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Because you aren't reading enough of the thread and quotes for context. You can minimize it if you have BY and SY leagues that are competitive in talent. Switching from BY to SY will "reverse" which months most benefit. This is in the grand scheme, of course. With individuals, you will always have outliers. |
If the plan is to change up age groups Fall 26 it would be lame to not at least address next year’s 8th graders who are trapped. Allow them to play games or showcases or something. |
MLSN trying take over all the pre-ulittle rec leagues is what makes no sense. |
Many already can in trapped leagues that a lot of places have and someone mentioned earlier in the 400s how there are showcases/tourneys that include these players (Super Cup) -- sometimes they are even better than what their teammates may be doing as HS freshmen! |
You picked “a year” to make an argument for all births. Cherrypick much? Interesting fact! The US has a declining birth rate, the Q with the largest decline is…drum roll please…Q4!!!! Age cutoffs don’t matter! |
Exactly they don’t care about it enough. If they stay BY and offer biobanding they will not be effected outside of losing some Q3/4 kids which doesn’t make up that much of their player pool anyways. Ultimately it will be a lot of shuffling around as Q3/4 MLSN kids will leave for ECNL if it means more playing opportunities and some ECNL Q1/2 kids will shift over if MLSN clubs have better opportunities. Same thing will happen for ECNL and GA if GA stays BY. |
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*IF* this were true, that Q4 birth rates were declining more than Q1-3, that means the Q4 proportion was even higher in the past. So, if the most recent year (2023) was already over 25%, it would be even HIGHER for Q4 in the years everyone is discussing (2007-2012). Yet, you're saying a Q4 representation well under 10% is just "as expected." Some of the stuff in this thread is so completely insane it's hard to believe people aren't just f'g with each other. |
| Naw... Just crazy ass club soccer parents. |
Seriously, birth month distributions change little year to year. Going to be 500 pages plus of parents who are astute enough to know that age cutoffs will affect their kids, they matter. |
What's true is they WILL matter for the next generation of players, however it evolves. Those in the current system, not so much. Changing trapped years may help some. I just hope clubs consider programming for any who don't want to play HS for whatever reason (That will be the new thing!) |
Here's the last two decades according to CDC and other online sources you can easily find: Q1 (January–March): 24% of annual births Q2 (April–June): 25% of annual births Q3 (July–September): 26% of annual births Q4 (October–December): 25% of annual births Looks pretty evenly distributed and almost exactly what the 2023 birth rates were. |
Its shocking given this real data that USA soccer would choose a program in 2017 that would make it harder for the majority of kids. What a stupid decision! |
This is what I have been saying. It is a 9 month plan to put this in place. It will be in by the end of the winter for tryouts for 26-27. |
Yes they should How about being on a trap team next fall while your teammates play HS and then in the fall playing on a team that doesn’t matter because they will be broken up. Talk about a wasted year |