

Exactly

60 percent said they did not credit Trump with any gains to the economy. Think about that. It's really quite incredible.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2019/06/11/trump-may-be-damaging-his-biggest-reelection-asset/?utm_term=.f6652462476c

Meh, just a random poll.

If a majority of Americans feel positive about the economy there's no way they will vote for a Dem promising the revolution.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:The great Republican Ronald Reagan explains why Trump will win in 2020. He simply asked “are you better off than you were 4 years ago?” And the answer for most is “yes!” 70% of Americans feel optimistic about their personal finances. Just like James Carville once said “it’s the economy, stupid.” This is why the dems are in big big trouble. Their only strategy right now is to double down on this Russian collusion nonsense.

Exactly

60 percent said they did not credit Trump with any gains to the economy. Think about that. It's really quite incredible.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2019/06/11/trump-may-be-damaging-his-biggest-reelection-asset/?utm_term=.f6652462476c

Meh, just a random poll.

If a majority of Americans feel positive about the economy there's no way they will vote for a Dem promising the revolution.

ok! well, we'll see in a year and a half

[Anonymous]

Any “study” cited by WashPo is about as objective as Kim Jing Un in a popularity contest. I’ll pass on whatever content they spew regarding feelings toward Trump... and so will most of America.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:The great Republican Ronald Reagan explains why Trump will win in 2020. He simply asked “are you better off than you were 4 years ago?” And the answer for most is “yes!” 70% of Americans feel optimistic about their personal finances. Just like James Carville once said “it’s the economy, stupid.” This is why the dems are in big big trouble. Their only strategy right now is to double down on this Russian collusion nonsense.

Exactly

60 percent said they did not credit Trump with any gains to the economy. Think about that. It's really quite incredible.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2019/06/11/trump-may-be-damaging-his-biggest-reelection-asset/?utm_term=.f6652462476c

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Any “study” cited by WashPo is about as objective as Kim Jing Un in a popularity contest. I’ll pass on whatever content they spew regarding feelings toward Trump... and so will most of America.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:The great Republican Ronald Reagan explains why Trump will win in 2020. He simply asked “are you better off than you were 4 years ago?” And the answer for most is “yes!” 70% of Americans feel optimistic about their personal finances. Just like James Carville once said “it’s the economy, stupid.” This is why the dems are in big big trouble. Their only strategy right now is to double down on this Russian collusion nonsense.

Exactly

60 percent said they did not credit Trump with any gains to the economy. Think about that. It's really quite incredible.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2019/06/11/trump-may-be-damaging-his-biggest-reelection-asset/?utm_term=.f6652462476c

what do you have against the quinnipiac poll? they are well regarded

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:The great Republican Ronald Reagan explains why Trump will win in 2020. He simply asked “are you better off than you were 4 years ago?” And the answer for most is “yes!” 70% of Americans feel optimistic about their personal finances. Just like James Carville once said “it’s the economy, stupid.” This is why the dems are in big big trouble. Their only strategy right now is to double down on this Russian collusion nonsense.

Exactly

60 percent said they did not credit Trump with any gains to the economy. Think about that. It's really quite incredible.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2019/06/11/trump-may-be-damaging-his-biggest-reelection-asset/?utm_term=.f6652462476c

Meh, just a random poll.

If a majority of Americans feel positive about the economy there's no way they will vote for a Dem promising the revolution.

So you think people lying to every single poll in America? Really?

Unlike some unscrupulous people, many Americans expect the president to respect our institutions and democracy, be civil to people, not lie incessantly, not be corrupt, not be a fraud and certainly not be a Russian puppet. A majority of Americans still value basic decency, honesty, integrity and competency.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Any “study” cited by WashPo is about as objective as Kim Jing Un in a popularity contest. I’ll pass on whatever content they spew regarding feelings toward Trump... and so will most of America.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:The great Republican Ronald Reagan explains why Trump will win in 2020. He simply asked “are you better off than you were 4 years ago?” And the answer for most is “yes!” 70% of Americans feel optimistic about their personal finances. Just like James Carville once said “it’s the economy, stupid.” This is why the dems are in big big trouble. Their only strategy right now is to double down on this Russian collusion nonsense.

Exactly

60 percent said they did not credit Trump with any gains to the economy. Think about that. It's really quite incredible.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2019/06/11/trump-may-be-damaging-his-biggest-reelection-asset/?utm_term=.f6652462476c

what do you have against the quinnipiac poll? they are well regarded

No they’re not.
And no polls except LA Times should be well regarded after 2016.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Any “study” cited by WashPo is about as objective as Kim Jing Un in a popularity contest. I’ll pass on whatever content they spew regarding feelings toward Trump... and so will most of America.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:The great Republican Ronald Reagan explains why Trump will win in 2020. He simply asked “are you better off than you were 4 years ago?” And the answer for most is “yes!” 70% of Americans feel optimistic about their personal finances. Just like James Carville once said “it’s the economy, stupid.” This is why the dems are in big big trouble. Their only strategy right now is to double down on this Russian collusion nonsense.

Exactly

60 percent said they did not credit Trump with any gains to the economy. Think about that. It's really quite incredible.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2019/06/11/trump-may-be-damaging-his-biggest-reelection-asset/?utm_term=.f6652462476c

Well most of America didn’t even vote for the conman the first time. I don’t think he is gonna keep even the minority that voted for him.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Any “study” cited by WashPo is about as objective as Kim Jing Un in a popularity contest. I’ll pass on whatever content they spew regarding feelings toward Trump... and so will most of America.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:The great Republican Ronald Reagan explains why Trump will win in 2020. He simply asked “are you better off than you were 4 years ago?” And the answer for most is “yes!” 70% of Americans feel optimistic about their personal finances. Just like James Carville once said “it’s the economy, stupid.” This is why the dems are in big big trouble. Their only strategy right now is to double down on this Russian collusion nonsense.

Exactly

60 percent said they did not credit Trump with any gains to the economy. Think about that. It's really quite incredible.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2019/06/11/trump-may-be-damaging-his-biggest-reelection-asset/?utm_term=.f6652462476c

what do you have against the quinnipiac poll? they are well regarded

No they’re not.
And no polls except LA Times should be well regarded after 2016.

That was a very interesting poll -- do you know if it continues? I'd love to see what those same voters say today.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Any “study” cited by WashPo is about as objective as Kim Jing Un in a popularity contest. I’ll pass on whatever content they spew regarding feelings toward Trump... and so will most of America.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:The great Republican Ronald Reagan explains why Trump will win in 2020. He simply asked “are you better off than you were 4 years ago?” And the answer for most is “yes!” 70% of Americans feel optimistic about their personal finances. Just like James Carville once said “it’s the economy, stupid.” This is why the dems are in big big trouble. Their only strategy right now is to double down on this Russian collusion nonsense.

Exactly

60 percent said they did not credit Trump with any gains to the economy. Think about that. It's really quite incredible.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2019/06/11/trump-may-be-damaging-his-biggest-reelection-asset/?utm_term=.f6652462476c

what do you have against the quinnipiac poll? they are well regarded

No they’re not.
And no polls except LA Times should be well regarded after 2016.

That was a very interesting poll -- do you know if it continues? I'd love to see what those same voters say today.

Not sure, but I imagine it will be ramping up again soon. Kudos to the Times for continuing to publish their very unpopular —but ultimately accurate—poll results throughout the election cycle.

[Anonymous]

The newly emboldened Russian Puppet says he would accept foreign help and won't report it to FBI.

https://www.cnn.com/2019/06/12/politics/donald-trump-abc-political-dirt-foreign-country-rivals/index.html?no-st=1560386757

[Anonymous]

Unfortunately I was Republican and voted for him. I voted in the VA Republican primary yesterday. In the line at 0800 I got an earful. I assume most there were Republican. I know this is anecdotal but the conversation I over heard tells me Trump is in real trouble. I guess I'm one of the Independents who does not think he's done any thing good. He's a mobster and a national embarrassment. See tonight's story that he will accept help from foreign governments. He is a traitor.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Unfortunately I was Republican and voted for him. I voted in the VA Republican primary yesterday. In the line at 0800 I got an earful. I assume most there were Republican. I know this is anecdotal but the conversation I over heard tells me Trump is in real trouble. I guess I'm one of the Independents who does not think he's done any thing good. He's a mobster and a national embarrassment. See tonight's story that he will accept help from foreign governments. He is a traitor.

That's interesting. I'm another independent, who did not vote for him, but I think it's Dems who have behaved like traitors for the last three years.

Time will tell. Thanks for sharing what you heard and thought.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Any “study” cited by WashPo is about as objective as Kim Jing Un in a popularity contest. I’ll pass on whatever content they spew regarding feelings toward Trump... and so will most of America.

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:The great Republican Ronald Reagan explains why Trump will win in 2020. He simply asked “are you better off than you were 4 years ago?” And the answer for most is “yes!” 70% of Americans feel optimistic about their personal finances. Just like James Carville once said “it’s the economy, stupid.” This is why the dems are in big big trouble. Their only strategy right now is to double down on this Russian collusion nonsense.

Exactly

60 percent said they did not credit Trump with any gains to the economy. Think about that. It's really quite incredible.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2019/06/11/trump-may-be-damaging-his-biggest-reelection-asset/?utm_term=.f6652462476c

what do you have against the quinnipiac poll? they are well regarded

No they’re not.
And no polls except LA Times should be well regarded after 2016.

That was a very interesting poll -- do you know if it continues? I'd love to see what those same voters say today.

Not sure, but I imagine it will be ramping up again soon. Kudos to the Times for continuing to publish their very unpopular —but ultimately accurate—poll results throughout the election cycle.

Seems to have stopped after the election. And yes I can't wait to see when it starts again.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:^^^^ New poster. It’s understood that a minority 42% of Americans would vote for their dear leader even if he shot some one in the middle of 5th avenue. But therein lies his problem, a minority isn’t gonna be enough to make ANY lasting changes like Obamacare or make gay marriage legal.

He isn’t gonna win again with a narrow slavery era EC margin with just a minority vote to become president again. Hillary isn’t on the ballet, Comey isn’t gonna restart the email case 10 days before election, Trump is no longer new to get the benefit of the doubt.

Exactly

But please keep touting his all time high 42 percent approval rating as if it proves that Trump is doing a great job

That's a different argument. The point is, most people who voted for Trump are satisfied with his work, as shown and proven. You guys don't have to be happy with this fact, and can feel free to distract others from this fact. You may even attempt to change the subject as you have, but it doesn't change that this is a fact.

+1.

But try discussing facts and logic with fundamentalist Dems...I've personally given up.

I just trust independents to realize what's going on and to vote accordingly in 2020.

My guesstimate as of today is, Trump has >70% chances of winning again.

DP. I agree. It's been said before and bears repeating: the loudest voices will *always* be those of liberals. All we hear are their opinions, loudly crowing ad nauseum about how much they hate Trump, blah blah blah. There's a huge swath of "silent" voters who are observing and deciding for themselves which way to vote based on the issues. They're not the type to discuss politics in public, or to assume that everyone around them will agree with their views. They don't respond to polls. They simply vote. I'm one of those people and I know I'm not alone.