Between 2000 (1314) and today (7398), the S&P 500 has increased in value by 463% with annualized returns of approximately 6.87%. Thus, a portfolio invested in 100% equities worth $1.3M today was worth $230,900 in 2000. A target date or age-based fund would have progressively reduced exposure to equities over time and required even more. PP also claims that his wife contributed $4K per year (including company match) for 15 years in order to achieve the alleged starting amount in 2000, which must have been close to $230K per the above evidence. Using a simple compound interest calculator shows that in order for a $4K per year investment to grow to an accumulated $230K total requires an annualized investment yield of 15.2%. The annualized return of the S&P 500 between 1985 (202) and 2000 (1314) was roughly 13.3%. So, while I originally thought PP was blowing smoke, the actual data and analysis suggests that this rags to riches story may have a hint of validity after all. |
On the other hand, however, the latter half of PP’s narrative is a bit of a yarn. The claimed $2K investment was immediately doubled by an employer match and that combined $4K would have to earn an annualized return of 10.4% for 77 years to grow to $8,192,000. There hasn’t been a 77-year period in the history of stock trading that has generated annualized returns of more than 8%. |
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She slightly outperformed S&P as part of 401k is in employee stock that outperformed S&P. Pre Enron, worldcom etc was common |
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I put $40,000 into an S&P 500 index fund in 1993. Dividends reinvested but no additional contributions. 33 years later, the value is just shy of $1.2 million.
In 2026 dollars the initial investment would be $91,500. So on an inflation adjusted basis, the investment has grown more than 13 times, for an annual post-inflation rate of 10.85%. |