Jobs/Industries Not Affected

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:I'm a private investigator whose primary clients are hedge funds. Business is very good for now. My wife works in PR; her clients are primarily corporations.

+1. My DH is a law firm partner whose clients are the above. Even if some clients leave/shrink/disappear, that's highly unlikely to happen to all of them.

If courts are successfully destroyed as per step 3 of Curtis Yarvin's plan, lawyers become unnecessary.

You do know that 99% of lawyers have nothing to do with courts right? They work with private clients.

I wouldn't count on it. If you cut the regulators, then presumably you don't need the consultants and law firms defending private companies on the other side. There's no IRS or EPA or SEC or DOJ to pursue enforcement actions and no need for law firms and consultants to represent companies doing that work. I actually think it could be terrible for law firms.

This is what people don’t seem to understand. There are whole practice groups built around regulations that have been frozen.

Worse. There's no one on the government side to go into court to pursue the enforcement action. Maybe that results in a settlement. Maybe that's a default judgment in favor of the private company. But what it's not is a lucrative litigation environment in many, many sectors. Get it?

[Anonymous]

If we keep going the way we're going, every single industry is going to be affected. It's barely been a month of the clown show.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Look I am as anti Trump as they get and some of you have just gone over the edge with the paranoia.

+1 reminds me of the beginning of COVID.

+2 I'm not sure who these people are.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:I don't mean this to be flip. I'm aiming this at young people in their first few years in the workforce.

Most cities/states outside of the DC area will be fine. They are losing some federal jobs, but those jobs are a much, much smaller proportion of their workforce so the employees will experience disruption but be absorbed into the local workforce relatively quickly.

In contrast, the DC area will likely be in a local recession--there will be a spike in unemployment directly related to the federal jobs, and there will be spillover effects to entertainment, restaurants, etc. And that will lower local tax revenue putting a strain on local governments and related services.

If you're young and don't have strong ties to the area, looking anyplace outside of the DMV will provide more opportunity and less competition for jobs and wages than the DMV will for the next four years.

And there's a very good chance that the federal govt will be hiring in earnest four years from now if you're really keen to return.

This. The absolute insistence and even anger toward anyone stating that it isn't the end of the world is a bit....unhelpful.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:This industry will be impacted but positively: ICE officer.

Pretty much end of list.

And DOGE is hiring

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Local law enforcement. As society slowly unravels more will be needed.

Lots of federal grants for that. And even if those specific grants aren’t affected, state and local governments may need to reallocate funds to make up for lost federal funds elsewhere. They’ll be affected.

Not really. Most depts are understaffed as it is and demand for public safety is strong. Will be among the last sectors to be hit.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:oil and gas, nuclear

Nope. Do you even read the news? All O&G majors have had massive layoffs in the past year or two. Chevron just announced 25% cut last week. All the jobs are moving to India. But don't worry, our government will continue to give them tax breaks. Most companies pay $0 in cooperate tax due to write offs and loop holes.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:I don't mean this to be flip. I'm aiming this at young people in their first few years in the workforce.

Most cities/states outside of the DC area will be fine. They are losing some federal jobs, but those jobs are a much, much smaller proportion of their workforce so the employees will experience disruption but be absorbed into the local workforce relatively quickly.

In contrast, the DC area will likely be in a local recession--there will be a spike in unemployment directly related to the federal jobs, and there will be spillover effects to entertainment, restaurants, etc. And that will lower local tax revenue putting a strain on local governments and related services.

If you're young and don't have strong ties to the area, looking anyplace outside of the DMV will provide more opportunity and less competition for jobs and wages than the DMV will for the next four years.

And there's a very good chance that the federal govt will be hiring in earnest four years from now if you're really keen to return.

This is pretty delusional thinking. This is not just affecting actual federal employees. Not many feds have even lost their jobs at this point. The bigger impacts are to various grant and other funding recipients, and the biggest of those are states, universities and healthcare organizations. Those are spread all over the country and are some of the biggest employers in many cities. We're already seeing layoffs at some of them and it's going to pick up quickly if the NIH, DoEd and other cuts stay in effect.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Local law enforcement. As society slowly unravels more will be needed.

Lots of federal grants for that. And even if those specific grants aren’t affected, state and local governments may need to reallocate funds to make up for lost federal funds elsewhere. They’ll be affected.

Not really. Most depts are understaffed as it is and demand for public safety is strong. Will be among the last sectors to be hit.

There can be lots of demand, but it won't matter if there's no money for it.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:oil and gas, nuclear

Nope. Do you even read the news? All O&G majors have had massive layoffs in the past year or two. Chevron just announced 25% cut last week. All the jobs are moving to India. But don't worry, our government will continue to give them tax breaks. Most companies pay $0 in cooperate tax due to write offs and loop holes.

you appear to be answering a different question than the OP, which was industries unaffected by the Administration's hack job.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Education. There is already a shortage of teachers. Those out of a job will flock to teaching for stability, steady income (of course it will be a huge cut for most) and benefits.

I would bet money that he will cut funding for schools. Watch.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:I'm outside DC area. Absolutely no impact on economy here yet. No one even is registering what is happening in DC with the feds, because 99% of americans just have regular jobs - like teacher, doctor, plumber, sales, whatever.

I think we will see economic slowdown in the US (real estate was already slowing down where i am, from its pandemic highs), but doubtful it is the mass pandemonium anticipated by the dcum jobs forum.

Also, my sector (energy) is bonkers busy, and anticipating robust growth for years. We still cannot find people to hire.

It hasn’t hit you yet but it’s coming.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Look I am as anti Trump as they get and some of you have just gone over the edge with the paranoia.

+1 reminds me of the beginning of COVID.

Yes, exactly.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:I'm a private investigator whose primary clients are hedge funds. Business is very good for now. My wife works in PR; her clients are primarily corporations.

+1. My DH is a law firm partner whose clients are the above. Even if some clients leave/shrink/disappear, that's highly unlikely to happen to all of them.

If courts are successfully destroyed as per step 3 of Curtis Yarvin's plan, lawyers become unnecessary.

You do know that 99% of lawyers have nothing to do with courts right? They work with private clients.

I wouldn't count on it. If you cut the regulators, then presumably you don't need the consultants and law firms defending private companies on the other side. There's no IRS or EPA or SEC or DOJ to pursue enforcement actions and no need for law firms and consultants to represent companies doing that work. I actually think it could be terrible for law firms.

This is what people don’t seem to understand. There are whole practice groups built around regulations that have been frozen.

IN DC. You're again losing sight of what is happening in the vast majority of the country, where lawyers just do stuff like close real estate sales.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Look I am as anti Trump as they get and some of you have just gone over the edge with the paranoia.

+1 reminds me of the beginning of COVID.

Yes, exactly.

Remember when all the "serious people" were telling us only a couple hundred people would die? How'd that work out?