It's a discussion forum. The point is to discuss. We have different outlooks. Oh well. |
I read a stat in an article that said 80% of 16 year olds playing in European pro academies are out of professional soccer by age 21. Even if you're good, it's not enough. You have to be the .001% to make it. We've told him those stats. I figured we'd do all we can to help him as parents get into an academy as a teenager and what he does afterwards is up to him. Hey, at 21, if he's really done with college, he can go to college as he's promised me he would. FWIW, we are trying to raise him to be a well rounded person with other interests. He is a straight A student so I'm sure he'll develop academic and other non-soccer career goals as well. |
Because education from a book and a lecturer is a slim myopic limited education. |
Ummm. We are transmitting information via human language right this very moment but ok. |
Preferred housing more food choices free physical therapy free counseling |
| My kid probably wouldn’t go to college if she wasn’t playing soccer there - she doesn’t like school and loves soccer. This way, she gets to play and I am happy she’s getting a degree at all instead of having to go back when she’s 30 or whatever. And I don’t have to pay for it. |
So in the major European leagues they sign kids to their YDS at 16. That is the first make or break year. The kids signed minimally have to be extremely good athletes- speed and quickness. I have seen two pro athletes at the high school level. It was as like men playing with boys. They were so athletically better vs everyone else they could play at 50-75% and still be the dominant player. They did not work at it or have a a high skill level in high school. If you do not have the athleticism all the work, skill, drive, soccer iq, etc does not matter. You're a know nothing. Or a troll. Begone. |
I think the odds of making it are about ten times higher than that. Let's say there are 3.5 million kids in a birth year. 50% are boys and 33% play soccer at some point and level. That's ~600K boys per year, and maybe 50ish will go pro somewhere. So that's about 0.01%. In Europe the odds are rather better. Take the UK. Probably around 200K boys playing soccer per year and several hundred will get a pro contract at some level each year. |
Different sports require different attributes. Obviously soccer players cannot be unathletic, but you do not need NFL speed or strength to play soccer for example so the kids stand out in different ways. But the ones with pro potential still stand out, at least to an educated observer. And they don't have to play 100% to stand out either. Tennis might be a better comparison than basketball or football. You cannot be fat, uncoordinated, slow or weak and be a pro tennis player. But nor do you need freakish speed or strength. |
+1 |
Well, the players in both sports are getting bigger and stronger over time. The Premier league, always physical, is now more physical than ever and you do need lightning speed at the International level. Tennis: Serena Williams. The women are becoming more powerful Look at gymnasts: Nadia Comaneci --tiny and light and lean used to do it. Look at gymnasts today starting back when Mary Lou Retton came on the scene: look at the sheer muscle and athleticism in Simone Biles. People will continue to optimize performance to break boundaries, records and that comes with optimizing physical traits. NBA is another sport where the players have become so much bigger and more muscular than Larry Bird's time. |
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This is a college thread not a pro thread
Your kid is not playing pro. |
I never understand why people love to say that on here. I’m quite certain that the parents of Kevin Paredes, Drew Skundrich, and every single other male pro-soccer player with a supportive family wondered at some point prior to the tween years whether their talented kid had what it took to make it. They then invested the time and/or money needed to help their kid get there, just like some of the PPs on here are starting to do. I think everyone is aware that the odds are slim, but you can’t win if you don’t play. Many of the kids who have pro dreams and a lot of talent at 10 will end up playing in college, many won’t even get to that level ultimately, and a few will, indeed, go pro instead of attending, or after graduating from, college. |
No you do not need lightning speed. Sure, all other things being equal, lightning speed helps. Look at Liverpool for example. Joel Matip does not have lightning speed, nor even anythjng close to it. Nor do Fabinho, Alexander-Arnold, Milner, and Henderson amongst others.
This doesn't change anything about my argument. All physical attributes help, but the balance remains different for different sports. So sure - any sportsman or woman takes advantage of modern training methods and drugs to be faster and stronger than the equivalent athlete of yesteryear. But that doesn't change much of anything about the inherent attributes kids require to make it.
Indeed. But again the availability of superior training and performance enhancing drugs does not mean that kids must have those qualities prior to undertaking such training or courses of drugs, just that they can be attained through such efforts for those kids with the potential to turn pro in the first place. And that potential is not predicated solely on speed or strength any more than it ever was. Here's an interesting link http://www.thebesteleven.com/2010/07/world-cup-2010-speed-and-distance-stats.html. It shows the top speeds of the fastest and slowest players in the 2010 world cup. The fastest players attained speeds of around 32 kph, the slowest around 20kph. By comparison Usain Bolt's top speed is 45 kph. Perhaps the comparison is not entirely fair since Usain Bolt doesn't hit his top speed until 65-70m into his sprint - but nevertheless it's very clear that the slower players do not have elite speed, or anything close to it. 44.72 kp |
The thing is - with guys - you don’t really know until they are in their 20s. One of the best players in MLB grew up where we are, and he is still good friends with the oldest son of our good friends. We would all see them occasionally growing up at various gatherings over the years. “You boys come over here and say hello”, kind of thing. Nice kid with nice parents. He was certainly not a guy in high school who would have impressed you at all with his size. Typical high school kid. Not quite 6 feet, probably not 170. Now he is a big guy. Lots of time in the weight room. Lots of trainers and careful diet. But I understand he is making north of $15M a year so not a problem. |