Those condos aren’t that expensive. Certainly not more than 5th to Park Avenue prewars. TTS aren’t exactly begging for those foreign families |
I got the impression many schools change their curriculum to be more inclusive in order to attract a broader pool of wealthy families. We can drop the subject as it getting further away from the main topic. |
Discrimination against Asian families is real. Rich Latinos go to avenues in droves because TTs won’t take them. |
lots of BS in this post. first of all, a free month and tax abatement are different things - one is rental one is ownership. Rents have gone up the last few years pretty aggressively. that being said, our rent has been pretty reasonable - we started at 7,500 about 13 years ago and is now 9,500. it barely moved from 2013 to 2022. from 2023-2026 it has gone up 20%. the 300k down payment we saved has moved up to over 1.0MM (post tax) due to equity and bond market returns. The maintenance costs have increased in the buildings we looked at buying as well. We are much better off having rented. now, we did put $200k down on a house in the hamptons - that down payment has ballooned in value to over $1MM (and that's incorporating capital gains in the event we sold). we have had Interest only loans for the majority of the 18 years we have owned it. |
how many people at the TT schools are moving out of manhattan into "outer borough" to save money? not many is my guess |
This is solid analysis. It would take them another 15 years, at least, for buying to have made sense, if ever. Whereas SFH in vacation areas will do well due to limited inventory. Ignore the social stigma of renting and do what makes sense financially or buy knowing it is suboptimal financially. |
You have also been fortunate to cherry pick one of the best periods in market history. More importantly, home ownership is only partially an economic decision. Any slightly intelligent financial advisor will split out your home from all other analysis. Because it is a place you live. Where you raise your family. Where you entertain friends. Where you build a community. It is obviously often a big portion of your net worth so that can't be ignored. But those whoh view this as solely transactional are not people I want in my life. And your Hamptons humblebrag says you are likely in that category. But yeah, you're rich. |
what hamptons humblebrag. we are north of the highway. we paid $1mm, it's worth a lot more now given RE appreciation and some renovations. It's a very modest house but in a good location. we won't sell - per your excellent points on RE. some years we rent it out for a few weeks to a month to help pay the carrying costs. we are solidly lower end of affluent. slightly more than 10mm investments, 2mm in RE. we don't feel rich. we still look for sales - but do travel well and do prioritize education so pay for private school. I haircut the market returns (i think if using equity returns the value would be over 1.4mm post tax). i agree with your point. Not cherry picking, just using our example. In fact we have been fortunate to earn a decent amount above the market returns but that might be luck/randomness. are you saying that we can't raise a family, entertain, build a community in a rental building? we have lived same building for 13 years. we have many close friends in the building. your assumption on not creating roots in a rental is not necessarily true. |
PP here - for the first time I feel like buying as some merits in manhattan. Have rented for 30 years. 3 different apartments. my issue is supply from non resident owner apartments (if this tax goes thru), negative feelings about NY - costs going up and given the huge pension and social liabilities the taxes will have to go up or QOL go down, do i really want to live on the UES/UWS post kids schooling. but at some point, we will do the suboptimal thing and buy due to spousal desire. |
I meant to say the developer recieves the tax abatement and can undercut rent price by offering a free month. We own 2 townhouses. We have no housing cost as our properties turn a profit. We have fixed rate loans at 3% from COVID refinance. We didn't consider to be as levered as you. |
Rent the 2 or 3br until the kids leave the nest. Then buy or rent a studio. Live elsewhere and come in for big nights and to see friends. Much more cost effective. People here consistently ignore how much monthlies have gone up for coops, through the roof |
You are affluent. Trust me. You can stop working tomorrow and life pretty nicely based on the timeline you presented - put in a few more years and you are definitely all set (assuming you are 45+). I know you are trying to be modest and respect that but it just makes others feel bad about themselves. |
got it re developer. but the math really doesn't work for new condos in nyc rent versus buy. with assets of 13-14mm and a sub 1mm mortgage we don't view that as being overly levered. in general owning properties requires some work if you want to rent them out. I don't think that would be the most ideal use of our time as we can consult and invest and make more $$. but it can work for many people and it seems like it works for you. |
i did say lower end affluent. and yes, probably working for another 5 years and we can retire since college is paid for and we will be in okay shape. we will have some inheritance as well which unfortunately will most likely come in 5 years or less. the way we think about it is that if we have $15mm we can draw 4% a year and have $50k a month in retirement which is a very nice retirement. that's what we are targetting. |
that is definitely an idea. keep the vacation home in LI. Buy/Rent in Florida for the winters and have an 1Br. in manhattan for Oct, Nov,March, April and other random times. Live in LI for 4 months, florida for 4 months and manhattan for 4 months. |