Hurricane forecast
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Anonymous
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Any armchair meteorologists (or real ones!) follow this? Looks like there could be TWO hurricanes in the gulf by early next week. I keep having visions of The Perfect Storm but I don't know if two storms merging to make a bigger one is a real thing??
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at3+shtml/115652.shtml?cone#contents https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at4+shtml/114008.shtml?cone#contents |
Anonymous
| Kind of watching but the computer models don't show them merging. Weather Underground shows computer models. |
Anonymous
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At this point it looks like one is headed to Houston and one is headed to Pensacola.
Both are forecast to be Cat 1 or maybe less strong. The bummer with two at once is that usually neighboring states help out the area that got the hurricane. Like if Louisiana gets a hurricane, electricity repair people come from Texas / Mississippi /Alabama / Florida to help them get their electricity restored. But with two at once, all the gulf coast states will be too busy with their own problems to help their neighbors. |
Anonymous
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It’s late summer. This is when hurricanes are supposed to happen.
A LACK of hurricanes right now would be something to be concerned about. |
Anonymous
??? Please explain. |
Anonymous
Look at a calendar, genius. We're already at Laura and Marco. That's not supposed to happen. |
Anonymous
| Gee, do you think it's a good idea Trump has tapped into FEMA to pay the extra unemployment? Hmmm..... |
Anonymous
It's rare to have TWO hurricanes at the same time. Yesterday's models showed them both hitting on the same day, fairly close to each other. Today it's 24 hours apart and not as close to each other. Of course it may not even happen -- they may peter out -- but why are you even contributing to this thread with your ignorant nonsense, PP? |
Anonymous
Modern technology allows us to identify tropical storms that would have passed unnoticed in the past. In fact, I saw a meteorologist question whether either of these should have been labeled as tropical storms yesterday, as neither had closed circulation (which is supposed to be a requirement). PP is right -- so far (knock on wood), both of these storms are not forecast to strengthen significantly. If that remains the case, these storms could actually be a good thing because they will suck heat (energy) out of the Gulf and lessen the chance of a bigger storm later. |
Anonymous
It does make things a bit harder, but it not that unusual to have two different areas in the SE that have been hit fairly close together. Utilities have mutual support agreements with utilities nationwide. They'll send crews from as far away as they need to. |
Anonymous
I actually AM a genius. Thanks for your clairvoyance! If you can’t figure out why we’re able to identify (and thus name) more storms now than we could 40 years ago, then I can’t help you. |
Anonymous
I mean this in the meanest possible way: F’ the F’ off. I alone know more about hurricanes than you and your 11 closest relatives put together in a room. |
Anonymous
| I'm from Texas. These look like non events. The scary ones are cat 3 or more. Maybeeee cat 2 if you're right where it hits. |
Anonymous
But you have a terrible personality. |
Anonymous
Several reasons, none good: 1) a lack of tropical storm activity in late summer could indicate cooler ocean temps, possibly due to changes in ocean currents or cooler temps overall in the tropics. 2) cooler temps in Saharan Africa, with less tropical waves being spun off into the ocean to become tropical storms. 3) MOST serious/scary scenario - tropical systems stir up the surface waters of the ocean, and remove heat. This is a good thing. Because warm water feeds hurricanes. If there aren’t any, that ocean water continues to pile up a reserve of heat (from the sun). At some point, when a storm finally DOES come along, it will be far more intense because of all the available heat energy. This is the worst case (other than ocean currents changing long-term) More frequent small storms keep the amount of heat stored in the ocean at a level that doesn’t allow massive storms to develop. It’s like a controlled burn in a forest, that spares the mature trees, to clear out the dead wood every few years, instead of allowing it to like up and cause a massive wildfire that burn everything. It’s way, wayyyyy better to have a couple dozen tropical storms and small hurricanes in a season, than 6 massive ones. More smaller storms are much less destructive than a few massive ones. |