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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]If you take MoCo out of the equation and run average national ranking stats for 8th grade for the top two VA teams it would look like this:

2026: Pride (9) Stars (7) = #8 average
2027: Pride (23) Stars (42) = #33 
2028: Pride (14) Stars (38) = #26 
2029 (7th grade for comparison): Pride (23) Stars (26) = #25

VA doesn’t show a unique “drop off” at the 28 level (in fact, it shows a ranking improvement at this age level). But there has been a 3.5X average ranking drop among the top VA teams since the 26s.

Compare this with averaging the rank of the top two DMV teams (8th grade only) during the same years:

2026: Pride (9) Stars (7) = #8 average
2027: BLC (7) Pride (23) = #15
2028: Pride (14) Stars (38) = #26 
2029 (7th grade for comparison) BLC (20) Pride (23) = #22

This shows a slightly lower average DMV ranking (3X) since the 26s.

Another trend involves the 2030s. The top three DMV teams in that age group are BLC (17) Stars (41) and Pride Red Loudon (61). Pride Red NoVa currently sits at 115. Some will dismiss this as meaningless since they are in 6th grade. Fine. But history shows teams don’t move dramatically in the rankings (unless there is a defection of talent from one team like what happened with the BLC 28s). It indicates a sizable drop in VA at the 2030 age group.

Takeaways: There was a notable drop in VA rankings at the 2027 level, a notable drop in MoCo rankings at the 2028 level, a worrisome drop in average ranking (for VA and broader DMV) over the past three years, and a notable drop in VA rankings at the 2030 age group. 
[/quote]

The data for the 2025s when they were in 8th grade was right there at your fingertips.  For some reason you did not add it, so here it is for the top two:

2025: Pride (13) Stars (38) = #16 average, which is in line with VA historically excluding 2026, which looks to be an outlier year.

[/quote]

Assume #16 was a typo (and that you meant to write #26) but point made.

So takeaways are:

2025 was especially challenging for MoCo, on par for VA 
2026 showed improvement for MoCo (still huge challenges there), especially good for VA
2027 especially good for MoCo, somewhat on-par for VA (slipped seven places) 
2028 is especially challenging for MoCo, on par for VA 
2029 MoCo has the edge v VA teams but competition is close (majors all ranked between #20 and #26) 
2030 MoCo shows slight improvement on the year before (three spots gained), especially challenging for VA 
[/quote]

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