Metrics for taking kids out of school

[spudmqueen]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Talking to a few other parents and realized some of them are going to send their kids and watch what happens. Most have a backup plan that when certain number of cases happen in school, they’ll just pull their kids out. Just wonder how many of us are thinking about this and what metrics you’re comfortable with.

The case count is a LAGGING indicator of how many children in your school have covid. If you're okay with that go for it.

since the spread is exponential we could have a serious crisis on our hands before we know it

I wish that people would stop saying "exponential" when they mean "going up really fast." An exponential function is f(x) = ab^x. Desmos has a great free on-line graphing calculator that will allow you to plug in values of x: https://www.desmos.com/calculator and figure out for yourself why "exponential" doesn't mean that.

I don't understand your argument. A disease with an R0 value greater than one spreads exponentially.

See https://blogs.bmj.com/bmj/2021/07/13/kit-yates-the-dangers-of-allowing-exponential-growth/ ("R tells us the number of new infections each infectious individual might expect to seed in the population during the course of their infectious period. If R is below one then cases will fall, but if R is above one, then cases will rise—exponentially.")

Thank you for bringing up the R0 rate. it was estimated to be between 2-3 for the first round of covid. The new delta variants are at least at R0 5. so for every person that has it, 5 more will be infected...sounds exponential to me.

Also-i have NO CLUE why massive delta spreading is not directly addressed by MCPS. The county's blind insistence on full time in person is not only poor decision-making, it is also not data driven. Education??? Please let's use some critical thinking skills here.

[spudmqueen]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:You do know that unenrolling kids can affect the staffing allocations at your school, right? Then, if the school loses a teaching position, they will have to hire a teacher if a bunch of kids are re-enrolled, potentially meaning your kid will be in an overcrowded class until that position can be filled. At which point you’ll come here and post about the overcrowded classes at your children’s school, won’t you?!

Well how many parents are really going to send their kids in when things go out of control but MCPS still opens no matter what, business at usual? Many parents are going to back down before the state would order MCPS to close.

I am sending my kids every day I am allowed. Just like I did last year (we temp moved in with my sister in Illinois). Every single day. Parents here just need to break the seal on re-entry into the world. In most other places people have masked up and moved on. Covid is officially endemic now.

It sounds like you know this, but there is a process by which a disease becomes “officially endemic” and it hasn’t happened…anywhere.

Yet. But CDC is already talking about regular boosters, similar to annual flu shots.

[spudmqueen]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:You do know that unenrolling kids can affect the staffing allocations at your school, right? Then, if the school loses a teaching position, they will have to hire a teacher if a bunch of kids are re-enrolled, potentially meaning your kid will be in an overcrowded class until that position can be filled. At which point you’ll come here and post about the overcrowded classes at your children’s school, won’t you?!

Well how many parents are really going to send their kids in when things go out of control but MCPS still opens no matter what, business at usual? Many parents are going to back down before the state would order MCPS to close.

I am sending my kids every day I am allowed. Just like I did last year (we temp moved in with my sister in Illinois). Every single day. Parents here just need to break the seal on re-entry into the world. In most other places people have masked up and moved on. Covid is officially endemic now.

You are the one who sounds like you're living in a fantasy world. The rest of the world (and sane people in this country) absolutely realize COVID is not an endemic. While people are absolutely eager to get on with their lives, they also have the basic critical thinking skills to understand it isn't over. You sound delusional..while being smug...the worst kind of person. Go back to Chicago.

Except that most likely that is the end game for covid it mutates too much to be eradicated. Expect that we will be getting combo flu/covid shots every year in the near future

Agreed

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:You do know that unenrolling kids can affect the staffing allocations at your school, right? Then, if the school loses a teaching position, they will have to hire a teacher if a bunch of kids are re-enrolled, potentially meaning your kid will be in an overcrowded class until that position can be filled. At which point you’ll come here and post about the overcrowded classes at your children’s school, won’t you?!

Well how many parents are really going to send their kids in when things go out of control but MCPS still opens no matter what, business at usual? Many parents are going to back down before the state would order MCPS to close.

I am sending my kids every day I am allowed. Just like I did last year (we temp moved in with my sister in Illinois). Every single day. Parents here just need to break the seal on re-entry into the world. In most other places people have masked up and moved on. Covid is officially endemic now.

You are the one who sounds like you're living in a fantasy world. The rest of the world (and sane people in this country) absolutely realize COVID is not an endemic. While people are absolutely eager to get on with their lives, they also have the basic critical thinking skills to understand it isn't over. You sound delusional..while being smug...the worst kind of person. Go back to Chicago.

You’re living in a fantasy world if you think it’s going to get much better than this. If you’re not comfortable re-entering society, sit on the sidelines. Nobody cares.

It’s not about being comfortable re-entering society, you absolute moron. I wouldn’t expect someone with your low level of thinking skills to understand anything other than your extremely limited worldview, so continue on with your ignorant life.

Your extremely limited world view is "it's Covid and nothing but Covid". Since that's going to be a thing from here on out, you'll have plenty of time to contemplate on that world view from the sideline.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:You do know that unenrolling kids can affect the staffing allocations at your school, right? Then, if the school loses a teaching position, they will have to hire a teacher if a bunch of kids are re-enrolled, potentially meaning your kid will be in an overcrowded class until that position can be filled. At which point you’ll come here and post about the overcrowded classes at your children’s school, won’t you?!

Too bad so sad.
At least they won't have coronavirus

Remember when this when you're whining about crowded classrooms

Funniest joke of the day. Classes at our school are already over 30 kids. You can only fit so many desks in there before the fire marshal shows up.
Can't really get any less individual attention and feedback then the zero that's already given. There's literally nothing to lose.

This is why I'm glad my daughter goes to a focus school so she is in a class of about 17 kids.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:You do know that unenrolling kids can affect the staffing allocations at your school, right? Then, if the school loses a teaching position, they will have to hire a teacher if a bunch of kids are re-enrolled, potentially meaning your kid will be in an overcrowded class until that position can be filled. At which point you’ll come here and post about the overcrowded classes at your children’s school, won’t you?!

Too bad so sad.
At least they won't have coronavirus

Remember when this when you're whining about crowded classrooms

Funniest joke of the day. Classes at our school are already over 30 kids. You can only fit so many desks in there before the fire marshal shows up.
Can't really get any less individual attention and feedback then the zero that's already given. There's literally nothing to lose.

Then maybe permanently unenrolling would be the best option for you.