Hurricane forecast

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:It’s late summer. This is when hurricanes are supposed to happen.

A LACK of hurricanes right now would be something to be concerned about.

It's rare to have TWO hurricanes at the same time. Yesterday's models showed them both hitting on the same day, fairly close to each other. Today it's 24 hours apart and not as close to each other.

Of course it may not even happen -- they may peter out -- but why are you even contributing to this thread with your ignorant nonsense, PP?

I mean this in the meanest possible way: F’ the F’ off.

I alone know more about hurricanes than you and your 11 closest relatives put together in a room.

But you have a terrible personality.

I was perfectly pleasant until PP said I was posting ignorant nonsense.

Then I replied in-kind.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:It’s late summer. This is when hurricanes are supposed to happen.

A LACK of hurricanes right now would be something to be concerned about.

??? Please explain.

Several reasons, none good:

1) a lack of tropical storm activity in late summer could indicate cooler ocean temps, possibly due to changes in ocean currents or cooler temps overall in the tropics.

2) cooler temps in Saharan Africa, with less tropical waves being spun off into the ocean to become tropical storms.

3) MOST serious/scary scenario - tropical systems stir up the surface waters of the ocean, and remove heat. This is a good thing. Because warm water feeds hurricanes. If there aren’t any, that ocean water continues to pile up a reserve of heat (from the sun). At some point, when a storm finally DOES come along, it will be far more intense because of all the available heat energy. This is the worst case (other than ocean currents changing long-term)


More frequent small storms keep the amount of heat stored in the ocean at a level that doesn’t allow massive storms to develop. It’s like a controlled burn in a forest, that spares the mature trees, to clear out the dead wood every few years, instead of allowing it to like up and cause a massive wildfire that burn everything.

It’s way, wayyyyy better to have a couple dozen tropical storms and small hurricanes in a season, than 6 massive ones.

More smaller storms are much less destructive than a few massive ones.

You've already revealed yourself and ruined the thread in the process. No one cares what you have to say now. Go away.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:It’s late summer. This is when hurricanes are supposed to happen.

A LACK of hurricanes right now would be something to be concerned about.

??? Please explain.

Several reasons, none good:

1) a lack of tropical storm activity in late summer could indicate cooler ocean temps, possibly due to changes in ocean currents or cooler temps overall in the tropics.

2) cooler temps in Saharan Africa, with less tropical waves being spun off into the ocean to become tropical storms.

3) MOST serious/scary scenario - tropical systems stir up the surface waters of the ocean, and remove heat. This is a good thing. Because warm water feeds hurricanes. If there aren’t any, that ocean water continues to pile up a reserve of heat (from the sun). At some point, when a storm finally DOES come along, it will be far more intense because of all the available heat energy. This is the worst case (other than ocean currents changing long-term)


More frequent small storms keep the amount of heat stored in the ocean at a level that doesn’t allow massive storms to develop. It’s like a controlled burn in a forest, that spares the mature trees, to clear out the dead wood every few years, instead of allowing it to like up and cause a massive wildfire that burn everything.

It’s way, wayyyyy better to have a couple dozen tropical storms and small hurricanes in a season, than 6 massive ones.

More smaller storms are much less destructive than a few massive ones.

You've already revealed yourself and ruined the thread in the process. No one cares what you have to say now. Go away.

Your being butthurt doesn’t ruin the thread. It just means you don’t like it when people won’t tolerate your bullying.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:It’s late summer. This is when hurricanes are supposed to happen.

A LACK of hurricanes right now would be something to be concerned about.

??? Please explain.

Several reasons, none good:

1) a lack of tropical storm activity in late summer could indicate cooler ocean temps, possibly due to changes in ocean currents or cooler temps overall in the tropics.

2) cooler temps in Saharan Africa, with less tropical waves being spun off into the ocean to become tropical storms.

3) MOST serious/scary scenario - tropical systems stir up the surface waters of the ocean, and remove heat. This is a good thing. Because warm water feeds hurricanes. If there aren’t any, that ocean water continues to pile up a reserve of heat (from the sun). At some point, when a storm finally DOES come along, it will be far more intense because of all the available heat energy. This is the worst case (other than ocean currents changing long-term)


More frequent small storms keep the amount of heat stored in the ocean at a level that doesn’t allow massive storms to develop. It’s like a controlled burn in a forest, that spares the mature trees, to clear out the dead wood every few years, instead of allowing it to like up and cause a massive wildfire that burn everything.

It’s way, wayyyyy better to have a couple dozen tropical storms and small hurricanes in a season, than 6 massive ones.

More smaller storms are much less destructive than a few massive ones.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:It’s late summer. This is when hurricanes are supposed to happen.

A LACK of hurricanes right now would be something to be concerned about.

??? Please explain.

Several reasons, none good:

1) a lack of tropical storm activity in late summer could indicate cooler ocean temps, possibly due to changes in ocean currents or cooler temps overall in the tropics.

2) cooler temps in Saharan Africa, with less tropical waves being spun off into the ocean to become tropical storms.

3) MOST serious/scary scenario - tropical systems stir up the surface waters of the ocean, and remove heat. This is a good thing. Because warm water feeds hurricanes. If there aren’t any, that ocean water continues to pile up a reserve of heat (from the sun). At some point, when a storm finally DOES come along, it will be far more intense because of all the available heat energy. This is the worst case (other than ocean currents changing long-term)


More frequent small storms keep the amount of heat stored in the ocean at a level that doesn’t allow massive storms to develop. It’s like a controlled burn in a forest, that spares the mature trees, to clear out the dead wood every few years, instead of allowing it to like up and cause a massive wildfire that burn everything.

It’s way, wayyyyy better to have a couple dozen tropical storms and small hurricanes in a season, than 6 massive ones.

More smaller storms are much less destructive than a few massive ones.

You've already revealed yourself and ruined the thread in the process. No one cares what you have to say now. Go away.

Your being butthurt doesn’t ruin the thread. It just means you don’t like it when people won’t tolerate your bullying.

DP. This is correct.

It is also classic DCUM for the person who has no clue what they’re talking about to be the most adamant about their (incorrect) opinion.

[Anonymous]

I’ve been getting updates multiple times a day from my weather obsessed DS. It has been a good summer to learn more about hurricanes.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:It’s late summer. This is when hurricanes are supposed to happen.

A LACK of hurricanes right now would be something to be concerned about.

??? Please explain.

Several reasons, none good:

1) a lack of tropical storm activity in late summer could indicate cooler ocean temps, possibly due to changes in ocean currents or cooler temps overall in the tropics.

2) cooler temps in Saharan Africa, with less tropical waves being spun off into the ocean to become tropical storms.

3) MOST serious/scary scenario - tropical systems stir up the surface waters of the ocean, and remove heat. This is a good thing. Because warm water feeds hurricanes. If there aren’t any, that ocean water continues to pile up a reserve of heat (from the sun). At some point, when a storm finally DOES come along, it will be far more intense because of all the available heat energy. This is the worst case (other than ocean currents changing long-term)


More frequent small storms keep the amount of heat stored in the ocean at a level that doesn’t allow massive storms to develop. It’s like a controlled burn in a forest, that spares the mature trees, to clear out the dead wood every few years, instead of allowing it to like up and cause a massive wildfire that burn everything.

It’s way, wayyyyy better to have a couple dozen tropical storms and small hurricanes in a season, than 6 massive ones.

More smaller storms are much less destructive than a few massive ones.

You've already revealed yourself and ruined the thread in the process. No one cares what you have to say now. Go away.

Your being butthurt doesn’t ruin the thread. It just means you don’t like it when people won’t tolerate your bullying.

DP. This is correct.

It is also classic DCUM for the person who has no clue what they’re talking about to be the most adamant about their (incorrect) opinion.

DP. Please. It's actually not classic for knowledgeable posters to be a**holes, there are plenty of helpful experts who post to educate. Unfortunately this one posts for other reasons.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Gee, do you think it's a good idea Trump has tapped into FEMA to pay the extra unemployment? Hmmm.....

Can we just have a weather conversation without this coming into play? Aren't you exhausted?

[Anonymous]

Since it currently looks like the two storms will make landfall at similar locations, but separated by a couple of days, my expectation is the first storm will resulting in cooling of the ocean/gulf due to the wave action and mixing of the deeper water. That will inhibit the strengthening of the second storm.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Gee, do you think it's a good idea Trump has tapped into FEMA to pay the extra unemployment? Hmmm.....

Can we just have a weather conversation without this coming into play? Aren't you exhausted?

Yes, I am. Trump is exhausting. Everything he does makes things worse.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:It’s late summer. This is when hurricanes are supposed to happen.

A LACK of hurricanes right now would be something to be concerned about.

??? Please explain.

Several reasons, none good:

1) a lack of tropical storm activity in late summer could indicate cooler ocean temps, possibly due to changes in ocean currents or cooler temps overall in the tropics.

2) cooler temps in Saharan Africa, with less tropical waves being spun off into the ocean to become tropical storms.

3) MOST serious/scary scenario - tropical systems stir up the surface waters of the ocean, and remove heat. This is a good thing. Because warm water feeds hurricanes. If there aren’t any, that ocean water continues to pile up a reserve of heat (from the sun). At some point, when a storm finally DOES come along, it will be far more intense because of all the available heat energy. This is the worst case (other than ocean currents changing long-term)


More frequent small storms keep the amount of heat stored in the ocean at a level that doesn’t allow massive storms to develop. It’s like a controlled burn in a forest, that spares the mature trees, to clear out the dead wood every few years, instead of allowing it to like up and cause a massive wildfire that burn everything.

It’s way, wayyyyy better to have a couple dozen tropical storms and small hurricanes in a season, than 6 massive ones.

More smaller storms are much less destructive than a few massive ones.

You've already revealed yourself and ruined the thread in the process. No one cares what you have to say now. Go away.

Your being butthurt doesn’t ruin the thread. It just means you don’t like it when people won’t tolerate your bullying.

DP. This is correct.

It is also classic DCUM for the person who has no clue what they’re talking about to be the most adamant about their (incorrect) opinion.

DP. Please. It's actually not classic for knowledgeable posters to be a**holes, there are plenty of helpful experts who post to educate. Unfortunately this one posts for other reasons.

The person who was correct about this matter was posting nicely until their post was mocked as "ignorant nonsense" by someone who had no idea what they were talking about. I wouldn't have responded as harshly as they did, but those doing the mocking were the ones who made fools out of themselves and are now trying to discredit the (correct) poster based on his/her tone. If you're going to dish it out, you have to be able to take it (particularly when you are the one who is clearly ignorant of the subject at hand).

[Anonymous]

I agree with PP.

As an expert in another field, it’s annoying to have ignorant, aggressive people try to discredit me when I try to be useful on DCUM.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:I agree with PP.

As an expert in another field, it’s annoying to have ignorant, aggressive people try to discredit me when I try to be useful on DCUM.

Oh please. It is noteworthy that we have two possible hurricanes predicted at the same time. To pretend otherwise is stupid, no matter how much you know about ocean water temperature vs evaporation rate or whatever.

[Anonymous]

Plus on one who says, "I mean this in the meanest possible way: F’ the F’ off. I alone know more about hurricanes than you and your 11 closest relatives put together in a room" should be calling out another poster for bullying, much less expecting respect for being a genius (or what that another a-hole meteorologist in the thread?).

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:I agree with PP.

As an expert in another field, it’s annoying to have ignorant, aggressive people try to discredit me when I try to be useful on DCUM.

Yeah no. The hurricane expert (and others?) dismissing these early double hurricanes are not trying to be useful. They're just being argumentative.