So how many IB are going to really be at Hardy 2015-2016?

[Anonymous]

A new year, a new thread.

The 2013-14 number was 13%
The 2014-15 number was 15%

The 2014-15 number wasn't released until April 14 this year. So you have seven and a half months to speculate, and argue why your guess is in fact the correct number. Or argue that the official DCPS numbers are wrong. Or argue that they're meaningless.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:A new year, a new thread.

The 2013-14 number was 13%
The 2014-15 number was 15%

The 2014-15 number wasn't released until April 14 this year. So you have seven and a half months to speculate, and argue why your guess is in fact the correct number. Or argue that the official DCPS numbers are wrong. Or argue that they're meaningless.

Is this 15% of all IB population? IF so, this is hardly a surprise and typical for much of upper crust DC, sending their kids to WIS, Sidwell, GDS etc. that are right in the neighborhood.

If it's 15% of overall school population comes form IB, then that's another issue and a little concerning. Even my rising EOTP has 35% IB students, though most have bailed for charters or WOTP.

[Anonymous]

I wonder what the tipping point will be -- 20%? 25% 30%? -- when the IB increases really start to move and in boundary families feel more comfortable with Hardy. Hope it happens in the next few years when my DC will be done at Key.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:A new year, a new thread.

The 2013-14 number was 13%
The 2014-15 number was 15%

The 2014-15 number wasn't released until April 14 this year. So you have seven and a half months to speculate, and argue why your guess is in fact the correct number. Or argue that the official DCPS numbers are wrong. Or argue that they're meaningless.

Is this 15% of all IB population? IF so, this is hardly a surprise and typical for much of upper crust DC, sending their kids to WIS, Sidwell, GDS etc. that are right in the neighborhood.

If it's 15% of overall school population comes form IB, then that's another issue and a little concerning. Even my rising EOTP has 35% IB students, though most have bailed for charters or WOTP.

15% of the kids who attend Hardy live within the attendance boundaries. The first number you mention, the percentage of IB kids who attend, which I'll call the "capture rate" is not publicly divulged by DCPS for any school. The closest DCPS comes is to report the percentage of kids who live in-boundary and who attend public school attend the in-boundary school.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:A new year, a new thread.

The 2013-14 number was 13%
The 2014-15 number was 15%

The 2014-15 number wasn't released until April 14 this year. So you have seven and a half months to speculate, and argue why your guess is in fact the correct number. Or argue that the official DCPS numbers are wrong. Or argue that they're meaningless.

Is this 15% of all IB population? IF so, this is hardly a surprise and typical for much of upper crust DC, sending their kids to WIS, Sidwell, GDS etc. that are right in the neighborhood.

If it's 15% of overall school population comes form IB, then that's another issue and a little concerning. Even my rising EOTP has 35% IB students, though most have bailed for charters or WOTP.

Not typical of Janney population.

[Anonymous]

6th grade is the key metric for IB population -- which is a number we don't have.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:A new year, a new thread.

The 2013-14 number was 13%
The 2014-15 number was 15%

The 2014-15 number wasn't released until April 14 this year. So you have seven and a half months to speculate, and argue why your guess is in fact the correct number. Or argue that the official DCPS numbers are wrong. Or argue that they're meaningless.

Is this 15% of all IB population? IF so, this is hardly a surprise and typical for much of upper crust DC, sending their kids to WIS, Sidwell, GDS etc. that are right in the neighborhood.

If it's 15% of overall school population comes form IB, then that's another issue and a little concerning. Even my rising EOTP has 35% IB students, though most have bailed for charters or WOTP.

Not typical of Janney population.

Hardy catchment is wealthier.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:A new year, a new thread.

The 2013-14 number was 13%
The 2014-15 number was 15%

The 2014-15 number wasn't released until April 14 this year. So you have seven and a half months to speculate, and argue why your guess is in fact the correct number. Or argue that the official DCPS numbers are wrong. Or argue that they're meaningless.

Is this 15% of all IB population? IF so, this is hardly a surprise and typical for much of upper crust DC, sending their kids to WIS, Sidwell, GDS etc. that are right in the neighborhood.

If it's 15% of overall school population comes form IB, then that's another issue and a little concerning. Even my rising EOTP has 35% IB students, though most have bailed for charters or WOTP.

Not typical of Janney population.

Hardy catchment is wealthier.

Eh. For every Wesley Heights 8 bedroom home zoned for Hardy, there are also 6 rental apartments IB for Stoddert, a 2-bed condo on Tunlaw, and dozens of Glover Park rowhomes. The people who would ever consider public MS in the Hardy zone are no wealthier than the residents of AU Park, CCDC, etc. IB Key bungalow = IB Janney bungalow. IB Glover Park 1930s rowhouse = IB CCDC rowhouse. The TV personalities in Wesley and the 6th generation washingtonians in a 1746 Georgetown federal mansion are never going to pick public MS/HS.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:I wonder what the tipping point will be -- 20%? 25% 30%? -- when the IB increases really start to move and in boundary families feel more comfortable with Hardy. Hope it happens in the next few years when my DC will be done at Key.

+1

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:I wonder what the tipping point will be -- 20%? 25% 30%? -- when the IB increases really start to move and in boundary families feel more comfortable with Hardy. Hope it happens in the next few years when my DC will be done at Key.

+1

same here

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:A new year, a new thread.

The 2013-14 number was 13%
The 2014-15 number was 15%

The 2014-15 number wasn't released until April 14 this year. So you have seven and a half months to speculate, and argue why your guess is in fact the correct number. Or argue that the official DCPS numbers are wrong. Or argue that they're meaningless.

Is this 15% of all IB population? IF so, this is hardly a surprise and typical for much of upper crust DC, sending their kids to WIS, Sidwell, GDS etc. that are right in the neighborhood.

If it's 15% of overall school population comes form IB, then that's another issue and a little concerning. Even my rising EOTP has 35% IB students, though most have bailed for charters or WOTP.

It's the latter.

[Anonymous]

I have actual knowledge on this issue.

The current 7th graders (last year's 6th graders) are around mid-20's IB percentage. The "Feeder School plus Brent" percentage is considerably higher. (The latter is the number people should care about; the former is for the harpies.)

The tipping point will be next year, not this year. The school will go from 15% IB to about 20% IB this year. (Low-end estimate is 19%.)

Next year's 6th grade class will be a lot more IB. The school overall will be around 25% and the 6th grade, in particular, will be around 35-45%. The school will be more than half "Feeder plus Brent."

[Anonymous]

Pp's prediction seems likely-this years 5th grade at Mann had an almost 100% return from the previously, and, for the first time in a long time, there are two 5th grade classes there. To me, that means people are not leaving for charters in5th when there are spaces to get into Latin etc, and instead staying at Mann until they can go to Hardy the following year.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:I have actual knowledge on this issue.

The current 7th graders (last year's 6th graders) are around mid-20's IB percentage. The "Feeder School plus Brent" percentage is considerably higher. (The latter is the number people should care about; the former is for the harpies.)

The tipping point will be next year, not this year. The school will go from 15% IB to about 20% IB this year. (Low-end estimate is 19%.)

Next year's 6th grade class will be a lot more IB. The school overall will be around 25% and the 6th grade, in particular, will be around 35-45%. The school will be more than half "Feeder plus Brent."

What about 6th grade this year: % of feeders plus Brent? Unlike others, I couldn't care less about "true IB," as high-achieving feeders are most important.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:I wonder what the tipping point will be -- 20%? 25% 30%? -- when the IB increases really start to move and in boundary families feel more comfortable with Hardy. Hope it happens in the next few years when my DC will be done at Key.

+1

same here

me too!!