Finally you realize and agree that you’re making housing more expensive. You may be ok with that but I’m not. |
Given the extensive nature of the change, the uncertainty of the resulting structures/impacts and the relative irreversability of removing any allowance thus created, the Council should, at a minimum:
Put the change to the represented citizenry in an independent public referendum. This would tend to ensure the minimum public support such sweeping change should have, no matter the orientation of elected representatives on the particular issue. Establish moratoria on use of additional densities made available with zoning change in any area that is shown not to have fullsome public infrastructure (schools, utilities, parks, etc.)/where committed funding for such would not meet the then-additional density at the time of occupancy. This would tend to ensure that the Council backs up its Planning-painted vision with the projects necessary to keep under-served areas from persisting as such. Place reasonably low yearly caps on parcels granted allowance in any given area/neighborhood (but not on the County as a whole, except for the cumulative count across all neighborhood caps) for the first few years, with short approval-to-breaking-ground maximums prior to those granted allowances being clawed back for re-issue (limiting opportunity hoarding). This would ensure that individual neighborhoods were not overwhelmed by rapid change and that any associated downside from increased densities would be shared across communities, so that support for the measure would have to come from a broader base of those who might directly be affected, rather than from a majority who might be relatively insulated from associated change to the detriment of a minority who would not be so protected. Establish a sunset provision for all of the changes after the first few years mentioned above, so as not to create an expectation that would interfere with efforts to revert zoning to prior definition, should the effects of the changes turn out to be worse than hoped. That sunset could be extended every few years by the Council until such time as the policy/changes prove to be beneficial, at which time they, or some proximate modification, could be made permanent (or allowed to sunset if benefit does not prove out). |
Those posting here should avoid engagement with The Questioner, who posts as being "earnestly" interested in knowing one's position, but who picks at particular aspects of an argument to draw out rationale so as to better prepare themselves for rhetorical rebuttal in public hearings. They never fully engage in more reasoned debate that would seek to establish a truth, which would require them to lay their own underlying rationale bare (instead of only encouraging doubt about the opposing viewpoint), address the full content presented by those with opposing viewpoints (instead of picking out one or other aspect with the result of burying the remaining relevant observations) and respond without mischaracterization (hyperbole/strawman and the like) of those opposing viewpoints. |
This is reasonable. |
FYI - new planning series on screwing the public for fun and profit.
https://montgomeryplanningboard.org/montgomery-county-planning-board-announces-a-speaker-series-on-housing/ Sessions July 18 Intersection: Land Use and Housing Supply, a National and Local Perspective Local land use regulations, such as zoning, are the most direct way that jurisdictions can regulate housing supply, but what else should planners be focusing on? What can planners do to increase housing supply? Join the Planning Board to hear about tools being used nationally to increase housing supply, followed by an analysis of the local housing market. Panel: Yonah Freemark, Principal Research Associate, Urban Institute Lisa Sturtevant, Chief Economist, Bright MLS Moderator: Artie Harris, Chair, Montgomery Planning Board September 19 A Tale from our Partners: Lessons learned from the trenches As a follow up to the July session, the panel discussed various ways localities are addressing housing supply shortages. But how have they worked in practice? As jurisdictions across the country embark on plans to increase housing supply, this session will examine lessons learned from agencies that have already implemented attainable housing strategies. Hear from representatives from Oregon and St. Paul, MN on their initiatives over the past five years to encourage more housing development. They’ll talk about what worked, what didn’t work, what they would do differently, and what advice they have to offer. Panel: Emma Brown, Senior City Planner, St. Paul, Minnesota Department of Planning and Economic Development Mari Valencia Aguilar, Senior Housing Planner, Oregon Department of Land Conservation and Development Richard Tucker, Housing Arlington Coordinator, Arlington, VA, Department of Community Planning, Housing & Development October 17 Practitioner’s Panel: Implementation Successes and Areas of Focus Join the Planning Board to hear from developers and industry experts that have leveraged relaxed zoning and other creative tools to develop attainable housing. Discover what worked, where were the challenges, and what Montgomery County can do to actualize attainable housing. Panel: Bob Young, Principal, Young Group Rosie Hepner, Vice President, ULI Terwilliger Center for Housing Representative from Opticos Design, Inc |
This is true. They aren’t really worth engaging in general, but we should not provide them with information, especially specific actions. Clearly they are organized…the YImBYs are posting everywhere…”like, hey guys, just took the magic bus the other day, and it was so convenient! Only took me 2 hours to get to DT Silver Spring and I was totally able to get a bag of apples home! Totes realistic mode of transpo for regular people! I too am a regular people! This is totally spontaneous!” |
There are many, many types of housing. Detached single family houses are not the only type of housing. |
Where have you seen these posts? |
Take notes on the meeting to see what the YIMBYs are planning ugh. |
What happens in the SFH market affects pricing for other types of housing more than you think. The shortage of SFH is almost certainly driving rents up right now. If you don’t believe this then you don’t believe your own theories about luxury apartments driving down rents for Class C apartments. |
The reverse is true too. The MFH market also affects the SFH market. Increasing supply of missing middle homes helps meet demand for housing in low-density neighborhoods that relieves upward pressure on SFH prices. That extra missing middle supply increases much faster than the SFH stock decreases, because each lost SFH becomes two or more missing middle homes. |
Those two types of housing aren’t and will never be viewed as perfect substitutes. However, once again noted that you’d like to negatively affect SFH prices for homeowners in the county. |
You aren’t seeing this on your neighborhood listserves and facebook groups? You don’t have little private mini-YIMBY groups on Facebook? |
The reverse is less true if it is even true at all, judging from price increases for different types of housing over time. SFH is the most expensive type of housing but has still consistently appreciated faster than other types of housing, suggesting very strong demand. In the same way that high-rise apartment construction hasn’t reduced prices of SFH, small apartment projects probably won’t make SFH cheaper either. It is much more likely that upward price pressure in the SFH market (resulting from a decrease in supply and increasing land values) will push the ceiling for MF rents higher as more people become stuck in MF (stuck is how they will feel) because SFH have become less attainable. The one way that upzoning could put downward pressure on SFH prices is if multiplexes entice older homeowners to sell their SFH and move to a multiplex. I don’t think this is likely though because the financial incentives favor staying put and because multiplexes are unlikely to have the accessibility features (including disability parking) that older homeowners seek. “People prefer living in multiplexes over SFH” just isn’t support by historical demand patterns at all and I think we have enough similar products on the market to conclude that small apartment projects will not drive radical change in housing preference any more than high rises have. |
The PP would like to negatively affect SFH prices but is fine with causing them go up too. |