Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:A DC council staffer gave me her assessment of how things may turn out. I don't know whether she has inside info or if it's just her perspective. She says that politically the exsting system can't survive. The lottery is no longer providing enough spots in "acceptable" schools for parents who want options other than the less-desirable local schools where they live. The critics are not just "old DC" families in poorer neighborhoods who long have resented the status of schools west of the Park, it now includes the "new DC" gentriifyers, too. They moved in to transitional neighborhoods in search of good real estate values or "happening" areas, without much thought to the schools. Now they have kids, and they either don't want to, or can't, move to higher priced areas with better schools, and they're frustrated. Together, parents in these groups are being heard downtown. What she thinks will happen is that DCPS will cite the threat of civil rights lawsuits (I'm skeptical of this in a majority minority city, but this is what she says). Pretext or not, DCPS will say they have no choice but to move to a complete lottery/random assignment system at least for middle and high school. They know that this may put pressure on the private school route for some families, and may drive some families out of DC altogether. At the same time, they feel that the DC real estate market is quite strong and that more singles, childless couples and empty nesters will pick up the slack as families may leave (and they don't use school services anyway).
I can totally see that happening. All the single, 28-yr old guys with ironic beards and those sloppy 1970s ski hats hanging off the back of their heads are going to snap up the 6-bedroom Colonials in Chevy Chase, AU Park, and Cleveland Park. Along with 65 year old empty nesters right behind them. This group in particular really wants a big yard to take care of and a lot of empty bedrooms, now that they're children are 35 and living in California.
Those are EXACTLY the demographic groups who are likely to "pick up the slack" and buy big houses throughout Ward 3. Genius thinking on the part of your super secret Council staffer!
Do they have a real estate background or anthropology?