2028 Girls Lacrosse

[Anonymous]

Data Guys are pretty good, I must admit. Can’t wait for NGLL to get here.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Another trend involves the 2030s. The top three DMV teams in that age group are BLC (17) Stars (41) and Pride Red Loudon (61). Pride Red NoVa currently sits at 115. Some will dismiss this as meaningless since they are in 6th grade. Fine. But history shows teams don’t move dramatically in the rankings (unless there is a defection of talent from one team like what happened with the BLC 28s). It indicates a sizable drop in VA at the 2030 age group.

I am confident history does not show teams are stuck with their fall 6th grade year ranking after playing a handful of games.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:If you take MoCo out of the equation and run average national ranking stats for 8th grade for the top two VA teams it would look like this:

2026: Pride (9) Stars (7) = #8 average
2027: Pride (23) Stars (42) = #33
2028: Pride (14) Stars (38) = #26
2029 (7th grade for comparison): Pride (23) Stars (26) = #25

VA doesn’t show a unique “drop off” at the 28 level (in fact, it shows a ranking improvement at this age level). But there has been a 3.5X average ranking drop among the top VA teams since the 26s.

Compare this with averaging the rank of the top two DMV teams (8th grade only) during the same years:

2026: Pride (9) Stars (7) = #8 average
2027: BLC (7) Pride (23) = #15
2028: Pride (14) Stars (38) = #26
2029 (7th grade for comparison) BLC (20) Pride (23) = #22

This shows a slightly lower average DMV ranking (3X) since the 26s.

Another trend involves the 2030s. The top three DMV teams in that age group are BLC (17) Stars (41) and Pride Red Loudon (61). Pride Red NoVa currently sits at 115. Some will dismiss this as meaningless since they are in 6th grade. Fine. But history shows teams don’t move dramatically in the rankings (unless there is a defection of talent from one team like what happened with the BLC 28s). It indicates a sizable drop in VA at the 2030 age group.

Takeaways: There was a notable drop in VA rankings at the 2027 level, a notable drop in MoCo rankings at the 2028 level, a worrisome drop in average ranking (for VA and broader DMV) over the past three years, and a notable drop in VA rankings at the 2030 age group.

The data for the 2025s when they were in 8th grade was right there at your fingertips. For some reason you did not add it, so here it is for the top two:

2025: Pride (13) Stars (38) = #16 average, which is in line with VA historically excluding 2026, which looks to be an outlier year.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:If you take MoCo out of the equation and run average national ranking stats for 8th grade for the top two VA teams it would look like this:

2026: Pride (9) Stars (7) = #8 average
2027: Pride (23) Stars (42) = #33
2028: Pride (14) Stars (38) = #26
2029 (7th grade for comparison): Pride (23) Stars (26) = #25

VA doesn’t show a unique “drop off” at the 28 level (in fact, it shows a ranking improvement at this age level). But there has been a 3.5X average ranking drop among the top VA teams since the 26s.

Compare this with averaging the rank of the top two DMV teams (8th grade only) during the same years:

2026: Pride (9) Stars (7) = #8 average
2027: BLC (7) Pride (23) = #15
2028: Pride (14) Stars (38) = #26
2029 (7th grade for comparison) BLC (20) Pride (23) = #22

This shows a slightly lower average DMV ranking (3X) since the 26s.

Another trend involves the 2030s. The top three DMV teams in that age group are BLC (17) Stars (41) and Pride Red Loudon (61). Pride Red NoVa currently sits at 115. Some will dismiss this as meaningless since they are in 6th grade. Fine. But history shows teams don’t move dramatically in the rankings (unless there is a defection of talent from one team like what happened with the BLC 28s). It indicates a sizable drop in VA at the 2030 age group.

Takeaways: There was a notable drop in VA rankings at the 2027 level, a notable drop in MoCo rankings at the 2028 level, a worrisome drop in average ranking (for VA and broader DMV) over the past three years, and a notable drop in VA rankings at the 2030 age group.

The data for the 2025s when they were in 8th grade was right there at your fingertips. For some reason you did not add it, so here it is for the top two:

2025: Pride (13) Stars (38) = #16 average, which is in line with VA historically excluding 2026, which looks to be an outlier year.

Assume #16 was a typo (and that you meant to write #26) but point made.

So takeaways are:

2025 was especially challenging for MoCo, on par for VA
2026 showed improvement for MoCo (still huge challenges there), especially good for VA
2027 especially good for MoCo, somewhat on-par for VA (slipped seven places)
2028 is especially challenging for MoCo, on par for VA
2029 MoCo has the edge v VA teams but competition is close (majors all ranked between #20 and #26)
2030 MoCo shows slight improvement on the year before (three spots gained), especially challenging for VA

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:I.

Another trend involves the 2030s. The top three DMV teams in that age group are BLC (17) Stars (41) and Pride Red Loudon (61). Pride Red NoVa currently sits at 115. Some will dismiss this as meaningless since they are in 6th grade. Fine. But history shows teams don’t move dramatically in the rankings (unless there is a defection of talent from one team like what happened with the BLC 28s). It indicates a sizable drop in VA at the 2030 age group.

The top ranked 2030 team is the Yellow Jackets DMV at #11, formerly the MC Elite 2030 team. Put them in your average and the area is doing fine for 2030 talent.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:I.

Another trend involves the 2030s. The top three DMV teams in that age group are BLC (17) Stars (41) and Pride Red Loudon (61). Pride Red NoVa currently sits at 115. Some will dismiss this as meaningless since they are in 6th grade. Fine. But history shows teams don’t move dramatically in the rankings (unless there is a defection of talent from one team like what happened with the BLC 28s). It indicates a sizable drop in VA at the 2030 age group.

The top ranked 2030 team is the Yellow Jackets DMV at #11, formerly the MC Elite 2030 team. Put them in your average and the area is doing fine for 2030 talent.

Excellent!

[Anonymous]

I hate all this data. Can’t we just go back to being snarky and trolling.

[Anonymous]

Seems like a lot of time, effort, and data to come to the same conclusion as previous years where few players will get the chance to play for a top 20 team, few will be offered the opportunity to play at the academic school of their choice, and many will end up settling for colleges that were never on their short list. Choose your schools first and if lacrosse happens to come along with them you will have hit the jackpot.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:I hate all this data. Can’t we just go back to being snarky and trolling.

No

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:I hate all this data. Can’t we just go back to being snarky and trolling.

No

I agree. I have actually enjoyed the conversations on here lately

Keep it up 28s and stay positive

[Anonymous]

Rumor has it that some of stronger (I will not say the best, because it is all subjective) are putting a team in for the Valentine Shootout? Can anyone confirm this? Girls from Stars and Pride will be playing together. Never thought I would have seen it

[Anonymous]

Will Pride and Stars girls be trying out for the American Select Virginia team this year?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Will Pride and Stars girls be trying out for the American Select Virginia team this year?

Pretty likely.

All America is at the same time, as well.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Will Pride and Stars girls be trying out for the American Select Virginia team this year?

Pretty likely.

All America is at the same time, as well.

I hope the VA team is more competitive than it was last year (if girls see this as more desirable than All America).

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Will Pride and Stars girls be trying out for the American Select Virginia team this year?

Pretty likely.

All America is at the same time, as well.

I hope the VA team is more competitive than it was last year (if girls see this as more desirable than All America).

Unfortunately, I don’t think the objective is to put together a truly competitive team. This does not make sense to me, but it seems to be true.