Many building are old and have deferred repairs. The up-keeping will continue to get more expensive. Between the maintenance, assessments, and taxes you are owning a liability more than an asset. The value of wanting to buy into a co-op will continue to decrease. Most common I see is people buy into new condo and taking advantage of the tax abatement and new facilities. Try to sell before it expires and the expenses goes up in 10 years. |
Interesting. Wouldn’t these buildings effectively become rentals (maintenance instead of rent) at that point with a small to medium size “buy in” fee at the beginning? |
Yeah, that how some people view it. It a consumption rather than an investment. The issue is for the average person as the majority of their wealth is tied to their home. |
And you think rentals aren’t passing along the repair cost to you? Most families I know who rent face huge massive rent increases annually. |
Rent is based on market factors and what someone willing to pay. Many are moving to the outer borough. The old buildings will be competing with new buildings that have tax abatement and can offer one free month of rent. There has also been a decline in students enrolled in public school, so it been trending for families to leave the city. |
Except rents in NY continue to increase. |
Yea but you can always leave a rental. You can’t just pack up and leave your coop after decades of mismanagement. There are massive increases in monthlies in coops as well |
Except monthlies in NY coops continue to increase. And so does the stock market, faster than your equity increases (if it does, if you bought after 2014 there’s a very good chance you are flat or down, unlike most real estate markets other than Chicago). |
No one is moving to outer boroughs except maybe Brooklyn Heights. People with money will always want to live in Manhattan. Perhaps your friends are moving to the far reaches of Staten Island or Queens. Not those who are making high six figures plus and considering private school. People thought Manhattan real estate would die after 9/11. Nope. After 2008. Nope. And old buildings in good neighborhoods will always be appealing. Just have to fix them up. Not that hard. If you don' t the large high floor corner apartment in the Beresford or on Park Avenue there are plenty of others who do. |
How do you know these families spend every penny? Sure, it's possible to guesstimate HHI (especially if parents work well known professional tracks). But no one I know would ever talk about their actual cash flow, net worth, if grandparents are chipping in etc in deep detail. |
While what you say is true, it represents a small percentage of the overall populations and local economy. Young people drive the local economy and business. If only the wealthy stay, many stores will close and have empty storefronts that make the neighborhood less desirable. |
I find people often share their financial concerns quite readily. If they don’t now, they often do when they start divorcing towards the end of your child’s elementary school years. The parents become broke and leave the city or move into terrible apartments and you realize all those trips they took to St Bart’s or Sagaponack were irresponsible. |
We are talking about people considering 70k a year private school, not middle management wagies saving to buy a condo in LIC without views. |
You have outdated views if you think the average UES family sending their child to private is wealthier than the family that migrated from abroad and bought in LIC. |
I think you missed the point and don't have a very good understanding of the market for private school seats. |