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Soccer
Training and dedication DO trump natural ability…but that’s not really what you’re saying. Your saying if a kid that has no innate athletic ability works just as hard a someone that has natural athletic ability they’ll lose. Great thought experiment, and in a vacuum the logic seems solid 0+10=10 vs 3+10=13 BUT the research doesn’t support that conclusion. |
You're not your. Also natural talent and quality development will ALWAYS trump development alone. |
| I posted about 250 pages ago on RAE. A big part of the problem is that from the beginning, the biggest oldest kids get the best training and most playing time. That effect is cumulative over time and builds confidence, along with top team potential. A switch to SY honestly doesn’t change that, just switches the months, but nothing will change that. It is what it is until coaches in the US start playing like Spain. |
Most who achieve success (sports, wealth, academy) are unwilling to admit the advantages and luck they had and feel like their hard work was everything and get angry when their good fortune is pointed out to them. Having your head in the sand doesn't make unwanted truths go away. |
"Everything is earned" and claiming that coaches/clubs are good predicting soccer futures of 6 years don't match with youth soccer reality in the DMV. Kids get promoted all the time when they switch clubs. |
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I don't get why this is so hard for so many people to understand on both sides of the debate.
1. RAE exists no matter what, just the months with the advantage differ. 2. Club teams understandably use RAE and their teams are disproportionate towards kids born in the first 6 months. 3. BY does not align with college recruitment by grad year and a lot of BY studs struggle and wash out in college when they go up against older kids. That's why colleges want Grad Year or at least school year. That would orient the feeder program (club soccer) to more align with their recruitment. |
Which kids (birth months) are quitting and why? Also competitive hockey is definitely BY. |
The point isn’t kids quit sports it’s that participation rates are highly from the Q1/2 months for all teams. That is not good for the sport. Also you are wrong kids statistically stay in sports longer in SY age groups. Also I’m pretty certain hockey is BY and there was even a book written about how the best hockey kids/pros are Jan to March. |
All of these SY/BY arguments for soccer fall apart when you realize sports like basketball and football also have age cutoffs but nobody seems to blame it for all the ills of the sport. Why is it only a problem for soccer? Maybe there is something else different about soccer that is a bigger problem because the other sports don't seem to have the smae issues with age cutoffs. |
No, it's a big deal in other sports and even academics also. Because most people don't know something exists doesn't make it not exist, it makes them uninformed. |
| College football is notorious for sending Q4 kids to JUCO. Its also why they have redshirt years. Vast majority of Q2,3,4 kids are not ready to play. |
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If Q1/Q2 players are at the same caliber in all things consider with Q3/Q4 players - would this mean coaches/ club would prefer Q1/Q2 players?
I was under the impression of if kids can play - it really doesn’t matter which quarter they were born. |
Good summary. It is hard for many because parents want advantages for their kids but don't want to acknowledge them and parents stand up for their kids if they perceive an unfair situation for their kids. And a shocking number of people can't handle change or anything different from their childhood or views different from their preconceived notions or new information that goes against their model of the world. Also, coaches and clubs as a whole overinflate their scouting and training abilities and anybody that attacks their opinions as the soccer savants they think they are or their business model becomes their enemy. And that changing a date range in a computer system being such a time consuming endeavor is such a huge red herring. A fair situation will be to have birth year and school year at some of the highest levels of youth soccer and some of the youngest to attempt to address the relative age effect. Will be interesting to see if this works. But school alone caused problems and birth year alone caused problems. The reasons for wanting only birth year or school year alone (needing inter league tournaments, crowning some national champion) are way less than having both (addressing the relative age effect and allowing players to reach their full potential.) Pick the the league you want for your kid, birth year or school year, and don't begrudge those that make a different choice. It's not hard, it really is that easy. |
Grad year!!!? |
It’s a rich kid sport is an issue. Very few low cost great coaching options. Also Basketball and football are not as big internationally. Basketball is gaining some ground. I’m sure there are lots of factors to consider but idk that anyone blaming SY/BYore just pointing out flaws or what some parents think is an injustice of RAE. |