21,000 new students in DCPS/charters by 2026?
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Anonymous
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New report just out.
https://thedcline.org/2018/09/18/thousands-of-additional-students-expected-in-public-schools-by-2026-new-report-says/ "An overall increase of 21,000 students would top the increase of 14,000 students over the last 10 years, according to the report." I'd be willing to bet 75% of that increase was because of added PK spots during that 10 years. I am very skeptical of significant increases in the percentage of middle/high school population actually attending DCPS/charter schools. More estimates and modeling next week. "Further analysis on enrollment patterns is slated for release on Sept. 28. Last year, the DC Council provided funding for the Office of the DC Auditor to undertake a DC Public Schools Enrollment Study. The 21st Century School Fund, the Urban Institute and Cooperative Strategies have worked since January to assess the accuracy of the school system’s current methodology for developing enrollment projections, compared with best practices used elsewhere. Mary Filardo and Will Perkins of the 21st Century School Fund provided a preliminary report Monday night at a meeting of the Ward 3-Wilson Feeder Education Network. Without revealing the study’s findings, they offered the group’s members a preview." If these are even close to being right there needs to be a top-to-bottom revision of boundaries set to go into effect in 2023 or so. And it needs to incorporate some sort of facility planning with charters/PCSB. |
Anonymous
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You can test your hypothesis re PK3 driving most of the enrollment increases by looking at the grade by grade enrollment over the last few years here https://osse.dc.gov/enrollment
Personally I think that the rise in the number of adult charter school students is another big factor that is under-reported. |
Anonymous
| The current boundaries are already set to be reviewed in 2024. Take a deep breath. |
Anonymous
Fair enough. Am just frustrated seeing these shiny new buildings open up (Eastern, Woodson, Dunbar, Brookland, etc), and every single one of them is significantly underenrolled. |
Anonymous
Eastern is not under-enrolled - but the rest of them are. Add Roosevelt to that list. On the bright side, there is plenty of room to fit in several thousand more students. But the boundaries will absolutely need to be redrawn and that is never easy or simple. |
Anonymous
Isn't the bigger question whether DCPS is going to keep accommodating new students in charters or alternately compel students back into the grossly under enrolled EOTP neighborhood schools? |
Anonymous
What??? |
Anonymous
| The report says they increased their emphasis on residency reporting. In the 2017, they reported 16 students who did not have verified residency; in 2018 the number went up to 152. If I'm reading it right that's the number they found in a 20% sample of students who are not verified by database, not a number extrapolated to the whole. I guess extrapolated to all students not verified by database it's 760 in 2018 (152*5)? |
Anonymous
| The solution (from this Ward 4 parent) is to NOT let anybody else into the Wilson feeder system. If anything, shed people from Wilson-land. There are enough children of parents with advanced degrees to make Roosevelt and Coolidge desirable in 2030. Unless every kid who wants to can go to Wilson. |
Anonymous
The solution is to actually meet the needs of the kids and to confront the failings of the schools and downtown. Until adults who work for the system choose to do a good job, forcing people out of Wilson will make them leave the District. |
Anonymous
Roosevelt maybe. The cockamamie plan for the application school half of Coolidge (take all APs in 9 and 10th, then go off campus and attend college as a dual enrollee for 11th and 12th) will not attract the kinds of families you are describing. |
Anonymous
Exactly. And nobody is going to put up with the middle school anyway. DCPS tries theae dumb gimmicks because they can't figure out how to execute a basic normal school. |
Anonymous
| Cut the Ward 3 District for Wilson in half. Let those on one side of Wisconsin Avenue attend Wilson High and let the others go to Coolidge and Roosevelt. That would reduce overcrowding. |
Anonymous
it would work but they would NEVER get that passed. |
Anonymous
It would reduce by sending more kids to private but how would it help Coolidge? Wilson is not the only issue. As a charter parent, I agree with a PP that we need to start limiting new charters. As it is, many DCPS elementary schools are gaining in popularity. Eventually, with fewer charters, middles will continue (Hardy), it will eventually grow EOTP. I would like to see DCPS open a true application middle school. Maybe one with guaranteed admission to Banneker or Walls. |