ASFS at 80% capacity?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:How do we know it's 80%?

And is it 80% of the building capacity?

Or 80% of the 2019-20 school numbers (which was significantly overcapacity)?

Interesting that they still have 3rd grade in relocatables.

Yea I thought so too. The principal said that there are around 450 kids enrolled at asfs as of right now. They might get some last minute enrollments though.

Part of the reason that ASFS is below capacity is that the construction on Terwilliger Place (American Legion Site) is expected to be completed in 2022. It is a 160 unit build when all units are affordable housing. It is walkable to ASFS and will add 60-80 students to ASFS.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:How do we know it's 80%?

And is it 80% of the building capacity?

Or 80% of the 2019-20 school numbers (which was significantly overcapacity)?

Interesting that they still have 3rd grade in relocatables.

Yea I thought so too. The principal said that there are around 450 kids enrolled at asfs as of right now. They might get some last minute enrollments though.

Part of the reason that ASFS is below capacity is that the construction on Terwilliger Place (American Legion Site) is expected to be completed in 2022. It is a 160 unit build when all units are affordable housing. It is walkable to ASFS and will add 60-80 students to ASFS.

Sure. But that doesn’t explain why they projected the school to be over capacity this year when making the boundary, and extremely over capacity in 2023. Their projection they based boundaries off of was off by 20%.

[Anonymous]

Is being at 80% a bad thing?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Is being at 80% a bad thing?

No. But it’s a bad thing if they use these worthless projections to draw boundaries (the ms and hs round this year, es next year). Just means we will have to do it again a year or two later. It’s not fair to kids to have them ping pong between schools.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Tuckahoe is down to only 3 classes at every grade level. 2 years ago they had 4 classes at every grade level.

Same at Nottingham. They shouldn’t have built discovery.

This ended up being accurate.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Tuckahoe is down to only 3 classes at every grade level. 2 years ago they had 4 classes at every grade level.

Same at Nottingham. They shouldn’t have built discovery.

Indeed. Nottingham had something like 50 kids in K last year. Crazy.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Tuckahoe is down to only 3 classes at every grade level. 2 years ago they had 4 classes at every grade level.

Same at Nottingham. They shouldn’t have built discovery.

I think APS planning staff are awful, but I don’t know that anyone could have predicted a massive global pandemic causing a multi-year shut down of schools, followed by an increasingly wealthy demographic pulling their kids to go to private schools. As others have said, 22207 remains as popular as ever for raising families and people continue to come here from DC, Alexandria, and outside of the area. COVID really screwed things up - the permanence of which is still very much in doubt.

[Anonymous]

Taylor is growing and added classes this year. Not all elementary schools are shrinking.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Tuckahoe is down to only 3 classes at every grade level. 2 years ago they had 4 classes at every grade level.

Same at Nottingham. They shouldn’t have built discovery.

I think APS planning staff are awful, but I don’t know that anyone could have predicted a massive global pandemic causing a multi-year shut down of schools, followed by an increasingly wealthy demographic pulling their kids to go to private schools. As others have said, 22207 remains as popular as ever for raising families and people continue to come here from DC, Alexandria, and outside of the area. COVID really screwed things up - the permanence of which is still very much in doubt.

The lesson then is they can't plan capacity, and instead always build with margin and flexibility.

If so many schools need renovation and repair, building discovery was not a mistake because it gave us capacity to grow.

Clearly we should have expanded DHMS and the Heights/HBW when those buildings and renovations were undertaken. They are not getting any more land, we need to build more capacity in the sites we have, and live with excess capacity which is way easier to manage then overcrowding.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Taylor is growing and added classes this year. Not all elementary schools are shrinking.

ASFS had to add classrooms in K and 4th last year, after school started.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Taylor is growing and added classes this year. Not all elementary schools are shrinking.

ASFS had to add classrooms in K and 4th last year, after school started.

I would not be surprised if they had to do that again this year. The new Modera building brought a ton of new families to ASFS and the new building on Washington is going to open soon.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Tuckahoe is down to only 3 classes at every grade level. 2 years ago they had 4 classes at every grade level.

that 4th 2nd grade teacher and her class must not exist then.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Taylor is growing and added classes this year. Not all elementary schools are shrinking.

ASFS had to add classrooms in K and 4th last year, after school started.

I would not be surprised if they had to do that again this year. The new Modera building brought a ton of new families to ASFS and the new building on Washington is going to open soon.

They planned to have space for kids from these new buildings which have been in the works for years.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Tuckahoe is down to only 3 classes at every grade level. 2 years ago they had 4 classes at every grade level.

Same at Nottingham. They shouldn’t have built discovery.

I think APS planning staff are awful, but I don’t know that anyone could have predicted a massive global pandemic causing a multi-year shut down of schools, followed by an increasingly wealthy demographic pulling their kids to go to private schools. As others have said, 22207 remains as popular as ever for raising families and people continue to come here from DC, Alexandria, and outside of the area. COVID really screwed things up - the permanence of which is still very much in doubt.

It doesn’t take a rocket scientist to figure out that people who can pay $2 million for a new house might also be able and willing to pay $10,000 per kid to at least go to catholic school.

[Anonymous]

[twitter]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Taylor is growing and added classes this year. Not all elementary schools are shrinking.

ASFS had to add classrooms in K and 4th last year, after school started.

I would not be surprised if they had to do that again this year. The new Modera building brought a ton of new families to ASFS and the new building on Washington is going to open soon.

They planned to have space for kids from these new buildings which have been in the works for years.

So I guess they assume they will drop out before high school? Because there is no high school space available